Quick encore here . . . eyewall drop just got in with surface at 993mb/83kts . . . technically a borderline Cat 2 . . .
UZNT13 KNHC 130632
XXAA 63068 99295 70943 08294 99993 25200 09083 00564 ///// /////
92620 22400 14579 85357 19648 17556 88999 77999
31313 09608 80602
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2951N09432W 0605 MBL WND 10588 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 13071 993892 WL150 09084 075 =
XXBB 63068 99295 70943 08294 00993 25200 11855 20201 22850 19648
33844 17667
21212 00993 09083 11975 09585 22961 10092 33953 10590 44945 12100
55939 12583 66928 14088 77920 14067 88916 15069 99912 16579 11908
16573 22905 16581 33903 16072 44900 16576 55892 17066 66844 17554
31313 09608 80602
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2951N09432W 0605 MBL WND 10588 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 13071 993892 WL150 09084 075 =
Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
-
southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Warning.. long post. Skip if you're not interested. There's been several products issued recently, so I'm just c/p them all.
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 669
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
TORNADO WATCH 669 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TXC245-361-131500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0669.070913T0620Z-070913T1500Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hurricane Local Statement
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-131000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
107 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HUMBERTO STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR CAMERON...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...VERMILION...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...IBERIA...UPPER AND LOWER
SAINT MARTIN...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES IN LOUISIANA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SARGENT
TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1215 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR 29.4 NORTH LATITUDE...94.4 WEST LONGITUDE...OR AROUND 15 MILES
SOUTH OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA...AND 135 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA.
HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS
DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HUMBERTO WILL BE CROSSING BETWEEN HIGH ISLAND AND SABINE
PASS TEXAS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THERE ARE NO EVACUATIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY OR CAMERON AND
VERMILION PARISHES.
HOWEVER...CALCASIEU PARISH OEP ADVISES ANYONE LIVING IN LOW-LYING
OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS TO CONSIDER A SAFER LOCATION IN THE EVENT OF
FLOODING. IN ADDITION...ANYONE WHO FEELS UNCOMFORTABLE IN HIS OR
HER CURRENT LIVING LOCATION SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO A MORE
SECURE LOCATION.
THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER IS AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER. PERSONS
UNABLE TO TRANSPORT THEMSELVES OR GET A RIDE FROM FAMILY OR
FRIENDS TO THE SHELTER SHOULD CALL THE OFFICE OF COMMUNITY SERVICE
AT 337-721-4040.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY AND CAMERON PARISH...TIDES ARE RUNNING UP TO 2
FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THIS MORNING. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WILL RESULT IN
SIMILAR AFFECTS SEEN DURING TROPICAL STORM FRANCES IN 1998 AND
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IN 1982.
FOR VERMILION...IBERIA...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES...TIDES ARE
RUNNING BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL INCREASE TO 2
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATER THIS MORNING.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 6 TO 7 FEET ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY...
HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SABINE PASS AND PORT ARTHUR WILL SEE 1 TO 2
FEET OF WATER ACROSS THE ROAD. SIDE ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL ALSO
BE FLOODED.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 6 TO 7 FEET ACROSS CAMERON PARISH...
PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 82 WILL HAVE FLOOD BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND
JOHNSON`S BAYOU...AND BETWEEN OAK GROVE AND GRAND CHENIER. ALSO
EXPECT PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON TO FLOOD...WITH WATER
DEPTHS NEAR A 2 TO 3 FEET DEEP.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...
SOME ROADS IN INTRACOASTAL CITY AND DELCAMBRE WILL BE UNDER 1 TO
2 FEET OF WATER.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND SAINT
MARY PARISHES...SOME ROADS WILL BE UNDER 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER NEAR
CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT.
TIDES AT SABINE PASS ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AT 4:29
AM...LOW TIDE AT 1124 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 5:32 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT
11:27 PM.
TIDES AT CAMERON ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 3:33 AM...LOW TIDE AT
10:38 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 4:36 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT 10:41 PM.
TIDES IN VERMILION BAY ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE 5:15 AM...LOW TIDE
AT 11:29 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 6:18 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT 11:32 PM.
...WIND...
