EX INVEST 93L Thread
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : 10:30 PM TWO Posted
San Juan Long Range Loop
You can judge for yourself if this is moving northward or not.I see it almost stationary.
You can judge for yourself if this is moving northward or not.I see it almost stationary.
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- frederic79
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : 10:30 PM TWO Posted
Two things I noticed and I may be off base here, but here goes...
1- The initial postition posted on the NRL for 93L appears to be east of where the center is on the IR satellite loop.
2- The actual position looks several degrees due west of where it appeared this morning. Remember it was directly over PR
and now looks to be centered more toward the DR instead.
I don't know what motion it will exhibit tomorrow but for today I treally think it's drifted due west.
1- The initial postition posted on the NRL for 93L appears to be east of where the center is on the IR satellite loop.
2- The actual position looks several degrees due west of where it appeared this morning. Remember it was directly over PR
and now looks to be centered more toward the DR instead.
I don't know what motion it will exhibit tomorrow but for today I treally think it's drifted due west.
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : 10:30 PM TWO Posted
cycloneye wrote:San Juan Long Range Loop
You can judge for yourself if this is moving northward or not.I see it almost stationary.
Thank you cycloneye
Looks pretty much stationary...maybe a small movement
WSW...IMO
That area of green looks like convection
around a low moving slowly WSW...with the
axis of the ridge and the ridge is forcing it
WSW.
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : Discussions & Images
The vortex moving SW over the Florida Straits is now over Cuba and has had deep convection slide over it from the Keys. Whether this is coincidence or will boost the storm has yet to be seen.
93L looks like a weak disturbance in diurnal minimum very slowly coming together. This trough has sat over prime waters for too long to be nothing. Keep watching.
93L looks like a weak disturbance in diurnal minimum very slowly coming together. This trough has sat over prime waters for too long to be nothing. Keep watching.
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : Discussions & Images
This is JBs 3 week old Karen will come back someday disturbance.
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- gatorcane
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hmmm. This one does appear it is organizing tonight. The north drift is supposed to continue or is it temporary?
There is definitely some kind of rotation going on NW of Puerto Rico
Any models sniffing anything out?
Here is the mean mid-level flow. The big ridge sits just to the north so I think temporary north movement and then more west or so as it feels this ridge.
There is definitely some kind of rotation going on NW of Puerto Rico
Any models sniffing anything out?
Here is the mean mid-level flow. The big ridge sits just to the north so I think temporary north movement and then more west or so as it feels this ridge.
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- gatorcane
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Re:
fci wrote:Looking at the map I cant imagine how it will go headfirst into a ridge.
More likely it will try and die.
Like all the Invests seem to do.
The "dying" part I mean.
(nice to see you back gatorcane)
agreed. I say 10% chance of development. Why would something all of the sudden burgeon now after everything near where it is trying to develop has been sheared to bits....
thanks Dave, I do miss this board alot --- I had some serious withdrawals being away from it for a week.
Storm2K is definitely the place to be if you like weather like I do
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L Models Thread= 00z GFS rolling in
00z GFS at 30 Hours North of Hispañola
00z GFS at 42 Hours Still North of Hispañola
00z GFS at 54 Hours Well,a bunch of lows from North of Hispañola to hundreds of miles to the east.
00z GFS at 72 Hours Low NE of Puerto Rico
00z GFS at 84 Hours Not moving much
00z GFS at 96 Hours Moves more NE
00z GFS at 102 Hours Low moves slowly NE
00z GFS at 108 Hours Low dissapears
00z GFS at 120 Hours Low continues absent. I will stop here.
00z GFS at 42 Hours Still North of Hispañola
00z GFS at 54 Hours Well,a bunch of lows from North of Hispañola to hundreds of miles to the east.
00z GFS at 72 Hours Low NE of Puerto Rico
00z GFS at 84 Hours Not moving much
00z GFS at 96 Hours Moves more NE
00z GFS at 102 Hours Low moves slowly NE
00z GFS at 108 Hours Low dissapears
00z GFS at 120 Hours Low continues absent. I will stop here.
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L : NNW of Puerto Rico : Discussions & Images
Something eventually has to give and form from the monsoon trough.
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- hurricanetrack
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Re: INVEST 93L Models Thread
This is not early september pattern I can promise you that. Or if you consider september of 97 with screaming westly over the tropical Atlantic normal sure. Yes its october and there is a few favorable area's. So I won't declare the season over, I don't have the nerve to do so.
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