Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[WindRunner]

Winds starting to pick up . . . 69kts surface in NE quad, possibly higher . . .

URNT15 KNHC 130527
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 13 20070913
051730 2904N 09448W 8433 01553 9990 +167 +999 318024 026 029 002 01
051800 2905N 09446W 8424 01564 9990 +167 +999 315025 027 033 000 01
051830 2906N 09444W 8428 01554 9990 +170 +999 317030 032 034 000 01
051900 2907N 09442W 8431 01544 9990 +168 +999 318033 035 033 002 05
051930 2908N 09441W 8420 01549 9990 +176 +999 307036 037 034 001 01
052000 2909N 09439W 8431 01528 9990 +176 +999 305038 040 035 000 01
052030 2910N 09438W 8421 01529 9990 +178 +999 303041 042 042 000 01
052100 2911N 09436W 8430 01508 9990 +183 +999 303043 044 043 000 01
052130 2912N 09434W 8422 01500 9990 +178 +999 298048 051 048 001 01
052200 2913N 09433W 8423 01480 9990 +199 +999 296052 055 047 000 05
052230 2915N 09432W 8434 01443 9990 +208 +999 301041 048 038 000 05
052300 2916N 09431W 8438 01425 9990 +213 +999 273024 027 028 000 01
052330 2918N 09430W 8413 01445 9990 +210 +999 255021 022 025 000 01
052400 2919N 09429W 8424 01432 9990 +199 +999 256012 018 005 001 05
052430 2921N 09429W 8423 01424 9990 +196 +999 175005 006 018 002 05
052500 2923N 09429W 8432 01418 9990 +191 +999 103009 012 016 004 05
052530 2924N 09428W 8424 01428 9990 +189 +999 105021 026 024 002 01
052600 2925N 09427W 8434 01422 9990 +188 +999 110030 035 060 000 05
052630 2926N 09425W 8417 01451 9990 +179 +999 128043 048 066 009 05
052700 2926N 09424W 8434 01446 9990 +162 +999 139062 064 069 009 01

[Brent]

Twc still says it's a TS...

1. TWC sucks
2. There's nothing "official" yet. There will be by 2am EDT. This will be a hurricane, no question.

[Andrew92]

Twc still says it's a TS...

But are they reporting the latest recon data to us or just the 11 PM advisory? My guess is the latter.

I wager this a hurricane. If there's no upgrade at 2, almost certainly at 5.

-Andrew92

[WindRunner]

Twc still says it's a TS...

Yes, because the NHC has not officially upgraded it yet. It will be upgraded to a 75 or 80mph hurricane come 2am, though, so you might even see it on the 1:50 Tropical Update . . .

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Twc still says it's a TS...

Don't listen to the weather channel. Look at the data, surface data of 70 knots+.

[Steve]

>>I wager this a hurricane. If there's no upgrade at 2, almost certainly at 5.

I could be wrong, but I don't think it's got until 5 over water. Again, JMO.

Steve

[CrazyC83]

Twc still says it's a TS...

But are they reporting the latest recon data to us or just the 11 PM advisory? My guess is the latter.

I wager this a hurricane. If there's no upgrade at 2, almost certainly at 5.

-Andrew92

If not at 1 then not until the TCR; as by 4 he will have likely made landfall.

[CrazyC83]

Twc still says it's a TS...

Don't listen to the weather channel. Look at the data, surface data of 70 knots+.

Agreed at this point. The available data has minimum 65 kt, quite likely 70 kt.

[JtSmarts]

HURRICANE PER TWC

[CrazyC83]

Advisory out - NOW OFFICIALLY Hurricane Humberto

[drezee]

Mike Seldeil says that he is getting 60 mph winds

[SMNederlandTX]

NHC is saying it is a hurricane
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Andrew92]

Good points guys; even though I suggested maybe a landfall after the 5 EDT advisory, it could be that he is onshore. Regardless, even if there's no upgrade tonight/this morning, this almost assuredly is a hurricane that the TCR will show.

-Andrew92

[opera ghost]

Twc still says it's a TS...

Thats why people come to sites like this =) Publicly released information can be delayed fairly significantly, but knowing the storms and the determinations that are used to upgrade storms, we can make the educated assumption that they will upgrade before it's official.

[TheEuropean]

Now it's official! Hurricane Humberto!

[WindRunner]

Full special advisory . . . nice call whoever said it would be special. Of course, it's more than 15 minutes late

[JtSmarts]

992 mb 70 knots (80mph)

[TexasSam]

Did I just hear that, or did TWC say something about hurricane warnings?

LOL something like 15 posts in 2 minutes from 12:34 - 12:36!!!

[deltadog03]

cane warnings just went up....btw, 85kt winds showing on radar at about 2100ft.

[WindRunner]

officially 75mph hurricane on Twc

Then TWC lied . . . it's an 80mph hurricane.

And nothing said on TWC is official unless they state it is from the official source. Check http://www.nhc.noaa.gov for the most up-to-date info.