THROUGH 8 AM...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS UP TO 75 TO 80 MPH WILL OCCUR
NEAR COASTAL SECTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND CAMERON
PARISH...BETWEEN SABINE PASS AND JOHNSONS BAYOU.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR ACROSS INLAND
PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...INCLUDING
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...AND ORANGE.
IN CALCASIEU PARISH...WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 MPH NEAR
VINTON...TO 30 TO 40 MPH IN LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...AND WESTLAKE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN TOTALS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES OF
RAIN.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG I-10...EXTENDING
SOUTH TO THE COAST. TORNADO WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY FURTHER INLAND
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
...HYDROLOGIC IMPACT...
HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST WILL CAUSE WATER BACK-UP ALONG LOWER
REACHES OF THE CALCASIEU...MERMENTAU...VERMILION...NECHES AND
SABINE RIVERS. CURRENTLY...THE CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY AND
SALT WATER BARRIER ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE FLOOD STAGE OF 4 FEET
LATER THIS MORNING. THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE AREA
RIVER LEVELS AND FLOWS TO INCREASE. RESIDENTS WITH INTERESTS ALONG
AREA RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FUTURE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE OUT BY 5 AM CDT.
$$
ERICKSON
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
111 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
GMZ450-452-470-472-LAZ041-042-051-TXZ215-216-130715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-CAMERON-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CAMERON...
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
111 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
.NOW...
THROUGH 2 AM...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE
JEFFERSON COUNTY COASTLINE. OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STORM WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ONSHORE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SABINE PASS TO
HIGH ISLAND...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT LAND AREAS OF SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO
40 MPH. OTHER SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTAINING WINDS TO 25 TO 30 MPH
WILL MOVE INTO CAMERON AND SOUTHERN CALCASIEU PARISHES.
$$
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Inland Tropical Storm Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEARING THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST...
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO IS FORECAST TO COME ASHORE ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTLINE TO THE WEST OF SEA RIM STATE PARK AROUND 3
AM THURSDAY MORNING. ON THIS PROJECTED PATH...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CAMERON PARISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LAZ051-TXZ215-131345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0001.070913T0600Z-070913T1100Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070913T1500Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
THIS MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM CDT THIS MORNING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM 2 AM TO AROUND 6 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT LOCATIONS
INCLUDING SABINE PASS...PORT ARTHUR...GROVES...AND OVER EXTREME
WESTERN CAMERON PARISH NEAR JOHNSON BAYOU AND CONSTANCE BEACH.
AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKEN...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
WILL OCCUR AFTER 6 AM ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CAMERON PARISH AND
CALCASIEU PARISH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMERON...GRAND
LAKE...LAKE CHARLES...AND VINTON.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM. WINDS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...
FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
$$
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Inland Hurricane Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEARING THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST...
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO IS FORECAST TO COME ASHORE ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTLINE TO THE WEST OF SEA RIM STATE PARK AROUND 3
AM THURSDAY MORNING. ON THIS PROJECTED PATH...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CAMERON PARISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LAZ051-TXZ215-131345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0001.070913T0600Z-070913T1100Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070913T1500Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
THIS MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM CDT THIS MORNING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM 2 AM TO AROUND 6 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT LOCATIONS
INCLUDING SABINE PASS...PORT ARTHUR...GROVES...AND OVER EXTREME
WESTERN CAMERON PARISH NEAR JOHNSON BAYOU AND CONSTANCE BEACH.
AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKEN...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
WILL OCCUR AFTER 6 AM ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CAMERON PARISH AND
CALCASIEU PARISH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMERON...GRAND
LAKE...LAKE CHARLES...AND VINTON.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM. WINDS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...
FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
$$
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hurricane Warning
HUMBERTO WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
1215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO
LAZ051-TXZ215-130900-
/O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1009.070913T0515Z-000000T0000Z/
1215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W
CAMERON-LA 29.78N 93.30W
$$
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
829 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO...
.TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORMED IN THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO PUMP COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
THROUGH TOMORROW. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE AROUND FIVE INCHES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGH TOMORROW
EVENING. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTH AN ADDITIONAL FIVE
INCHES WILL FALL OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
AROUND 15 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THIS ENTIRE
EVENT.
LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-130900-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-070914T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...
JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...
ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...WOODVILLE...JASPER...
NEWTON...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
829 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST.
LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION AND VERNON.
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...
ORANGE AND TYLER.
* THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
* THE COMBINATION OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
HUMBERTO WILL GENERATE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. MEAN AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS
ACROSS THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE WILL BE ABOUT FIVE INCHES TONIGHT AND
FIVE INCHES FOR TOMORROW WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...
CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE
READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
$$
JS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
515 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-132215-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
515 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WILL MOVE ONSHORE BETWEEN GALVESTON AND
HIGH ISLAND. FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CHECK THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT FROM THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN LAKE CHARLES
LOUISIANA.
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LCH
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SEE ABOVE STATEMENT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAYBE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT.
$$
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 669
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
TORNADO WATCH 669 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TXC245-361-131500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0669.070913T0620Z-070913T1500Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hurricane Local Statement
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-131000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
107 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HUMBERTO STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR CAMERON...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...VERMILION...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...IBERIA...UPPER AND LOWER
SAINT MARTIN...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES IN LOUISIANA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SARGENT
TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1215 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR 29.4 NORTH LATITUDE...94.4 WEST LONGITUDE...OR AROUND 15 MILES
SOUTH OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA...AND 135 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA.
HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS
DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HUMBERTO WILL BE CROSSING BETWEEN HIGH ISLAND AND SABINE
PASS TEXAS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THERE ARE NO EVACUATIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY OR CAMERON AND
VERMILION PARISHES.
HOWEVER...CALCASIEU PARISH OEP ADVISES ANYONE LIVING IN LOW-LYING
OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS TO CONSIDER A SAFER LOCATION IN THE EVENT OF
FLOODING. IN ADDITION...ANYONE WHO FEELS UNCOMFORTABLE IN HIS OR
HER CURRENT LIVING LOCATION SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO A MORE
SECURE LOCATION.
THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER IS AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER. PERSONS
UNABLE TO TRANSPORT THEMSELVES OR GET A RIDE FROM FAMILY OR
FRIENDS TO THE SHELTER SHOULD CALL THE OFFICE OF COMMUNITY SERVICE
AT 337-721-4040.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY AND CAMERON PARISH...TIDES ARE RUNNING UP TO 2
FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THIS MORNING. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WILL RESULT IN
SIMILAR AFFECTS SEEN DURING TROPICAL STORM FRANCES IN 1998 AND
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IN 1982.
FOR VERMILION...IBERIA...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES...TIDES ARE
RUNNING BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL INCREASE TO 2
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATER THIS MORNING.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 6 TO 7 FEET ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY...
HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SABINE PASS AND PORT ARTHUR WILL SEE 1 TO 2
FEET OF WATER ACROSS THE ROAD. SIDE ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL ALSO
BE FLOODED.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 6 TO 7 FEET ACROSS CAMERON PARISH...
PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 82 WILL HAVE FLOOD BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND
JOHNSON`S BAYOU...AND BETWEEN OAK GROVE AND GRAND CHENIER. ALSO
EXPECT PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON TO FLOOD...WITH WATER
DEPTHS NEAR A 2 TO 3 FEET DEEP.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...
SOME ROADS IN INTRACOASTAL CITY AND DELCAMBRE WILL BE UNDER 1 TO
2 FEET OF WATER.
FOR EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS OF 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND SAINT
MARY PARISHES...SOME ROADS WILL BE UNDER 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER NEAR
CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT.
TIDES AT SABINE PASS ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AT 4:29
AM...LOW TIDE AT 1124 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 5:32 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT
11:27 PM.
TIDES AT CAMERON ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 3:33 AM...LOW TIDE AT
10:38 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 4:36 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT 10:41 PM.
TIDES IN VERMILION BAY ON THURSDAY...HIGH TIDE 5:15 AM...LOW TIDE
AT 11:29 AM...HIGH TIDE AT 6:18 PM...AND LOW TIDE AT 11:32 PM.
...WIND...
THROUGH 8 AM...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS UP TO 75 TO 80 MPH WILL OCCUR
NEAR COASTAL SECTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND CAMERON
PARISH...BETWEEN SABINE PASS AND JOHNSONS BAYOU.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR ACROSS INLAND
PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...INCLUDING
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...AND ORANGE.
