Tropical Depression GABRIELLE:Discussions and Images

[wxman57]

Here's a zoomed-in satellite with surface obs and the center indicated by the red "X". Center is about 30 miles offshore and coastal winds are 15-20 kts. Not an impressive wind field. Clearly, all significant winds are in that one big squalls south of the center.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[storms in NC]

It is a shame we couldn't get some rain out of this. We have some clouds and little wind now but no rain. about 10 mph. I am to far inland. about 50 miles.

[HURAKAN]

It is a shame we couldn't get some rain out of this. We have some clouds and little wind now but no rain. about 10 mph. I am to far inland. about 50 miles.

Unfortunately Gabrielle is a very small system. That has kept the convection and especially, the heavy rain, to a very small part of the storm.

[Chacor]

8:00 special forecast/advisory:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 09/1200Z 34.2N 76.4W 45 KT
12HR VT 09/1800Z 35.3N 76.3W 55 KT
24HR VT 10/0600Z 36.6N 74.8W 55 KT
36HR VT 10/1800Z 38.0N 72.5W 50 KT
48HR VT 11/0600Z 39.2N 69.6W 40 KT
72HR VT 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

[storms in NC]

It is a shame we couldn't get some rain out of this. We have some clouds and little wind now but no rain. about 10 mph. I am to far inland. about 50 miles.

Unfortunately Gabrielle is a very small system. That has kept the convection and especially, the heavy rain, to a very small part of the storm.

Just had a drop of rain but stoped.LOL

[Tom8]

It is a shame we couldn't get some rain out of this. We have some clouds and little wind now but no rain. about 10 mph. I am to far inland. about 50 miles.

some rain will come for sure

[Tom8]

It is wery good radar to

http://orionweather.com/index.php?content=radar.html

[Tstormwatcher]

This storm looks pathetic on radar.

[storms in NC]

How many time has the center moved?

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/images/tropical/202.JPG

[PhillyWX]

This storm looks pathetic on radar.

Many 50 mph tropical storms don't look so hot.

[storms in NC]

This storm looks pathetic on radar.

Many 50 mph tropical storms don't look so hot.

I think they were talking about the rain not coming to parts of ENC

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This storm looks pathetic on radar.

Many 50 mph tropical storms don't look so hot.

I think they were talking about the rain not coming to parts of ENC

The convection is getting larger. I hope the
convection explodes over a larger area so you
all can get good rain well inland.

[wxman57]

For those of you who may be unaware, the Hurricane Research Division (HRD) posts near real-time wind analyses of active TCs on their web page. Here's the page for Gabrielle:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/gabrielle2007/wind.html

I say "near real time", and I mean they're generally under 12 hours old. Takes a bit of time to get all the data put together from the various recon planes and surface obs. Note that last night's map indicates max winds of only 30 kts. Like I had said, recon didn't find winds to support TS strength, but the NHC would and should continue Gabrielle as a TS because the center was edging toward the convection:

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[seahawkjd]

With the convection expanding quite a bit to the south, is there a chance the center will relocate again further south or is it pretty set at this point?

[Buck]

I think it's pretty much set.

I wouldn't be surprised to see this reach hurricane strength at some point. Maybe just before it's transitioning point to extratropical.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Very good news for carolina- the convection has expanded
since yesterday so a lot more people will
get drought-mitigating rains from this
cute storm.