Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Chacor]

An IR image from 05Z...

[rainman]

Tornado watch has been issued

[Steve]

Last one for me before bed, but check out the 1:20 frame as it looks like we ended up with a circular eye.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[SMNederlandTX]

Port Arthur, Beaumont, Nederland, PNG...none of them

if things get as bad as they are suppose to, I am sure ( or i would at least hope ) they will close the schools....i heard earlier that bisd was suppose to make the decision around 3 am, if they close i am sure others will too

[WindRunner]

Eerily so, yes. It's really cleaning itself up before landfall.



The lightning has increased by several dozen strikes even since I took this picture (note: that picture shows about 300 or so strikes)

[SMNederlandTX]

keep checking the kfdm website....greg bostwick goes live at 1:46 am....going from twc, kfdm, this website, kfdms website....LOL want to make sure I don't miss anything

[southerngale]

A lot of people in E Texas around Beaumont are in for a big surprise in a few hours as now Hurricane Humberto will be trecking overhead around dawn. I think Humberto has caught many unprepared as it spun up so quickly. I'm impressed at how rapidly the hurricane organized this morning thru afternoon to evening. I hope everyone got out of their FEMA trailers and sought shelter. I have a bad feeling that some people might get killed tonight because of this rather unexpected hurricane......MGC

I talked to several people today who were like "what storm in the Gulf?"

It's been all over the news tonight, but there are still people living along the coast in FEMA trailers. I have no idea if they got out. There wasn't a Hurricane Watch or Warning, it developed rapidly, and nobody expected it to get this strong.

[Cyclenall]

Looks like 75 kt will be the landfall intensity...

Don't buy the 77 and 80kt SFMR readings?

Does this mean it's close to category 2 strength? If so, my jaw is starting to drop, it's getting hard to keep it closed and upright . I wonder what it looks like on IR night time. It's really small, I read the eye was 2nm!??!

[Chacor]

Interesting TMI pass from 0414...

[Chacor]

Looks like 75 kt will be the landfall intensity...

Don't buy the 77 and 80kt SFMR readings?

Does this mean it's close to category 2 strength? If so, my jaw is starting to drop, it's getting hard to keep it closed and upright . I wonder what it looks like on IR night time. It's really small, I read the eye was 2nm!??!

Eye is 10 nm, per the 0515Z advisory.

[SMNederlandTX]

A lot of people in E Texas around Beaumont are in for a big surprise in a few hours as now Hurricane Humberto will be trecking overhead around dawn. I think Humberto has caught many unprepared as it spun up so quickly. I'm impressed at how rapidly the hurricane organized this morning thru afternoon to evening. I hope everyone got out of their FEMA trailers and sought shelter. I have a bad feeling that some people might get killed tonight because of this rather unexpected hurricane......MGC

I talked to several people today who were like "what storm in the Gulf?"

It's been all over the news tonight, but there are still people living along the coast in FEMA trailers. I have no idea if they got out. There wasn't a Hurricane Watch or Warning, it developed rapidly, and nobody expected it to get this strong.

Yep, when we went to pick up our kids from school asked the teacher if she knew if there would be any school tomorrow cuz of the tropical storm, she didn't know what we were talking about...

[rainman]

SRM is showing some rotation just offshore of jefferson county...could be a spinup

[WindRunner]

Looks like 75 kt will be the landfall intensity...

Don't buy the 77 and 80kt SFMR readings?

Does this mean it's close to category 2 strength? If so, my jaw is starting to drop, it's getting hard to keep it closed and upright . I wonder what it looks like on IR night time. It's really small, I read the eye was 2nm!??!

No, not quite . . . the eye had shrunk by 2nm, from 8 to 6. New VDM should/could be in any minute with newer data, but yes, the SFMR winds would indicate a strong Cat 1. Makes me laugh when I consider that I told someone earlier today that this could be very much like Katrina in south Florida . . .

[SMNederlandTX]

starting to hear thunder now....I hope this isn't as bad as some have said it will be...

[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130627
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 19 20070913
061730 2913N 09448W 8428 01561 9990 +165 +999 323024 025 029 001 01
061800 2912N 09450W 8428 01564 9990 +165 +999 323021 022 028 002 01
061830 2911N 09451W 8430 01566 9990 +174 +999 304020 020 027 000 01
061900 2910N 09452W 8430 01566 9990 +175 +999 297020 021 026 000 01
061930 2909N 09454W 8426 01574 9990 +173 +999 289018 019 029 000 01
062000 2908N 09455W 8426 01574 9990 +173 +999 285017 017 026 000 01
062030 2907N 09456W 8428 01575 9990 +174 +999 279015 016 025 000 01
062100 2906N 09458W 8425 01579 9990 +170 +999 268016 016 022 000 01
062130 2905N 09459W 8427 01577 9990 +169 +999 270017 018 023 000 01
062200 2904N 09500W 8428 01576 9990 +168 +999 268018 018 021 000 01
062230 2903N 09501W 8426 01582 9990 +166 +999 271017 017 021 000 01
062300 2902N 09503W 8430 01576 9990 +165 +999 269017 017 020 000 01
062330 2900N 09504W 8427 01580 9990 +165 +999 270016 016 018 000 01
062400 2859N 09505W 8426 01582 9990 +162 +999 273015 015 020 000 01
062430 2858N 09507W 8427 01582 9990 +167 +999 274015 016 017 000 01
062500 2857N 09508W 8426 01583 9990 +165 +999 273015 016 016 000 01
062530 2856N 09509W 8428 01583 9990 +167 +999 275016 016 016 000 01
062600 2856N 09509W 8428 01583 9990 +171 +999 274016 016 016 000 01
062630 2854N 09512W 8421 01590 9990 +170 +999 273018 018 011 000 01
062700 2853N 09513W 8415 01600 9990 +174 +999 276020 021 011 000 01

Still heading SW . . .

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This is why looks don't mean everything. Td8 could have 50 knot winds right now in we would not have a clue.

I think because of the surface data this is now close to 80 knots. Could maybe edge into cat2.

[opera ghost]

They will probably close schools and offices if there are difficulties getting to/from locations due to debris or if there are power outages.

As for Tornadoes- if you're really worried, go ahead and drag the family into an inner room of the house with no windows- most homes will have at least one. You should be just as snug as in a basement up north. The tornadoes spawned by hurricanes are rarely F5 monsters. If you're *really* worried they always told us (the kids) to hide in a bathroom with a mattress over the bathtub... but that's really a bit excessive if you're in a well built home- most built this close to the coast are designed to hold up to Cat 2 at the least. =)

Stay calm, stay safe. Keep your ears open and keep your emergency radio on- local stations will report areas of tornado activity because they will have the eyes and ears from radar etc that you don't.

[WindRunner]

URNT12 KNHC 130630
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/06:09:50Z
B. 29 deg 27 min N
094 deg 26 min W
C. 850 mb 1346 m
D. NA kt
E. 081 deg 8 nm
F. 165 deg 078 kt
G. 080 deg 010 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 16 C/ 1530 m
J. 26 C/ 1526 m
K. 0 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 11
MAX FL WIND 78 KT E QUAD 06:02:20 Z
RADAR ATTENUATED AND COULDN'T GET GOOD EYE PRESENTATION
MET ACCURACY 2NM

989mb . . . second visit to the eye was probably for the radar problem . . .

[southerngale]

Port Arthur, Beaumont, Nederland, PNG...none of them

I don't know about the others, but I posted in the Texas stickied thread that BISD said they would make a decision by 3am. Check the local news about that time.. I know Ch.6 and Ch.12 are up all night with updates... haven't checked Ch.4

[WindRunner]

2:30 is late enough for me . . . so for those who wish to continue following (though posting would be nice as well), here's the link . . . http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... RNT15.KNHC

Hope you enjoyed the wild ride . . .