Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[KWT]

It is pretty similar to Danny and is every bit as strong, Humberto is probably stronger around 85-90mph at the moment but that doesn't appear to be reflected in the forecasts. Its quite impressive I have to admit, I bet some ar ein for a surprise when they wake up later on!

[WindRunner]

83kt drop didn't come in until after 0630z, so I'm not surprised . . . and the 989 was probably their guess that it would continue to drop in pressure . . .

[NewOrleansStunner]

Looking at the last radar, and I know it's foolish to conclude too much based on one or two radar images, but it looks like the eye wobbled slightly eastward.

I've heard about some tropical systems, when upper steering is weak, "bouncing" off the coast. I'm not sure of the science behind this, but our local meteorologist, Bob Breck, long ago talked about this, always refering to Juan in 1985.

Is it possible Humberto could do that? Or is the steering too strong pushing him NE?

[drezee]

OMG!!!!

284
URNT15 KNHC 130657
065430 2932N 09414W 8429 01401 9990 +246 +999 215069 077 069 000 05
065500 2932N 09411W 8415 01444 9990 +219 +999 197093 098 074 000 05
065530 2933N 09409W 8442 01442 9990 +192 +999 186094 095 074 000 01
065600 2934N 09407W 8426 01483 9990 +181 +999 181092 094 069 000 01
065630 2935N 09406W 8431 01495 9990 +167 +999 173085 089 065 001 01
065700 2935N 09404W 8412 01529 9990 +157 +999 169080 081 060 012 01
$$

[drezee]

heights have crashed and flight level winds support CAT2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[WindRunner]

SFMR to 62kts in SW quad and 74kts twice in E quad . . . and heights are significantly lower than last set of punching HDOBs, though that may just be luck in sampling timing.

URNT15 KNHC 130657
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 22 20070913
064730 2924N 09434W 8437 01523 9990 +173 +999 336031 032 040 000 01
064800 2925N 09433W 8424 01532 9990 +169 +999 340035 037 041 000 01
064830 2926N 09432W 8426 01525 9990 +173 +999 338040 042 043 000 05
064900 2926N 09430W 8431 01506 9990 +175 +999 330043 045 047 005 05
064930 2927N 09428W 8419 01503 9990 +158 +999 324051 056 056 017 01
065000 2928N 09426W 8436 01456 9990 +159 +999 322052 057 062 009 01
065030 2929N 09424W 8499 01363 9990 +175 +999 306057 059 068 001 05
065100 2929N 09423W 8510 01323 9990 +247 +999 283061 063 049 000 05
065130 2931N 09422W 8458 01353 9990 +258 +999 283039 057 036 000 05
065200 2933N 09421W 8427 01379 9990 +222 +999 304005 014 021 000 05
065230 2934N 09421W 8458 01340 9990 +191 +999 225006 009 999 999 05
065300 2934N 09419W 8405 01404 9990 +192 +999 209008 012 041 017 05
065330 2933N 09417W 8452 01352 9990 +206 +999 181018 021 031 008 01
065400 2932N 09416W 8427 01379 9990 +233 +999 212036 047 053 000 01
065430 2932N 09414W 8429 01401 9990 +246 +999 215069 077 069 000 05
065500 2932N 09411W 8415 01444 9990 +219 +999 197093 098 074 000 05
065530 2933N 09409W 8442 01442 9990 +192 +999 186094 095 074 000 01
065600 2934N 09407W 8426 01483 9990 +181 +999 181092 094 069 000 01
065630 2935N 09406W 8431 01495 9990 +167 +999 173085 089 065 001 01
065700 2935N 09404W 8412 01529 9990 +157 +999 169080 081 060 012 01

[Thunder44]

