Storm2k 5pm Outlook

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chadtm80

Storm2k 5pm Outlook

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Jun 26, 2003 5:12 pm

Image


Outlook :rarrow: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
Last edited by chadtm80 on Thu Jun 26, 2003 7:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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GulfBreezer
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#2 Postby GulfBreezer » Thu Jun 26, 2003 6:37 pm

Whether this system develops or not, it is going to be a very interesting week-end! Rain can wreak alot of havoc right now, there are way too many areas that have had way too much rain already. I know we have!
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Rainband

#3 Postby Rainband » Thu Jun 26, 2003 7:22 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:Whether this system develops or not, it is going to be a very interesting week-end! Rain can wreak alot of havoc right now, there are way too many areas that have had way too much rain already. I know we have!
DITTO! :wink:
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wxman57
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Can't See Any Circulation From Here

#4 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jun 26, 2003 7:44 pm

I've been looping the satellite and I think you may be seeing an illusion of a circulation based on cirrus movement. Look like quite strong southwest shear through the western Caribbean. Actually, the disturbance looks more ominous on still images than in the loop (where the shear is so evident). There's no central point of convection, it's just firing here and there. Since it appears the GFS was incorrect about the decreasing shear, I drop my estimate of development potential to 10-15% again. Can't rule it out, but that shear needs to drop off a lot. Probably just a rain-maker for Florida and maybe the southeast U.S. Not much to push it westward.
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#5 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu Jun 26, 2003 7:46 pm

Florida doesn't need the rain! :-) Oh well, I'd better make sure the boat is all gassed up again...
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