Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[attallaman]

DrewFL; those are some nice graphics; thanks for posting.

[apocalypt-flyer]

Let's hope that nasty little bugger does make it back to the Gulf and gets picked up. If it were only one model showing this I wouldn't really worry but many imply the the through's too weak.

[jasons2k]

What a crazy storm. Last night before bed, the wind was dead still here while just down the road in Galveston winds were sustained @ 44mph. This morning BPT is getting a hurricane and winds here are still calm, officially 7mph at the big airport a few miles away.

I just read through the overnight threads. While I posted yesterday the possibility of making hurricane status I'm truly shocked at how fast this one deepened, likely reaching Cat 2 status (in the post-analysis). What a scary thought if this thing had cranked just 12 hours sooner than it did...

[HURAKAN]

Not representing the intensity, but very similar to Audrey in 1957 in which people went to sleep waiting a Cat. 1 or 2 and they woke up to a Cat. 4.

This is what makes tropical meteorology so interesting and so difficult to forecast sometimes.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:



Louisiana, he's all yours!

[Extremeweatherguy]

What a crazy storm. Last night before bed, the wind was dead still here while just down the road in Galveston winds were sustained @ 44mph. This morning BPT is getting a hurricane and winds here are still calm, officially 7mph at the big airport a few miles away.

I just read through the overnight threads. While I posted yesterday the possibility of making hurricane status I'm truly shocked at how fast this one deepened, likely reaching Cat 2 status (in the post-analysis). What a scary thought if this thing had cranked just 12 hours sooner than it did...

I agree. 12 hours sooner and we could have seen that "doomsday" scenario of a storm cranking to a Cat. 3/4 right before landfall. Would not have been a pretty situation! It is amazing how calm the winds are here though. Rita made landfall much further east and we saw 60+mph gusts, while with Humberto the top gust I've seen was probably 20-25mph...and that was yesterday evening. Sure goes to show just how small Humberto is compared to the beast that was Rita.

[Evil Jeremy]

Louisiana is going to get some major flooding today.

Haha, blooper on TWC, the clicker thing broke!

[SETXweatherwatcher]

What a crazy storm. Last night before bed, the wind was dead still here while just down the road in Galveston winds were sustained @ 44mph. This morning BPT is getting a hurricane and winds here are still calm, officially 7mph at the big airport a few miles away.

I just read through the overnight threads. While I posted yesterday the possibility of making hurricane status I'm truly shocked at how fast this one deepened, likely reaching Cat 2 status (in the post-analysis). What a scary thought if this thing had cranked just 12 hours sooner than it did...

I agree. 12 hours sooner and we could have seen that "doomsday" scenario of a storm cranking to a Cat. 3/4 right before landfall. Would not have been a pretty situation! It is amazing how calm the winds are here though. Rita made landfall much further east and we saw 60+mph gusts, while with Humberto the top gust I've seen was probably 20-25mph...and that was yesterday evening. Sure goes to show just how small Humberto is compared to the beast that was Rita.

NHC shows possible loop d loop back into the GOM by way of AL or FL panhandle as a depression - still need to watch this down the road in another 3 or 4 days...

[Extremeweatherguy]

JB thinks the "ghost of Humberto" may try to come back into the GOM and reach the western gulf again next week. He will have a full post on this later, but it is definitely an interesting possibility...

[PhillyWX]

Not representing the intensity, but very similar to Audrey in 1957 in which people went to sleep waiting a Cat. 1 or 2 and they woke up to a Cat. 4.

This is what makes tropical meteorology so interesting and so difficult to forecast sometimes.

Yep -- or Charley going from 1 to 4 in 12 hours. It's interesting to see how invests that most people have written off develop into 85 mph hurricanes while a storm that everyone thinks is going to be a hurricane when it first starts to develop (Gabrielle) can't get past 50-60 mph winds.

Weather is a fascinating addiction for me...and it's great to learn because it is an ongoing education process for everyone.

[mattpetre]

Well, I was totally wrong on the possible NW tracking of Humberto yesterday, but I was correct that it would be a Hurricane ...

[salescall]

I've been through a few of the last pages, but not all. Any idea on the eventual track of the storm? I've seen the computer models, and it looks like it could do everything from GA/SC to loop back into the GOM. I'd personally love to "wishcast it here to the Upstate of SC. We are 12-13 inches below normal in rainfall and could really use a little.

Certainly an interesting storm. I hope everyone in TX/LA are weathering the storm well.

[Dave C]

Did anyone save radar loops of this or know of a site to get previous loops? I was working a lot last 2 days and missed most of it. Thanks!

[JessRomero]

Hey everyone I am back we lost power now running the computer and fridge with generator. It got pretty bad we heard several tornado and trees and power lines are down we are goin to go stay at my motherinlaws for the day and night till power comes back. Everyone is closed as of right now major flooding and beaumont I am near port arthur they have flooding tryin to get more info on what is goin on.. Hope everyone in the Golden Triangle isn't driving around it is not safe.