IN CALCASIEU PARISH...WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 MPH NEAR
VINTON...TO 30 TO 40 MPH IN LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...AND WESTLAKE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN TOTALS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES OF
RAIN.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG I-10...EXTENDING
SOUTH TO THE COAST. TORNADO WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY FURTHER INLAND
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
...HYDROLOGIC IMPACT...
HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST WILL CAUSE WATER BACK-UP ALONG LOWER
REACHES OF THE CALCASIEU...MERMENTAU...VERMILION...NECHES AND
SABINE RIVERS. CURRENTLY...THE CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY AND
SALT WATER BARRIER ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE FLOOD STAGE OF 4 FEET
LATER THIS MORNING. THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE AREA
RIVER LEVELS AND FLOWS TO INCREASE. RESIDENTS WITH INTERESTS ALONG
AREA RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FUTURE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE OUT BY 5 AM CDT.
$$
ERICKSON
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
111 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
GMZ450-452-470-472-LAZ041-042-051-TXZ215-216-130715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-CAMERON-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CAMERON...
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
111 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
.NOW...
THROUGH 2 AM...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE
JEFFERSON COUNTY COASTLINE. OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STORM WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ONSHORE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SABINE PASS TO
HIGH ISLAND...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT LAND AREAS OF SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO
40 MPH. OTHER SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTAINING WINDS TO 25 TO 30 MPH
WILL MOVE INTO CAMERON AND SOUTHERN CALCASIEU PARISHES.
$$
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Inland Tropical Storm Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEARING THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST...
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO IS FORECAST TO COME ASHORE ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTLINE TO THE WEST OF SEA RIM STATE PARK AROUND 3
AM THURSDAY MORNING. ON THIS PROJECTED PATH...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CAMERON PARISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LAZ051-TXZ215-131345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0001.070913T0600Z-070913T1100Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070913T1500Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
THIS MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM CDT THIS MORNING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM 2 AM TO AROUND 6 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT LOCATIONS
INCLUDING SABINE PASS...PORT ARTHUR...GROVES...AND OVER EXTREME
WESTERN CAMERON PARISH NEAR JOHNSON BAYOU AND CONSTANCE BEACH.
AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKEN...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
WILL OCCUR AFTER 6 AM ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CAMERON PARISH AND
CALCASIEU PARISH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMERON...GRAND
LAKE...LAKE CHARLES...AND VINTON.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM. WINDS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...
FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
$$
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Inland Hurricane Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEARING THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST...
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO IS FORECAST TO COME ASHORE ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTLINE TO THE WEST OF SEA RIM STATE PARK AROUND 3
AM THURSDAY MORNING. ON THIS PROJECTED PATH...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CAMERON PARISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LAZ051-TXZ215-131345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0001.070913T0600Z-070913T1100Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070913T1500Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR
1259 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
THIS MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM CDT THIS MORNING.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM 2 AM TO AROUND 6 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT LOCATIONS
INCLUDING SABINE PASS...PORT ARTHUR...GROVES...AND OVER EXTREME
WESTERN CAMERON PARISH NEAR JOHNSON BAYOU AND CONSTANCE BEACH.
AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKEN...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
WILL OCCUR AFTER 6 AM ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CAMERON PARISH AND
CALCASIEU PARISH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMERON...GRAND
LAKE...LAKE CHARLES...AND VINTON.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM. WINDS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...
FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
$$
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hurricane Warning
HUMBERTO WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
1215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO
LAZ051-TXZ215-130900-
/O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1009.070913T0515Z-000000T0000Z/
1215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W
CAMERON-LA 29.78N 93.30W
$$
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
829 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO...
.TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORMED IN THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO PUMP COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
THROUGH TOMORROW. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE AROUND FIVE INCHES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGH TOMORROW
EVENING. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTH AN ADDITIONAL FIVE
INCHES WILL FALL OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
AROUND 15 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THIS ENTIRE
EVENT.
LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-130900-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-070914T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...
JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...
ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...WOODVILLE...JASPER...
NEWTON...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
829 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST.
LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION AND VERNON.
