Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[WindRunner]

984 mb and 100 surface level winds. Wow

We know nothing about the pressure right now . . . latest data in is 989, but that's over a half hour old. We should be getting new data in the next few minutes.

[opera ghost]

I tell you what, we joked about all storms needing to be TS or Cat5... I think little Humberto took it to heart.

[drezee]

984 mb and 100 surface level winds. Wow

Nope, reduction would support 100mph but no pressure reading as of yet

[SMNederlandTX]

watching twc and they are still saying 80 mph winds....and so is nhc's website.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

With the surface data showing 83 knots on the other one. In the 98 knots at flight level, there is no question in my mind this is a cat2 now.

I'm sorry for calling it a she. Also this is not as strong as Rita, but people had no time to get out of this ones way unlike Rita. So this should be bad.

[Chacor]

I doubt they'll make another hurricane advisory to upgrade it to a Cat 2.

If this thing doesn't make landfall by the next adv at 4 am CDT, that might say cat 2 anyway. And even if it does make landfall, a tropical cyclone update will be issued.

[WindRunner]

I doubt they'll make another hurricane advisory to upgrade it to a Cat 2.

No, what they will do though is issue an Update to say that Hurricane Humberto has made landfall with winds of 100mph 15 miles east of High Island, TX. No advisory, but still information.

[SMNederlandTX]

Oh geez a CAT 2 good god what am I in for here!!!!! I got 2 babies now I am really not goin to bed lol I will try to stay online till power goes out will keep u update it is getting nasty here

Same here, i got 3 kids though and they are all sound asleep, even my husband is....geez, wish i could be like that!

[drezee]

971
URNT12 KNHC 130705
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/06:52:00Z
B. 29 deg 32 min N
094 deg 21 min W
H. 986 mb
I. 17 C/ 1525 m
J. 27 C/ 1499 m

[opera ghost]

There's simply no way to have known, for the people stuck in it. Don't second guess yourself at this point- you made the judgment you needed to with the information available. I think it's fair to say that *no one* expected this to happen.

[WindRunner]

Please, comments in the recon discussion thread.

UZNT13 KNHC 130705
XXAA 63078 99296 70944 08294 99986 26424 09004 00629 ///// /////
92559 23018 13504 85297 21656 11001 88999 77999
31313 09608 80652
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 16
62626 EYE SPL 2956N09436W 0654 MBL WND 11003 AEV 00000 DLM WND 15
003 985876 WL150 08503 075 =
XXBB 63078 99296 70944 08294 00986 26424 11892 21216 22850 21656
33846 21260 44845 21071
21212 00986 09004 11940 15002 22901 17007 33895 19503 44876 19002
55845 09501
31313 09608 80652
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 16
62626 EYE SPL 2956N09436W 0654 MBL WND 11003 AEV 00000 DLM WND 15
003 985876 WL150 08503 075 =


Eye drop, 986mb/4kts

Since I'm not allowed to post quickly enough to put up the VDM before you Thunder, I'll just say that the eye has more than doubled in size.

[Thunder44]

000
URNT12 KNHC 130705
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/06:52:00Z
B. 29 deg 32 min N
094 deg 21 min W
C. 850 mb 1308 m
D. 68 kt
E. 214 deg 4 nm
F. 290 deg 065 kt
G. 208 deg 004 nm
H. 986 mb
I. 17 C/ 1525 m
J. 27 C/ 1499 m
K. 0 C/ NA
L. OPEN WSW
M. C17
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 15
MAX FL WIND 78 KT E QUAD 06:02:20 Z
RAGGED EYEWALL
MET ACCURACY 1NM

[rainman]

mid jefferson airport has wind gust to 40 mph on latest ob

[vbhoutex]

I doubt they'll make another hurricane advisory to upgrade it to a Cat 2.

If this thing doesn't make landfall by the next adv at 4 am CDT, that might say cat 2 anyway. And even if it does make landfall, a tropical cyclone update will be issued.

