Tropical Depression INGRID: Global & BAM Models

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crm6360

Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#181 Postby crm6360 » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:11 pm

Why does everyone feel the need to end every post with some kind of emoticon? Some of you spend more time deciding which smiley animations to use instead of writing something of actual substance.
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Diva
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#182 Postby Diva » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:17 pm

crm6360 wrote:Why does everyone feel the need to end every post with some kind of emoticon? Some of you spend more time deciding which smiley animations to use instead of writing something of actual substance.


:roll:
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kevin

Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#183 Postby kevin » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:20 pm

crm6360 wrote:Why does everyone feel the need to end every post with some kind of emoticon? Some of you spend more time deciding which smiley animations to use instead of writing something of actual substance.


The quoted post is completely devoid of content. :flag:
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#184 Postby SCHurricane » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:25 pm

How can I get access to this page for models?? It keeps denying me access even when I chancethe invest number.

Thanks...

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_99.gif
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Coredesat

Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#185 Postby Coredesat » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:26 pm

SCHurricane wrote:How can I get access to this page for models?? It keeps denying me access even when I chancethe invest number.

Thanks...

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_99.gif


Use this site instead: http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#186 Postby SCHurricane » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:31 pm

I have that one, but find it can occasionally get behind and the other one seems more updated.
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#187 Postby SoonerMaximus » Tue Sep 11, 2007 9:37 pm

SCHurricane wrote:I have that one, but find it can occasionally get behind and the other one seems more updated.


You may be experiencing the same issues that people in Texas are having with the SFWMD site. We can't access it. I guess you're in South Carolina? The only way to view it that I've found is to use a proxy server. It's a hassle and free ones are touch and go, but it works.

The mods have requested people to upload those images for us Texans to see (mostly the spaghetti plots), but it doesn't always happen.
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#188 Postby skufful » Tue Sep 11, 2007 10:53 pm

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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#189 Postby fci » Tue Sep 11, 2007 11:53 pm

Coredesat wrote:
SCHurricane wrote:How can I get access to this page for models?? It keeps denying me access even when I chancethe invest number.

Thanks...

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_99.gif


Use this site instead: http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/


How about this one?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#190 Postby BobHarlem » Wed Sep 12, 2007 4:43 am

SCHurricane wrote:How can I get access to this page for models?? It keeps denying me access even when I chancethe invest number.

Thanks...

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_99.gif


Try here -- animation/mirror of the swfmd plots.
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#191 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 12, 2007 6:23 am

:uarrow: great link, thanks.
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#192 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 12, 2007 6:25 am

Meant to post this too.

Image
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#193 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 12, 2007 6:47 am

WHXX04 KWBC 121121
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91L

INITIAL TIME 6Z SEP 12

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 12.6 43.0 295./ 8.0
6 12.7 43.6 277./ 6.1
12 12.9 43.9 303./ 3.4
18 13.2 44.3 305./ 4.8
24 13.5 45.1 293./ 8.0
30 13.4 46.2 267./11.2
36 13.6 46.8 283./ 5.6
42 13.5 47.1 260./ 3.3
48 13.3 48.0 257./ 8.4
54 13.5 48.5 294./ 5.5
60 13.9 48.9 309./ 5.9
66 14.3 49.5 302./ 6.9
72 14.7 50.4 295./ 8.8
78 15.0 51.3 290./ 9.5
84 15.1 52.5 278./11.4
90 15.4 53.6 281./11.4
96 15.8 54.7 289./11.1
102 16.0 56.0 281./12.5
108 16.3 56.9 288./ 9.6
114 16.3 58.2 270./12.6
120 16.4 59.0 279./ 7.8
126 16.4 60.1 269./10.4

6z GFDL.Hey Gustywind,it goes to your island.
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#194 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 12, 2007 6:53 am

cycloneye wrote:WHXX04 KWBC 121121
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91L

