http://www.storm2k.org/Weather-Central/ ... lantic.htm
Interesting discussion at 8:00 PM from TPC that says 2 low of 1009 mbs are in that area but the one inside the Yucatan is the strongest so I think this has potential to develop when it emerges into the GOM tommorow. :o
1009 mb low over land in north Yucatan
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cycloneye
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1009 mb low over land in north Yucatan
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wx247
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Hmmm... interesting. We will have to wait and see.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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chadtm80
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ColdFront77
Remember the first rule. Where you think its going to go first it won't. 
Probably stay down there, wait for the trough to pass, then high builds in (west), then rotates system to the NW. Happens all the time. LOL. At least much of the time. Too early to tell. Let's see if it develops first. 
Cheer!
Probably stay down there, wait for the trough to pass, then high builds in (west), then rotates system to the NW. Happens all the time. LOL. At least much of the time. Too early to tell. Let's see if it develops first. Cheer!
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JetMaxx
This isn't good news for areas of the deep south already innundated the past few weeks (14" here in June; 24" since May 1st).
The old frontal boundary stalling could act as a focusing mechanism...steer the developing system north and northeast. This isn't unlike how disasterous tropical storm Alberto began in late June 1994...and caused catastrophic flooding in Georgia and Alabama on July 4-6th.
This is a potentially very dangerous flash flood situation unfolding. While far too early to panic, it's something everyone in the south needs to monitor closely the next several days.
Although rare, at least two major landfalling U.S. hurricanes have come out of that area around June 28-July 2nd since 1870...including catastrophic cat-4 Audrey in 1957; and a 125-130 mph/ 948 mb cat-3 that caused major damage and record rainfall in much of Alabama and Mississippi around the 4th of July in 1916.
PW
The old frontal boundary stalling could act as a focusing mechanism...steer the developing system north and northeast. This isn't unlike how disasterous tropical storm Alberto began in late June 1994...and caused catastrophic flooding in Georgia and Alabama on July 4-6th.
This is a potentially very dangerous flash flood situation unfolding. While far too early to panic, it's something everyone in the south needs to monitor closely the next several days.
Although rare, at least two major landfalling U.S. hurricanes have come out of that area around June 28-July 2nd since 1870...including catastrophic cat-4 Audrey in 1957; and a 125-130 mph/ 948 mb cat-3 that caused major damage and record rainfall in much of Alabama and Mississippi around the 4th of July in 1916.
PW
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