Radar shows the northern portion of the eye on shore between HIgh Island and Gilchrist at around 1:35am CDT.

[wlfpack81]

I have to admit this is an amazing turn of events considering where we were 24hrs ago. I was thinking to myself earlier today that based on the rate of strengthening we were seeing it would be possible for Humberto to reach minimal hurricane status if it tracked more ne to nne than forecast. I know the area along the coast east of High Island isn't too populated but I hope that word of what's going on right now can be given to those isolated communities in its path (I assume that some went to sleep thinking Humberto would remain a moderate TS). 80mph may not be Katrina like but for mobile homes it's bad and with the wet soil from all the rain this summer it won't take much to bring down trees!!!

[Cyclenall]

My jaw is now to the FLOOR . CATEGORY 2? Crow is going to be hard to find after this one.

[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130707
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 23 20070913
065730 2936N 09402W 8417 01531 9990 +142 +999 168074 077 055 021 01
065800 2937N 09400W 8413 01547 9990 +137 +999 167067 070 043 040 01
065830 2937N 09359W 8425 01540 9990 +135 +999 166065 066 050 030 01
065900 2938N 09357W 8430 01542 9990 +138 +999 166063 065 049 017 01
065930 2939N 09355W 8428 01550 9990 +138 +999 166060 061 046 011 01
070000 2940N 09354W 8426 01555 9990 +149 +999 169056 057 043 004 01
070030 2940N 09352W 8430 01557 9990 +160 +999 170055 056 999 999 05
070100 2941N 09350W 8426 01562 9990 +147 +999 168053 054 084 001 05
070130 2942N 09348W 8432 01560 9990 +141 +999 167048 051 043 014 01
070200 2942N 09346W 8423 01571 9990 +133 +999 169047 049 045 015 01
070230 2943N 09345W 8427 01565 9990 +139 +999 164046 048 058 027 01
070300 2943N 09343W 8423 01565 9990 +133 +999 158044 048 061 035 01
070330 2944N 09341W 8410 01576 9990 +127 +999 166053 054 063 034 01
070400 2944N 09339W 8438 01548 9990 +122 +999 159054 058 061 033 01
070430 2945N 09338W 8416 01577 9990 +117 +999 159045 047 055 035 05
070500 2945N 09336W 8422 01572 9990 +114 +999 162042 043 999 999 05
070530 2945N 09334W 8426 01574 9990 +138 +999 162040 040 999 999 05
070600 2945N 09333W 8422 01580 9990 +138 +999 164036 038 038 014 05
070630 2945N 09331W 8422 01581 9990 +132 +999 158035 037 036 013 01
070700 2945N 09329W 8436 01569 9990 +152 +999 157040 042 999 999 05

[WindRunner]

Eyewall drop in NE quad . . . 991mb/64kts. Not the best of hits, but still a decent representation of the winds still over water.

UZNT13 KNHC 130705
XXAA 63078 99295 70942 08294 99991 26000 15064 00580 ///// /////
92605 23226 17595 85347 22039 19093 88999 77999
31313 09608 80655
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 16
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2961N09418W 0657 MBL WND 16087 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 17590 991857 WL150 15578 075 =
XXBB 63078 99295 70942 08294 00991 26000 11934 21200 22913 24640
33850 22039 44846 21656 55843 21071
21212 00991 15064 11978 15587 22970 16095 33958 16085 44947 17094
55931 17096 66907 17592 77890 18095 88880 18590 99863 19095 11857
19090 22843 19597
31313 09608 80655
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 16
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2961N09418W 0657 MBL WND 16087 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 17590 991857 WL150 15578 075 =

[WindRunner]

who wants some crow for overnight snack?

With all due respect, you should probably have some yourself. It seems your statements that a) it wouldn't become a hurricane and b) that it wouldn't reach Category 2 status have both been proven wrong.

[opera ghost]

I'll take my crow with a side of shrimp sauce and french fries. I put all my money on this storm never making Hurricane.