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...
ORANGE AND TYLER.
* THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
* THE COMBINATION OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
HUMBERTO WILL GENERATE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. MEAN AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS
ACROSS THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE WILL BE ABOUT FIVE INCHES TONIGHT AND
FIVE INCHES FOR TOMORROW WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...
CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE
READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
$$
JS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
515 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-132215-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
515 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WILL MOVE ONSHORE BETWEEN GALVESTON AND
HIGH ISLAND. FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CHECK THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT FROM THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN LAKE CHARLES
LOUISIANA.
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LCH
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SEE ABOVE STATEMENT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAYBE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT.
$$
0 likes
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): RECON obs: Next mission: 13/0430Z
WindRunner wrote:Quick encore here . . . eyewall drop just got in with surface at 993mb/83kts . . . technically a borderline Cat 2 . . .
Wow...Nature can sure surprise us sometimes. Never thought the naked swirl yesterday would become this.
0 likes
-
SMNederlandTX
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 57
- Age: 50
- Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2007 7:02 pm
- Location: Nederland, TX
-
southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
Weather alert went off again right after my last post...
Flash Flood Warning
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC245-130830-
/X.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0002.070913T0633Z-070913T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
133 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SABINE PASS...PORT NECHES...PORT
ARTHUR...NOME...NEDERLAND...HAMSHIRE...GROVES...CENTRAL GARDENS...
BEAUMONT...
* UNTIL 330 AM CDT
* AT 131 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHINA AND
BEVIL OAKS
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
LAT...LON 3016 9412 3008 9410 3000 9400 2997 9387
2980 9394 2967 9384 2968 9405 2957 9436
2990 9436 2991 9444 3009 9444 3010 9435
3018 9417
$$
06
Flash Flood Warning
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC245-130830-
/X.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0002.070913T0633Z-070913T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
133 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SABINE PASS...PORT NECHES...PORT
ARTHUR...NOME...NEDERLAND...HAMSHIRE...GROVES...CENTRAL GARDENS...
BEAUMONT...
* UNTIL 330 AM CDT
* AT 131 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHINA AND
BEVIL OAKS
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
LAT...LON 3016 9412 3008 9410 3000 9400 2997 9387
2980 9394 2967 9384 2968 9405 2957 9436
2990 9436 2991 9444 3009 9444 3010 9435
3018 9417
$$
06
0 likes
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
What the heck . . . I'll stay. That drop hooked me, as they're going back in . . .
URNT15 KNHC 130637
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 20 20070913
062730 2852N 09515W 8426 01590 9990 +175 +999 274021 021 013 000 01
062800 2850N 09516W 8432 01585 9990 +174 +999 274020 020 016 000 01
062830 2849N 09518W 8422 01595 9990 +170 +999 279019 019 019 000 01
062900 2848N 09520W 8431 01588 9990 +170 +999 279018 019 002 000 01
062930 2846N 09521W 8424 01596 9990 +170 +999 280019 019 006 000 01
063000 2845N 09523W 8427 01593 9990 +170 +999 277019 019 008 000 01
063030 2844N 09524W 8426 01594 9990 +173 +999 274017 018 006 000 05
063100 2842N 09525W 8423 01596 9990 +167 +999 277019 020 999 999 05
063130 2841N 09523W 8424 01596 9990 +166 +999 273020 021 999 999 05
063200 2842N 09521W 8426 01596 9990 +169 +999 262020 021 999 999 05
063230 2844N 09521W 8428 01592 9990 +170 +999 257018 018 004 000 05
063300 2846N 09520W 8428 01591 9990 +169 +999 261017 018 000 000 05
063330 2848N 09519W 8427 01590 9990 +170 +999 257019 020 003 000 01
