Ex Tropical Depression KAREN: Discussions & Images

[Sanibel]

Meaningless if it shoots north into the weakness like they expect. Ocean storm.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The more west it go's the better its chances to....

[cycloneye]

Hey peeps,you may want to see this quickscat.



Is a recent one.

[Gustywind]

cycloneye wrote:
25/2345 UTC 10.4N 40.3W T2.5/2.5 KAREN -- Atlantic Ocean

Did Karen moved a little south of the 5 PM position of 11:1n? Or this SSD position is not correct?


Probably a center relocation.

25/2345 UTC 10.4N 40.3W T2.5/2.5 KAREN -- Atlantic Ocean

Did Karen moved a little south of the 5 PM position of 11:1n? Or this SSD position is not correct?

Probably a center relocation.

Genearous wobble or relocation....

What do you mean?
is it moving alittle south of the forcast point?

Yeah punkyg latest SSD t numbers are very south 10.4N 40.3W! i don't don't if it's a genearous jog or a relocation?!

25/2345 UTC 10.4N 40.3W T2.5/2.5 KAREN -- Atlantic Ocean

Did Karen moved a little south of the 5 PM position of 11:1n? Or this SSD position is not correct?
25/2345 UTC 10.4N 40.3W T2.5/2.5 KAREN -- Atlantic Ocean

Did Karen moved a little south of the 5 PM position of 11:1n? Or this SSD position is not correct?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Quickscat about 10.8 north...

[Sanibel]

Quickscat: 10.8

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

The position of the center according to this recent pass,says that Karen is pretty much on a westward motion.It may be a temporary track,but as more west it goes,more west the NHC track will be,and you know what is more west around 60w.

[Gustywind]

Quickscat about 10.8 north...

ok tkanks so souther than the 5pm forecast at 11,1N....

[Sanibel]

I doubt they could be SO wrong as to plot an almost north track and have it go west. We will see where it is by 50W and then start worrying.

[BigA]

Looks to be somewhere between 10.5 and 10.8 right now. I'd put it at about 40.4 west. looks to have moved due west in the past few hours. Even if its not a threat to the US, every degree westward makes it more of a threat to the Northeastern Lesser Antilles and Bermuda, so something to remain vigilant about.

[OURAGAN]

10,9N/40,4W on NRL SITE

[Emmett_Brown]

Quickscat about 10.8 north...

ok tkanks so souther than the 5pm forecast at 11,1N....

Looking at the quickscat, I think it is more like 10.5 or 10.6, but that might be splitting hairs. Does anyone know the margin of error for quickscat... how accurate would this center position be?

[Gustywind]

The position of the center according to this recent pass,says that Karen is pretty much on a westward motion.It may be a temporary track,but as more west it goes,more west the NHC track will be,and you know what is more west around 60w.

Absolutely Cycloneye very good point and since this morning due west movement or slight wsw too, Karen likes the jog maybe but don't want more jogs

[Gustywind]

Looks to be somewhere between 10.5 and 10.8 right now. I'd put it at about 40.4 west. looks to have moved due west in the past few hours. Even if its not a threat to the US, every degree westward makes it more of a threat to the Northeastern Lesser Antilles and Bermuda, so something to remain vigilant about.

Absolutely guy this put us in "troubles" virtualy each degree more west, as you said we should remain vigilant

[Gustywind]

I doubt they could be SO wrong as to plot an almost north track and have it go west. We will see where it is by 50W and then start worrying.

I hope that since June 1, but thus this season i've never saw something higher than Ingrid... beginning near 20w-60w folks so for the moment it seems a kind utopia mysteriosly...but hope for a fish for this time ....this will change but assuming the entery trend of the season i've real dots

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The central core of this system is becoming much better organized over the last few hours...Also see how the convection is pushing slowly outwards to the northwest quad, but be a sign that the ULL to the north of it could help strengthen it over the next 6-24 hours. Also it appears to be moving west or just osuth of west.

[Gustywind]

10,9N/40,4W on NRL SITE

Hi ouragan happy to see you! Tkanks for the info!

[OURAGAN]

Karen is already south of the nhc track, and I don't see it to go northwest soon.

[CrazyC83]

Still T3.3 (51 kt/996mb) on CIMSS.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt12L.html