1009 mb low over land in north Yucatan

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cycloneye
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1009 mb low over land in north Yucatan

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 27, 2003 7:16 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/Weather-Central/ ... lantic.htm

Interesting discussion at 8:00 PM from TPC that says 2 low of 1009 mbs are in that area but the one inside the Yucatan is the strongest so I think this has potential to develop when it emerges into the GOM tommorow. :o
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#2 Postby wx247 » Fri Jun 27, 2003 7:22 pm

Hmmm... interesting. We will have to wait and see.
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chadtm80

#3 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jun 27, 2003 7:24 pm

Convection has been consistant.... Not close to being organized, but the longer the convection hangs around the better shot it has, so I will not be taking my eyes off of it.. Too dang close to home
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Fri Jun 27, 2003 7:40 pm

Yes..I agree Chad..I am gonna watch this one!! :wink:
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ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Jun 27, 2003 7:48 pm

You know I am monitoring the situation as well... being just about between Jonathan on the west coast and Chad in eastern Florida. :D
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#6 Postby Steve H. » Fri Jun 27, 2003 8:01 pm

Remember the first rule. Where you think its going to go first it won't. :lol: Probably stay down there, wait for the trough to pass, then high builds in (west), then rotates system to the NW. Happens all the time. LOL. At least much of the time. Too early to tell. Let's see if it develops first. :wink: Cheer!
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JetMaxx

#7 Postby JetMaxx » Fri Jun 27, 2003 8:13 pm

This isn't good news for areas of the deep south already innundated the past few weeks (14" here in June; 24" since May 1st).

The old frontal boundary stalling could act as a focusing mechanism...steer the developing system north and northeast. This isn't unlike how disasterous tropical storm Alberto began in late June 1994...and caused catastrophic flooding in Georgia and Alabama on July 4-6th.

This is a potentially very dangerous flash flood situation unfolding. While far too early to panic, it's something everyone in the south needs to monitor closely the next several days.

Although rare, at least two major landfalling U.S. hurricanes have come out of that area around June 28-July 2nd since 1870...including catastrophic cat-4 Audrey in 1957; and a 125-130 mph/ 948 mb cat-3 that caused major damage and record rainfall in much of Alabama and Mississippi around the 4th of July in 1916.

PW
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#8 Postby Colin » Sat Jun 28, 2003 4:07 pm

Just about everyone in the Southeast, from North Carolina SW, needs to watch this system... Most of the South has been pretty wet lately and especially the Gulf Coast... they don't need anymore rain, but looks like they will.... :cry:
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