063400 2849N 09517W 8426 01591 9990 +174 +999 259020 020 006 000 01
063430 2851N 09516W 8424 01592 9990 +175 +999 258020 021 008 000 01
063500 2852N 09514W 8428 01587 9990 +175 +999 257021 022 009 000 01
063530 2854N 09512W 8424 01589 9990 +175 +999 259021 022 011 000 01
063600 2855N 09510W 8426 01589 9990 +170 +999 255019 019 013 000 01
063630 2857N 09508W 8424 01587 9990 +172 +999 253019 019 013 000 01
063700 2858N 09507W 8426 01587 9990 +170 +999 253018 019 019 000 01
URNT15 KNHC 130637
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 20 20070913
062730 2852N 09515W 8426 01590 9990 +175 +999 274021 021 013 000 01
062800 2850N 09516W 8432 01585 9990 +174 +999 274020 020 016 000 01
062830 2849N 09518W 8422 01595 9990 +170 +999 279019 019 019 000 01
062900 2848N 09520W 8431 01588 9990 +170 +999 279018 019 002 000 01
062930 2846N 09521W 8424 01596 9990 +170 +999 280019 019 006 000 01
063000 2845N 09523W 8427 01593 9990 +170 +999 277019 019 008 000 01
063030 2844N 09524W 8426 01594 9990 +173 +999 274017 018 006 000 05
063100 2842N 09525W 8423 01596 9990 +167 +999 277019 020 999 999 05
063130 2841N 09523W 8424 01596 9990 +166 +999 273020 021 999 999 05
063200 2842N 09521W 8426 01596 9990 +169 +999 262020 021 999 999 05
063230 2844N 09521W 8428 01592 9990 +170 +999 257018 018 004 000 05
063300 2846N 09520W 8428 01591 9990 +169 +999 261017 018 000 000 05
063330 2848N 09519W 8427 01590 9990 +170 +999 257019 020 003 000 01
063400 2849N 09517W 8426 01591 9990 +174 +999 259020 020 006 000 01
063430 2851N 09516W 8424 01592 9990 +175 +999 258020 021 008 000 01
063500 2852N 09514W 8428 01587 9990 +175 +999 257021 022 009 000 01
063530 2854N 09512W 8424 01589 9990 +175 +999 259021 022 011 000 01
063600 2855N 09510W 8426 01589 9990 +170 +999 255019 019 013 000 01
063630 2857N 09508W 8424 01587 9990 +172 +999 253019 019 013 000 01
063700 2858N 09507W 8426 01587 9990 +170 +999 253018 019 019 000 01
0 likes
-
SMNederlandTX
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 57
- Age: 50
- Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2007 7:02 pm
- Location: Nederland, TX
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
Knowing the satellite internet I have back at home, don't count on it . . .
Radar for those interested . . . the lightning is dying down, but you can see the remnants on the radar. Still about 350 or so strikes that have occured in the last 20 minutes.
It's also interesting to see how the southern eyewall has started to flare once again, even with a tiny bit of lightning.
Radar for those interested . . . the lightning is dying down, but you can see the remnants on the radar. Still about 350 or so strikes that have occured in the last 20 minutes.
It's also interesting to see how the southern eyewall has started to flare once again, even with a tiny bit of lightning.
0 likes
Re:
WindRunner wrote:We now have 83kts in the eyewall per a dropsonde . . . that's borderline Cat 2 . . .
And lightning is only getting worse . . .
Winds also came out the East direction, which mean this was in north quad. Stronger winds might be over the east quad.
0 likes
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
That drop was very surprising!!! 83 kt surface winds will cause damage and for those who stayed in mobile homes, this wind will destroy the structure!
0 likes
-
opera ghost
- Category 4
- Posts: 909
- Joined: Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:40 pm
- Location: Houston, Texas
Re:
SMNederlandTX wrote:great, my satelitte just went out....
If it's coming over land on top of you, you will probably lose power before the end of it. That's okay and fairly normal- hopefully you have your emergency radio!
If you have ice cubes in your freezer, now's a great time to move them into the fridge and put anything from the fridge that would spoil but can be easily frozen into the freezer. That way if the powers out more than a day or two you can keep the freezer sealed and use the fridge part to store stuff that won't spoil but should be kept cold Put the ice cubes in the fridge for a cold drink tomorrow =)
I can't believe how fast this intensified. I'm eating crow- I did not expect it to ever get past TS and here it is a strong 1.
0 likes
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
Wow this is pretty amazing to see, first hurricane landfalling since Wilma in 2005. I don't think many people have prepared for a landfalling hurricane simply because the speed it has ramped up. Landfall should be very soon. Amazing little system, got to be one of the quickest from TD to hurricane?