KNHC 130657
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 22 20070913
064730 2924N 09434W 8437 01523 9990 +173 +999 336031 032 040 000 01
064800 2925N 09433W 8424 01532 9990 +169 +999 340035 037 041 000 01
064830 2926N 09432W 8426 01525 9990 +173 +999 338040 042 043 000 05
064900 2926N 09430W 8431 01506 9990 +175 +999 330043 045 047 005 05
064930 2927N 09428W 8419 01503 9990 +158 +999 324051 056 056 017 01
065000 2928N 09426W 8436 01456 9990 +159 +999 322052 057 062 009 01
065030 2929N 09424W 8499 01363 9990 +175 +999 306057 059 068 001 05
065100 2929N 09423W 8510 01323 9990 +247 +999 283061 063 049 000 05
065130 2931N 09422W 8458 01353 9990 +258 +999 283039 057 036 000 05
065200 2933N 09421W 8427 01379 9990 +222 +999 304005 014 021 000 05
065230 2934N 09421W 8458 01340 9990 +191 +999 225006 009 999 999 05
065300 2934N 09419W 8405 01404 9990 +192 +999 209008 012 041 017 05
065330 2933N 09417W 8452 01352 9990 +206 +999 181018 021 031 008 01
065400 2932N 09416W 8427 01379 9990 +233 +999 212036 047 053 000 01
065430 2932N 09414W 8429 01401 9990 +246 +999 215069 077 069 000 05
065500 2932N 09411W 8415 01444 9990 +219 +999 197093 098 074 000 05
065530 2933N 09409W 8442 01442 9990 +192 +999 186094 095 074 000 01
065600 2934N 09407W 8426 01483 9990 +181 +999 181092 094 069 000 01
065630 2935N 09406W 8431 01495 9990 +167 +999 173085 089 065 001 01
065700 2935N 09404W 8412 01529 9990 +157 +999 169080 081 060 012 01

98kt FL wind E Quad

[JessRomero]

Well here in Port neches GUST r getting pretty hard the rain is sideways at times! It is pooring like crazy and it is only beginning I am tired but I don't think I will go to bed! Any idea how much rain we should get here?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

98 knots at flight level at .9 reduce is 100 mph at the surface. So she is a cat2.

[vbhoutex]

OMG!!!!

284
URNT15 KNHC 130657
065430 2932N 09414W 8429 01401 9990 +246 +999 215069 077 069 000 05
065500 2932N 09411W 8415 01444 9990 +219 +999 197093 098 074 000 05
065530 2933N 09409W 8442 01442 9990 +192 +999 186094 095 074 000 01
065600 2934N 09407W 8426 01483 9990 +181 +999 181092 094 069 000 01
065630 2935N 09406W 8431 01495 9990 +167 +999 173085 089 065 001 01
065700 2935N 09404W 8412 01529 9990 +157 +999 169080 081 060 012 01
$$

For those that do not know how to decode this please tell them why you are saying OMG!!!

[JtSmarts]

GET ON LAND NOW. Wow!! I never thought it would get this strong.

[Coredesat]

98 knots at flight level at .9 reduce is 100 mph at the surface. So she is a cat2.

He.

Sorry, I had to say it.

[SMNederlandTX]

OMG is right!!!!! Holy crap! If i would have known this we would have stayed with my mother in law....

[WindRunner]

Well here in Port neches GUST r getting pretty hard the rain is sideways at times! It is pooring like crazy and it is only beginning I am tired but I don't think I will go to bed! Any idea how much rain we should get here?

You're getting one of the outer squalls right now. The rain will lighten up in a little bit, but next time it goes heavy you'll be in the eyewall.

[drezee]

OMG!!!!

284
URNT15 KNHC 130657
065430 2932N 09414W 8429 01401 9990 +246 +999 215069 077 069 000 05
065500 2932N 09411W 8415 01444 9990 +219 +999 197093 098 074 000 05
065530 2933N 09409W 8442 01442 9990 +192 +999 186094 095 074 000 01
065600 2934N 09407W 8426 01483 9990 +181 +999 181092 094 069 000 01
065630 2935N 09406W 8431 01495 9990 +167 +999 173085 089 065 001 01
065700 2935N 09404W 8412 01529 9990 +157 +999 169080 081 060 012 01
$$

Flight level winds supprt 100mph and heights sampled are 40 meters lower than 30 minutes ago

[NewOrleansStunner]

984 mb and 100 surface level winds. Wow

[Brent]

98 knots at flight level at .9 reduce is 100 mph at the surface. So she is a cat2.

He.

Sorry, I had to say it.

Anyway... OMG!

[JessRomero]

Oh geez a CAT 2 good god what am I in for here!!!!! I got 2 babies now I am really not goin to bed lol I will try to stay online till power goes out will keep u update it is getting nasty here

[JtSmarts]

The crazy thing is that none of the national outlets besides TWC are covering this.

[KWT]

wow several +90kts readings at flight level, dependi ng on the reduction values they use this has a fair chance at being upped to a category-2 hurricane, talk about rapid developing hurricanes this season!!!