Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

[artist]

http://www.calypsobahamas.com/current_c ... eather.htm
http://www.rockybay.com/webcam_page.htm
http://www.icspet.com/weather/WeatherTest.html
http://oii.net/bbob/MOWwx.htm

some current weather stations form the Abaco;s in the northern Bahamas as well as live web cams.

I have no idea how accurate they all are (or not).

[robbielyn]

is vivian brown from TWC a meteorologist or just an on air personality

she keeps saying it is an upper level feature and they are waiting on a possible low level circulation to form

then i read the 205 marine statement talking about a strengthening low near bimini

geez what gives

I wouldn't count on TWC too much. Vivian Brown is ok, much better than Lisa "Gulf of Georgia" Moser from a few years back.

Wow I remember her but I am surprised you remember her name. I couldn't stand her forecasts. It took twc a long time to remove her thank goodness they did. She had a teleprompter didn't she? I don't know how she messed up like that. I have seen mets make mistakes of course but nothing like that. TWC loses credibility when their on air mets can't be accurate. I like Vivian Brown though. She isn't my favorite, Jim is but she's ok.

[HURAKAN]

[gatorcane]

still looks to be that the center is not concrete yet...big convection bursts are blowing up now east of the "proposed" LLC .

WE DO NOT want this to get its act together more offshore (like 200+ miles offshore) as it will have more time to get going.

[oyster_reef]

CarverSteve wrote:

All i know is..Long beach mississippi does not even need a low end hurricane.I was down there in 2005 to help with some of the clean-up....All i can say is WOW...Neve seen such destruction.And i'm sure they still have a long ways to go


Yep...Long Beach and Waveland. I pass them both everyday on Hwy 90 and it still brings a tear to the eye's.

the whole MS coast. I drove down pascagoula beach today. very sad sight.

[wzrgirl1]

where exactly is the "proposed" LLC

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

still looks to be that the center is not concrete yet...big convection bursts are blowing up now east of the "proposed" LLC .

WE DO NOT want this to get its act together more offshore (like 200+ miles offshore) as it will have more time to get going.

It may develop further offshore in an attempt to avoid interaction
with the close by ULL

[canegrl04]

Using Humberto as just one example,intensity is very near impossible to predict.If this becomes Jerry,depending on the variable,he could be anywhere from a TS to cat 3 when it hits land.

[artist]

area buoy reports and ships reports -

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... E&dist=250
This should be on the north side, I think.

[fci]

Yes, that is why I think the NHC may consider tropical storm warnings for parts of Florida tonight.

Just my opinion.

Another thing to consider is the possibility of tornado watches/warnings with all the vorticity in the atmosphere....

Seems like everything is off shore now after we got some pretty strong cells here late this morning.

I don't see ANY watches or warnings this evening here.

[HURAKAN]

Station SPGF1

4:00 pm ENE ( 57 deg ) 23 kts
3:50 pm ENE ( 60 deg ) 26 kts
3:40 pm NE ( 56 deg ) 28 kts
3:30 pm NE ( 55 deg ) 27 kts
3:20 pm NE ( 51 deg ) 26 kts
3:10 pm NE ( 54 deg ) 26 kts

Impressive.

[BrSpinDoc]

I am not a weather person, but the spokesperson for the state agency in charge of hurricane response in Louisiana. I am seeking a little guidance. What affect will this storm have on Louisiana and when? Should we start warning people now?

[Stormcenter]

Using Humberto as just one example,intensity is very near impossible to predict.If this becomes Jerry,depending on the variable,he could be anywhere from a TS to cat 3 when it hits land.

A Cat. 3 where in Eastern,central or western GOM?
These are the same type of bold statements I heard
for that other East coast TS. We need to keep
things in perspective here.

[Emmett_Brown]

Station SPGF1

4:00 pm ENE ( 57 deg ) 23 kts
3:50 pm ENE ( 60 deg ) 26 kts
3:40 pm NE ( 56 deg ) 28 kts
3:30 pm NE ( 55 deg ) 27 kts
3:20 pm NE ( 51 deg ) 26 kts
3:10 pm NE ( 54 deg ) 26 kts

Impressive.

Where is that station located?

[robbielyn]

Using Humberto as just one example,intensity is very near impossible to predict.If this becomes Jerry,depending on the variable,he could be anywhere from a TS to cat 3 when it hits land.

You are talking about the the gulf side right? Ain't know way it'll do anything before it gets to the gulf. Wonder how fast it will develop in the gulf and will the west side of fl get the ne quadrant of a ts or worse.

[RL3AO]

I am not a weather person, but the spokesperson for the state agency in charge of hurricane response in Louisiana. I am seeking a little guidance. What affect will this storm have on Louisiana and when? Should we start warning people now?

Way to soon to tell.

[southerngale]

I see the Euro still shows Texas, but the others have trended east, so that has a lot of people around here breathing a little easier. I know it could shift west again, but for now, the trend seems to be east. The trend is your friend, right?

AFM, wxman57, or other mets.... it's hard to believe this could trek west all the way across the GOM and hit Texas (as the Euro shows), without finding a weakness. It's getting late in the season for us. I know Rita did it, so it keeps my guard up, but that was considered pretty late in the season.... surely not another one just 2 years later. I know you can change your mind, but what odds do you put on it doing that? Everyone is asking me questions since I'm the weather geek of the crowd.... can I ease their minds a little?

[robbielyn]

I am not a weather person, but the spokesperson for the state agency in charge of hurricane response in Louisiana. I am seeking a little guidance. What affect will this storm have on Louisiana and when? Should we start warning people now?

Warn people? Not yet. Inform them to keep a vigilant eye out everyday til we know what's happening sure.

[HURAKAN]

Station SPGF1

4:00 pm ENE ( 57 deg ) 23 kts
3:50 pm ENE ( 60 deg ) 26 kts
3:40 pm NE ( 56 deg ) 28 kts
3:30 pm NE ( 55 deg ) 27 kts
3:20 pm NE ( 51 deg ) 26 kts
3:10 pm NE ( 54 deg ) 26 kts

Impressive.

Where is that station located?

26.7 N 79 W (26°42'16" N 78°59'40" W)

[artist]

Mike Watkins and fox13 weather - I see you out there - will you give us your thoughts here, if you have any yet, please?