Some very intense rain now moving into Texas, i sure hope flooding isn't too extreme.
Some very intense rain now moving into Texas, i sure hope flooding isn't too extreme.
0 likes
-
vbhoutex
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 29112
- Age: 73
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
- Location: Cypress, TX
- Contact:
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
I am showing, based on radar, the eye is coming ashore between Gilchrist and High Island at 1:35 am. Really an astounding day as we had a "simple little TD" less than 24 hours ago and we now have a landfalling borderline CAT2 intensity hurricane!!!! Simply amazing!! I hope all of our friends to the East are safe!!!! Keeping all of you in my prayers!
OG, I am eating heaps of crow!!! I told people that it wouldn't make it to TD less than 36 hours ago!!!!
OG, I am eating heaps of crow!!! I told people that it wouldn't make it to TD less than 36 hours ago!!!!
0 likes
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
Well well, didn't see this coming. Reminds me of Katrina with the rapid intensification before landfall. This is bad enough, but wow, be glad it didn't have another 24 hours to stew over water before heading in -- the Rita victims would be at wit's end dealing with her little brother!
0 likes
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
URNT15 KNHC 130647
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 21 20070913
063730 2900N 09505W 8424 01587 9990 +169 +999 259018 018 016 000 01
063800 2901N 09503W 8426 01583 9990 +165 +999 254018 019 018 000 01
063830 2903N 09501W 8424 01583 9990 +165 +999 255018 019 019 000 01
063900 2904N 09459W 8432 01573 9990 +165 +999 253020 020 019 000 01
063930 2905N 09458W 8425 01580 9990 +163 +999 255018 019 021 000 01
064000 2907N 09456W 8424 01580 9990 +166 +999 249020 021 023 000 01
064030 2908N 09454W 8428 01577 9990 +170 +999 248020 020 024 000 01
064100 2910N 09452W 8443 01559 9990 +169 +999 255020 020 023 000 01
064130 2911N 09451W 8421 01579 9990 +160 +999 260020 021 024 000 01
064200 2912N 09449W 8428 01570 9990 +169 +999 276020 020 026 000 01
064230 2913N 09448W 8428 01569 9990 +171 +999 284018 019 026 000 01
064300 2914N 09447W 8427 01570 9990 +171 +999 293018 019 026 000 01
064330 2915N 09445W 8427 01564 9990 +165 +999 307020 021 029 000 01
064400 2917N 09444W 8426 01563 9990 +164 +999 317021 023 029 003 01
064430 2918N 09442W 8430 01558 9990 +165 +999 319023 024 032 001 01
064500 2919N 09441W 8431 01553 9990 +162 +999 319021 022 036 000 01
064530 2920N 09440W 8427 01556 9990 +164 +999 324023 025 035 001 01
064600 2921N 09438W 8426 01552 9990 +168 +999 326024 024 037 000 01
064630 2922N 09437W 8426 01549 9990 +164 +999 335027 032 038 001 01
064700 2923N 09435W 8427 01540 9990 +172 +999 335029 029 038 000 01
Starting to ramp, and heights falling . . .
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 21 20070913
063730 2900N 09505W 8424 01587 9990 +169 +999 259018 018 016 000 01
063800 2901N 09503W 8426 01583 9990 +165 +999 254018 019 018 000 01
063830 2903N 09501W 8424 01583 9990 +165 +999 255018 019 019 000 01
063900 2904N 09459W 8432 01573 9990 +165 +999 253020 020 019 000 01
063930 2905N 09458W 8425 01580 9990 +163 +999 255018 019 021 000 01
064000 2907N 09456W 8424 01580 9990 +166 +999 249020 021 023 000 01
064030 2908N 09454W 8428 01577 9990 +170 +999 248020 020 024 000 01
064100 2910N 09452W 8443 01559 9990 +169 +999 255020 020 023 000 01
064130 2911N 09451W 8421 01579 9990 +160 +999 260020 021 024 000 01
064200 2912N 09449W 8428 01570 9990 +169 +999 276020 020 026 000 01
064230 2913N 09448W 8428 01569 9990 +171 +999 284018 019 026 000 01
064300 2914N 09447W 8427 01570 9990 +171 +999 293018 019 026 000 01
064330 2915N 09445W 8427 01564 9990 +165 +999 307020 021 029 000 01
064400 2917N 09444W 8426 01563 9990 +164 +999 317021 023 029 003 01
064430 2918N 09442W 8430 01558 9990 +165 +999 319023 024 032 001 01
064500 2919N 09441W 8431 01553 9990 +162 +999 319021 022 036 000 01
064530 2920N 09440W 8427 01556 9990 +164 +999 324023 025 035 001 01
064600 2921N 09438W 8426 01552 9990 +168 +999 326024 024 037 000 01
064630 2922N 09437W 8426 01549 9990 +164 +999 335027 032 038 001 01
064700 2923N 09435W 8427 01540 9990 +172 +999 335029 029 038 000 01
Starting to ramp, and heights falling . . .
