Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[brunota2003]

Yes, seeing the eyewall trying to form and the 999 millibar and dropping pressure earlier, knew it was only a matter of time before the winds finally caught up. Looks like they have.

[Andrew92]

I can't believe this really is a hurricane (per recon). Is the NHC really going to classify it as such? Don't like the latest ENE jog so much either...

URNT12 KNHC 130456
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/04:47:30Z
B. 29 deg 15 min N
094 deg 30 min W
C. 850 mb 1359 m
D. 70 kt
E. 101 deg 7 nm
F. 178 deg 079 kt
G. 097 deg 008 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 13 C/ 1531 m
J. 21 C/ 1528 m
K. 0 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C8
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 05
MAX FL WIND 79 KT E QUAD 04:44:40 Z
RAGGED EYEWALL
DEW POINT INOP

Good enough for you?

[Category 5]

Hurricane Watches should've come out when it reached 65mph.

Hurricane Warnings should be posted immediately.

[CrazyC83]

Every available data suggests we have Hurricane Humberto. Those in SE Texas and SW Louisiana should treat it as such now, and we just need to wait for the official word from the NHC.

[CrazyC83]

Hurricane Watches should've come out when it reached 65mph.

Hurricane Warnings should be posted immediately.

Agreed, that is what concerns me is that people may not be taking this seriously. Overnight warnings are hard to send out, which is why the watch at 10 pm (better yet, at 7 pm when we thought it was possible) would have been critical.

I would have thrown a Hurricane Watch at 7 pm CDT when they held it at 50 mph (but should have gone 60 mph IMO).

[PTrackerLA]

Although the winds will impact a very small area someone along the SE Texas coast or extreme SW LA will experience hurricane conditions in a few hours with little warning as it's the middle of the night. Hope everyone is safe tonight.

[WindRunner]

Hurricane Watches should've come out when it reached 65mph.

Hurricane Warnings should be posted immediately.

Hurricane watches will rarely be issued unless they really think/forecast that it will become a hurricane . . . so knowing the conservative levels of the NHC and the proximity to land, that was probably not even thought of at advisory time.

[JessRomero]

I posted early and everyone is posting so fast here it got skipped lol which is OK but my question is I am Port arthur Golden Triangle area WHAT AM I TO EXPECT with this I know it is a hurricane but how hard are we goin to get it?

[Andrew92]

Now I don't live in hurricane territory and have never had to prepare for a hurricane, so take me with a grain of salt.

However, I find it hard to believe that anyone, at this hour, can still effectively prepare for a hurricane, besides bringing things inside from their lawns, porches, or patios. My best advice would be to stay inside in a protected area where you won't get hurt.

-Andrew92

[Cyclenall]

I wonder how the NHC feels about not issuing any Hurricane Watches and then most are sleeping when a category 1 is about to hit them. Crazy.

This season is stunning me, in a strange way. 12 stinking hours!!!!

[drezee]

the pressure is defintely lower than 992! The recon never actually went into the eye! look at the obs!

[Jagno]

Although the winds will impact a very small area someone along the SE Texas coast or extreme SW LA will experience hurricane conditions in a few hours with little warning as it's the middle of the night. Hope everyone is safe tonight.

I trust that they will activate the Emergency Broadcast system if needed during the night.

[southerngale]

A few posts have been removed. Take the snide remarks and name-calling elsewhere!

[Derek Ortt]

primarily rainfall

even though gusts will likely be over 90 mph in the E eyewall, the rgreatest threat remains rain

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like the eyewall is brushing onshore right now, where the eye actually crosses land remains to be seen.

[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130517
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 12 20070913
050730 2847N 09521W 8426 01588 9990 +165 +999 285012 012 005 000 01
050800 2848N 09520W 8427 01587 9990 +163 +999 273010 010 001 000 01
050830 2849N 09518W 8428 01584 9990 +165 +999 282010 010 000 000 01
050900 2850N 09517W 8428 01585 9990 +159 +999 285010 011 005 000 01
050930 2851N 09515W 8426 01586 9990 +160 +999 285010 012 003 000 01
051000 2852N 09513W 8426 01586 9990 +160 +999 283012 013 008 000 01
051030 2853N 09512W 8428 01581 9990 +161 +999 277011 012 007 000 01
051100 2854N 09510W 8426 01586 9990 +163 +999 275012 013 011 000 01
051130 2855N 09508W 8428 01581 9990 +161 +999 270012 013 016 000 01
051200 2856N 09507W 8424 01585 9990 +161 +999 281011 014 015 000 01
051230 2857N 09505W 8431 01577 9990 +160 +999 285011 012 019 001 01
051300 2857N 09503W 8424 01582 9990 +164 +999 304011 013 021 000 01
051330 2858N 09501W 8431 01574 9990 +167 +999 303010 011 023 000 01
051400 2859N 09500W 8428 01577 9990 +173 +999 311011 012 024 000 01
051430 2900N 09458W 8428 01575 9990 +177 +999 313013 014 033 000 01
051500 2901N 09456W 8427 01574 9990 +179 +999 302015 016 026 000 01
051530 2901N 09454W 8430 01567 9990 +173 +999 314018 020 025 001 01
051600 2902N 09453W 8428 01569 9990 +180 +999 318022 024 028 000 01
051630 2903N 09451W 8424 01569 9990 +176 +999 323021 021 030 000 01
051700 2904N 09449W 8426 01564 9990 +185 +999 315023 024 030 001 01

Going back in . . . altitude (and therefore pressure) falling again . . .

[drezee]

the pressure is defintely lower than 992! The recon never actually went into the eye! look at the obs!

[Ptarmigan]

This season is impressising me more than ever. Many TDs intensifying quickly, like Felix and now HUmberto. It looks better on radar.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I wonder how the NHC feels about not issuing any Hurricane Watches and then most are sleeping when a category 1 is about to hit them. Crazy.

This season is stunning me, in a strange way. 12 stinking hours!!!!

I agree, systems that do make it this season explode. Otherwise they are very weak.

[CrazyC83]

primarily rainfall

even though gusts will likely be over 90 mph in the E eyewall, the rgreatest threat remains rain

The hurricane-force winds will be over a very small area, resembling an EF1 tornado in that area. If that is over a rural area, it will be sparse moderate damage. If over a populated area, widespread tree and power line damage is likely, as well as significant mobile home damage and maybe minor roof damage.