INITIAL TIME 6Z SEP 12

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 12.6 43.0 295./ 8.0
6 12.7 43.6 277./ 6.1
12 12.9 43.9 303./ 3.4
18 13.2 44.3 305./ 4.8
24 13.5 45.1 293./ 8.0
30 13.4 46.2 267./11.2
36 13.6 46.8 283./ 5.6
42 13.5 47.1 260./ 3.3
48 13.3 48.0 257./ 8.4
54 13.5 48.5 294./ 5.5
60 13.9 48.9 309./ 5.9
66 14.3 49.5 302./ 6.9
72 14.7 50.4 295./ 8.8
78 15.0 51.3 290./ 9.5
84 15.1 52.5 278./11.4
90 15.4 53.6 281./11.4
96 15.8 54.7 289./11.1
102 16.0 56.0 281./12.5
108 16.3 56.9 288./ 9.6
114 16.3 58.2 270./12.6
120 16.4 59.0 279./ 7.8
126 16.4 60.1 269./10.4

6z GFDL.Hey Gustywind,it goes to your island.

Good post my friend , absolutely Cycloneye.....and should it verifies on your island after....seems by extrapolation that a strong HIGH will put it on us Cycloneye....sometging to watch.....
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#195 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 12, 2007 6:54 am

cycloneye wrote:WHXX04 KWBC 121121
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91L

INITIAL TIME 6Z SEP 12

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 12.6 43.0 295./ 8.0
6 12.7 43.6 277./ 6.1
12 12.9 43.9 303./ 3.4
18 13.2 44.3 305./ 4.8
24 13.5 45.1 293./ 8.0
30 13.4 46.2 267./11.2
36 13.6 46.8 283./ 5.6
42 13.5 47.1 260./ 3.3
48 13.3 48.0 257./ 8.4
54 13.5 48.5 294./ 5.5
60 13.9 48.9 309./ 5.9
66 14.3 49.5 302./ 6.9
72 14.7 50.4 295./ 8.8
78 15.0 51.3 290./ 9.5
84 15.1 52.5 278./11.4
90 15.4 53.6 281./11.4
96 15.8 54.7 289./11.1
102 16.0 56.0 281./12.5
108 16.3 56.9 288./ 9.6
114 16.3 58.2 270./12.6
120 16.4 59.0 279./ 7.8
126 16.4 60.1 269./10.4

6z GFDL.Hey Gustywind,it goes to your island.

Good post my friend , absolutely Cycloneye.....and should it verifies on your island after....seems by extrapolation that a strong HIGH will put it on us Cycloneye....sometging to watch.....
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#196 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 7:33 am

clearly models are not indicating fish here....

Please note even if this system passes NE if the Leeward islands some of these models are suggesting that a ridge is going to form off the East Coast of the US all the way East past Bermuda (not allowing recurvature) towards the end of this week so a bend back to the WNW or W is possible. :eek:
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Re:

#197 Postby windstorm99 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 7:39 am

gatorcane wrote:clearly models are not indicating fish here....

Please note even if this system passes NE if the Leeward islands some of these models are suggesting that a ridge is going to form off the East Coast of the US all the way East past Bermuda (not allowing recurvature) towards the end of this week so a bend back to the WNW or W is possible. :eek:


Yes gator....Bryan norcross said late last night that this is one to watch closely.
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Re: Re:

#198 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 7:41 am

windstorm99 wrote:
gatorcane wrote:clearly models are not indicating fish here....

Please note even if this system passes NE if the Leeward islands some of these models are suggesting that a ridge is going to form off the East Coast of the US all the way East past Bermuda (not allowing recurvature) towards the end of this week so a bend back to the WNW or W is possible. :eek:


Yes gator....Bryan norcross said late last night that this is one to watch closely.


Steve Weagle in Palm Beach said it probably is a fish. How can he say this? Way too early to say.
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#199 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 12, 2007 7:42 am

This is no fish people...

Image
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Re: 91L: Global & BAM Models

#200 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 7:48 am

The models have now come together in agreement.Just a couple of days ago they were all over the place.If I lived in Florida I would be getting very concerned right now
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