0 likes
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
SAt presentation looks almost identical to Danny from 1997!
0 likes
Re: Re:
WindRunner wrote:No, not quite . . . the eye had shrunk by 2nm, from 8 to 6. New VDM should/could be in any minute with newer data, but yes, the SFMR winds would indicate a strong Cat 1. Makes me laugh when I consider that I told someone earlier today that this could be very much like Katrina in south Florida . . .
Thanks for clearing that up.
0 likes
Re: Hurricane HUMBERTO (GOM): Discussion & Images
570
WHXX01 KWBC 130644
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0644 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO (AL092007) 20070913 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070913 0600 070913 1800 070914 0600 070914 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.5N 94.4W 31.1N 94.1W 32.1N 93.3W 32.0N 92.2W
BAMD 29.5N 94.4W 31.5N 93.0W 33.8N 90.4W 36.1N 85.5W
BAMM 29.5N 94.4W 31.1N 93.7W 32.6N 92.1W 33.4N 89.6W
LBAR 29.5N 94.4W 30.7N 93.4W 32.5N 92.1W 34.7N 89.9W
SHIP 70KTS 78KTS 79KTS 76KTS
DSHP 70KTS 43KTS 32KTS 28KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070915 0600 070916 0600 070917 0600 070918 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 30.6N 92.4W 29.0N 96.2W 30.7N 99.9W 35.8N 99.8W
BAMD 39.1N 77.0W 48.5N 60.2W 58.4N 47.5W 65.2N 38.1W
BAMM 33.0N 86.1W 32.4N 80.9W 32.8N 78.1W 33.4N 77.7W
LBAR 37.3N 85.4W 45.9N 65.0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 66KTS 45KTS 27KTS 15KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.5N LONCUR = 94.4W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 28.3N LONM12 = 95.0W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 27.3N LONM24 = 95.0W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 989MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 90NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 25NM RD34NW = 25NM
$$
NNNN
0z models still at 70kt winds, pressure at 989mb
WHXX01 KWBC 130644
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0644 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO (AL092007) 20070913 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070913 0600 070913 1800 070914 0600 070914 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.5N 94.4W 31.1N 94.1W 32.1N 93.3W 32.0N 92.2W
BAMD 29.5N 94.4W 31.5N 93.0W 33.8N 90.4W 36.1N 85.5W
BAMM 29.5N 94.4W 31.1N 93.7W 32.6N 92.1W 33.4N 89.6W
LBAR 29.5N 94.4W 30.7N 93.4W 32.5N 92.1W 34.7N 89.9W
SHIP 70KTS 78KTS 79KTS 76KTS
DSHP 70KTS 43KTS 32KTS 28KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070915 0600 070916 0600 070917 0600 070918 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 30.6N 92.4W 29.0N 96.2W 30.7N 99.9W 35.8N 99.8W
BAMD 39.1N 77.0W 48.5N 60.2W 58.4N 47.5W 65.2N 38.1W
BAMM 33.0N 86.1W 32.4N 80.9W 32.8N 78.1W 33.4N 77.7W
LBAR 37.3N 85.4W 45.9N 65.0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 66KTS 45KTS 27KTS 15KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.5N LONCUR = 94.4W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 28.3N LONM12 = 95.0W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 27.3N LONM24 = 95.0W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 989MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 90NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 25NM RD34NW = 25NM
$$
NNNN
0z models still at 70kt winds, pressure at 989mb
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests