Tropical Depression TEN: Model Runs
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- DESTRUCTION5
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- Location: Stuart, FL
- DESTRUCTION5
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- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_078s.gif
78hrs..This one looks Sheared..All Precip to the east side..
78hrs..This one looks Sheared..All Precip to the east side..
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- DESTRUCTION5
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- DESTRUCTION5
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- Posts: 4391
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_126s.gif
126hrs..Nothing of signif here but that is one mountian of a high in the atlantic..better hope nothing gets going out east of FL..
126hrs..Nothing of signif here but that is one mountian of a high in the atlantic..better hope nothing gets going out east of FL..
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Re:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_072s.gif
72 Hrs..2nd on to LA too!
I think that may be a wee bit fast. 72 hours from the Hounduras/Nicurauga area to LA??????
I doubt that too much. That seems too fast personally, but I see that developing though.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
36 HR NOGAPS..another shift east of its 00z run...in line with the other globals
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
GO NOGAPS!!! ITS YOUR BIRTHDAY!!!
Yay, might have good weather here in Houston this weekend afterall.
Yay, might have good weather here in Houston this weekend afterall.
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- skysummit
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
The 12z Canadian brings it toward the Mobile area.
....where are all the Texas posters?
....where are all the Texas posters?
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
skysummit wrote:The 12z Canadian brings it toward the Mobile area.
....where are all the Texas posters?
LOL..They have gone into Lurking mode..
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- gboudx
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:skysummit wrote:The 12z Canadian brings it toward the Mobile area.
....where are all the Texas posters?
LOL..They have gone into Lurking mode..
I think EWG mostly posts in the afternoons. That's been my take on his posting habits lately. I'm sure he'll be around later.
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
Southerngale made a great point to me one time when I assumed wishcasting due to the absence of comments from State A members following Model X abandonment of State A to join the other models in a State B landfall. She said that people in State A (Texas in this instance) lose interest because it doesn't affect them, so its not fair to assume those who appeared to be clinging to the last outlier were wishcasting.
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- skysummit
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12z GFDL looks like Mississippi unless I plotted it wrong....
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
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- skysummit
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Re:
Yup, I plotted it wrong....Mobile Bay:
skysummit wrote:12z GFDL looks like Mississippi unless I plotted it wrong....
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
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- Sabanic
- Category 2
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Re:
skysummit wrote:12z GFDL looks like Mississippi unless I plotted it wrong....
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
That would put whatever it is in my backyard Saturday afternoon. We don't need anything to mess up electricity with Bama playing on ESPN at 6:45
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- Category 5
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- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
- Location: Beaumont, TX
Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
IM HERE!!! Had to get some sleep...
I dont want anything so dont put this texas guy in that pot!
Bring on the racing form!
I dont want anything so dont put this texas guy in that pot!
Bring on the racing form!
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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs
Agua wrote:Southerngale made a great point to me one time when I assumed wishcasting due to the absence of comments from State A members following Model X abandonment of State A to join the other models in a State B landfall. She said that people in State A (Texas in this instance) lose interest because it doesn't affect them, so its not fair to assume those who appeared to be clinging to the last outlier were wishcasting.
<Shakes head in confusion>
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-
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
Re: Re:
Sabanic wrote:skysummit wrote:12z GFDL looks like Mississippi unless I plotted it wrong....
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
That would put whatever it is in my backyard Saturday afternoon. We don't need anything to mess up electricity with Bama playing on ESPN at 6:45
I hear ya Sabanic, ROLL TIDE ROLL!!!
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- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Re:
Dean4Storms wrote:Sabanic wrote:skysummit wrote:12z GFDL looks like Mississippi unless I plotted it wrong....
978
WHXX04 KWBC 201725
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 20
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 26.8 83.5 270./ 2.9
6 26.8 83.9 270./ 3.7
12 27.2 84.5 308./ 6.1
18 27.7 85.1 307./ 7.5
24 28.2 85.6 316./ 6.5
30 28.6 85.9 321./ 5.1
36 29.5 86.5 327./ 9.8
42 29.9 87.5 294./ 9.6
48 30.6 88.4 304./10.5
54 31.0 89.9 287./13.4
60 31.2 91.5 277./14.2
66 31.6 93.1 286./13.7
72 32.6 94.4 304./14.7
78 33.7 95.7 311./15.3
84 35.0 96.3 334./14.3
90 36.3 96.4 357./12.7
96 37.7 95.7 26./15.1
102 38.9 94.1 53./17.7
108 40.2 91.0 67./26.9
114 41.6 87.7 67./28.6
120 43.2 83.2 70./36.8
STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
That would put whatever it is in my backyard Saturday afternoon. We don't need anything to mess up electricity with Bama playing on ESPN at 6:45
I hear ya Sabanic, ROLL TIDE ROLL!!!
I'm actually proud to be a Bama fan for a change.
Last edited by Brent on Thu Sep 20, 2007 2:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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