[Kennethb]

Special running of the Gomer Pyle USMC show this morning on TV stations in Southeast Texas: Surprise, Surprise, Surprise.....

[Zardoz]

Humberto 'snuck up on us'

Forecasters originally thought Humberto would make landfall closer to Galveston on Wednesday night, but the storm took a turn to the northeast, giving it more time over the warm Gulf waters and bumping it up to hurricane status after developing into a tropical storm late Wednesday morning.

"The intensity surprised everybody, especially the amount of rain and wind," Cavness said.

"It snuck up on us, to be honest with you. It wasn't something we were expecting."

[Steve]

Speaking of terrible work, WWL's on air met Laura Buchtell said we had a 70% chance of rain today, but most of the rain would be in the western parishes. She then went on to say that all indications are that the system would get caught up in the front and head northward toward Tennessee. I mean I had just read the NHC saying that all indications are that it may plague the Gulf for a few days. Wth? So I'm driving and she comes on the 50,000 watt radio station and says we'd have a "few" thunderstorms today, but most in the western parishes as the storm would ride north of us.

Well duh. But you're on tv. And you probably have a degree. Don't you know that until a system cuts off from its moisture supplies and channels that it's going to be picking up moisture and will bring rain bands through? This isn't some upper system sapping energy 15,000 feet up and raining in Missouri or southern Illionis. This is at the freaking surface! And you're showing the radar on TV and there's this massive line creeping eastward that's going to cross your entire viewing area. 100% chance of rain darling. And while you're at it, there's a nice little storm blowing up ahead of the system that's going to get Steve super wet as he crosses the street from the parking garage to the office. And I got a shot of that from the I-10 on my way into work.

What are these people thinking and why do people put their trust in such misinformation? It's unreal. Btw, view is SSW.



Steve

[Steve]

and LMAO!!!! What's in that picture but a billboard advertising for that station. Oh the irony.

LMAO WWL = Worthless

[Stormcenter]

Speaking of terrible work, WWL's on air met Laura Buchtell said we had a 70% chance of rain today, but most of the rain would be in the western parishes. She then went on to say that all indications are that the system would get caught up in the front and head northward toward Tennessee. I mean I had just read the NHC saying that all indications are that it may plague the Gulf for a few days. Wth? So I'm driving and she comes on the 50,000 watt radio station and says we'd have a "few" thunderstorms today, but most in the western parishes as the storm would ride north of us.

Well duh. But you're on tv. And you probably have a degree. Don't you know that until a system cuts off from its moisture supplies and channels that it's going to be picking up moisture and will bring rain bands through? This isn't some upper system sapping energy 15,000 feet up and raining in Missouri or southern Illionis. This is at the freaking surface! And you're showing the radar on TV and there's this massive line creeping eastward that's going to cross your entire viewing area. 100% chance of rain darling. And while you're at it, there's a nice little storm blowing up ahead of the system that's going to get Steve super wet as he crosses the street from the parking garage to the office. And I got a shot of that from the I-10 on my way into work.

What are these people thinking and why do people put their trust in such misinformation? It's unreal. Btw, view is SSW.



Steve

My brother who lives in New Orleans just called me and told me the very same thing you
posted but also said the other TV Mets. in the area are also saying the very same thing she said that it won't be a big deal and no flooding rains. By the way he said they had a pretty serious storm about an hour ago in the downtown part of the city.

[HollynLA]

Speaking of terrible work, WWL's on air met Laura Buchtell said we had a 70% chance of rain today, but most of the rain would be in the western parishes. She then went on to say that all indications are that the system would get caught up in the front and head northward toward Tennessee. I mean I had just read the NHC saying that all indications are that it may plague the Gulf for a few days. Wth? So I'm driving and she comes on the 50,000 watt radio station and says we'd have a "few" thunderstorms today, but most in the western parishes as the storm would ride north of us.

Well duh. But you're on tv. And you probably have a degree. Don't you know that until a system cuts off from its moisture supplies and channels that it's going to be picking up moisture and will bring rain bands through? This isn't some upper system sapping energy 15,000 feet up and raining in Missouri or southern Illionis. This is at the freaking surface! And you're showing the radar on TV and there's this massive line creeping eastward that's going to cross your entire viewing area. 100% chance of rain darling. And while you're at it, there's a nice little storm blowing up ahead of the system that's going to get Steve super wet as he crosses the street from the parking garage to the office. And I got a shot of that from the I-10 on my way into work.

What are these people thinking and why do people put their trust in such misinformation? It's unreal. Btw, view is SSW.



Steve

Darn, did she even look at the radar before making such a ridiculous forecast?