Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

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mattpetre
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#321 Postby mattpetre » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:38 am

mattpetre wrote:Just a quick map I've drawn up based on memory of where 90L originated and traveled over the past 6 or 7 days... for those that may not have followed it as closely.

Image


Just checking, is this about what you all remember?
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#322 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:39 am

Chacor wrote:Altitude seems to have levelled out. Maybe they'll turn around again and make a pass from a higher elevation.


I don't think so ... it looks to me like they're returning to Keesler.
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#323 Postby Chacor » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:42 am

Over.

618
URNT11 KNHC 121540
97779 15374 41294 91800 39400 17014 03538 /8024
RMK AF303 01HHA INVEST OB 07
LAST REPORT
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#324 Postby Chacor » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:42 am

004
URNT15 KNHC 121540
AF303 01HHA INVEST HDOB 12 20070912
153030 2914N 09225W 6208 04183 9990 +017 +999 165023 030 032 036 05
153100 2915N 09222W 6211 04182 9990 +008 +999 175018 021 023 026 01
153130 2916N 09220W 6202 04192 0160 +028 +005 167016 018 019 008 00
153200 2917N 09217W 6211 04180 0154 +031 +002 168014 015 000 008 00
153230 2918N 09215W 6210 04183 0158 +030 +011 166011 011 001 008 00
153300 2918N 09212W 6211 04181 0154 +032 +008 169010 012 002 008 00
153330 2919N 09210W 6209 04191 0155 +031 +012 177010 012 006 008 00
153400 2920N 09207W 6211 04183 0152 +034 +011 177013 013 004 008 00
153430 2921N 09205W 6211 04184 0154 +033 +010 181012 012 000 008 00
153500 2922N 09202W 6207 04192 0160 +030 +010 181013 013 006 007 00
153530 2923N 09200W 6213 04182 0161 +030 +002 181014 014 010 007 00
153600 2924N 09157W 6210 04184 0158 +030 -013 179014 015 011 007 00
153630 2925N 09155W 6210 04185 0161 +031 -025 175015 016 019 006 00
153700 2926N 09152W 6207 04187 0162 +032 -027 172015 015 014 006 00
153730 2926N 09150W 6211 04188 0161 +033 -045 173014 014 010 007 00
153800 2927N 09147W 6210 04185 0165 +031 -035 171012 013 016 006 00
153830 2928N 09144W 6210 04190 0168 +029 -034 175014 014 016 007 00
153900 2929N 09142W 6213 04184 0173 +027 -021 173012 014 013 007 00
153930 2930N 09139W 6213 04184 0174 +024 -015 177011 012 010 007 00
154000 2931N 09137W 6209 04187 0177 +022 -021 168011 011 011 007 00
$$



618
URNT11 KNHC 121540
97779 15374 41294 91800 39400 17014 03538 /8024
RMK AF303 01HHA INVEST OB 07
LAST REPORT
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#325 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:43 am

Looks interesting, that's for sure. What impact will this possibly have on SW Louisiana? Anyone?
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#326 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:45 am

LaBreeze wrote:Looks interesting, that's for sure. What impact will this possibly have on SW Louisiana? Anyone?



It appears that center is now about due south of Galveston. SW LA could have the greates impact.
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#327 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:46 am

LaBreeze wrote:Looks interesting, that's for sure. What impact will this possibly have on SW Louisiana? Anyone?



Lots and lots of rain since you will be on the "Wet" side of the TD.
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#328 Postby jasons2k » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:47 am

What's up? That was the shortest mission I can recall.
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Re:

#329 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:48 am

jschlitz wrote:What's up? That was the shortest mission I can recall.


Most likely mechanical problems.
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#330 Postby sealbach » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:48 am

I just looked at radar and it looks stationary to me.
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Recon Discussion

#331 Postby Andy_L » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:48 am

think its pretty safe to assume equipment failure of some sort or another
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#332 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:48 am

Latest:

Image

Close-up image just changed from TD #8 to TD #9. Looks very close, if not already, to a TS.
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#333 Postby Johnny » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:49 am

This is NOT an ALLISON situation with 20+ inches of rain.


I never said it was. I said this could be the worse flooding since Allison.

From the Houston/Galveston discussion...pretty much what I had in mind.


TOTAL EVENT QPF IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 5-10 INCH WIDESPREAD
RANGE WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS NEARING 15 INCHES AS OUTER BANDS
ROTATE ON IN OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Recon Discussion

#334 Postby wjs3 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:49 am

Here's a Google Earth of the U-Turn (my first image post, so bear with me...)

Image

WJS3
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#335 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:49 am

Looks like a maybe a very slow North to NNE movement. Any comments?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#336 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:50 am

Stormcenter wrote:Looks like a maybe a very slow North to NNE movement. Any comments?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html


Agree..Very Eratic ATM...
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Recon Discussion

#337 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:51 am

wjs3 wrote:Here's a Google Earth of the U-Turn (my first image post, so bear with me...)

Image

WJS3


Thanks. It most have been a serious problem because they made the decision really quick to head back.
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#338 Postby Steve » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:52 am

They had it going 350 (almost due north) at the 10am advisory. It may be hooking slightly, and if so, maybe landfalling closer to High Island or points farther east? If so, looks like the greatest rainfall threats for metro areas would be in the Golden Triangle and Lake Charles MSA's. JMO and that's near term/direct impact rainfall.

Steve
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Global & BAM Models

#339 Postby tropicsgal05 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:52 am

That makes me wonder if that was what Dr Steve Lyons was talking about all along. He mentioned it i think over the weekend or last week. The thought just crossed my ming after reading some of the latest post.
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Re: TD #9 (GOM): Discussion & Images

#340 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 12, 2007 10:53 am

I'll be taking tons of photos over the next day or so here in SETX...We were already drenched from last week...This could get real ugly real fast, which i suspect it is....Just spoke with my bro (pro met here in Beaumont) and he thinks it will be a slow mover but will be out of the way sometime on Friday but the damage will have already been done.

I will post plenty of photos...Just need to know how to post. Thanks!
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