#59 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Oct 06, 2007 6:43 pm
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Conditions look favorable for development with a high
to the north and steering currents are very weak. I expect
this area with a ton of moisture and ocean heat content
similar to that of 2005 to undergo rapid intensification once
it becomes more concentrated.
I expect it to meander in the weak steering currents until
a strong trough next week accelerates whatever becomes
of it Northeast towards Florida.
This situation is very similar to the one that produced Wilma.
Location and possible path are very similar, heat content is
very similar, and the monsoon trough origin of moisture
and convection is very similar.
This needs to be watched very closely by central america
and the SE US, especially florida, where climatology and this
monster trough on its way for next week give the highest
threat to Florida.
Central America is also at a highest threat.
Oh sorry about how I forgot the disclaimer
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