Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

[storms in NC]

Just got home. I see that is has been the talk of the board here. Have to do dinner have to eat by 8. BRB to see and read what is going on.

[Coredesat]

Last time I checked Florida was part of the USA.
Now I can add "USA" to the list of things people exclude Florida from.

Here are some other things Florida is excluded from: "East Coast", "Gulf Coast", "Southeast", and now the "USA".

It is an Area Forecast Discussion.

The WFO is not concerned about things outside its area of responsibility, which it refers to as "our area".

[fci]

I have read through several pages of this thread since I was away much of the afternoon and all I can say to some of you is:

TAKE A DEEP BREATH AND CALM DOWN!!!!!

This is an Invest, not even a Tropical Depression and people are talking evacuation, Governors not doing a good job, Cat 3-4., went to work and came home to this!...............

If this system posed ANY imminent danger, the NHC would tell us so.
Don't y'all think that there should be a name first before people start to hyperventilate??

Ok, thanks; I had to get that off my chest.

[Coredesat]

I wasn't annoyed, I was emphasizing the fact that area forecast discussions only apply to the forecast area, hence "area" forecast discussion.

[ConvergenceZone]

Last time I checked Florida was part of the USA.
Now I can add "USA" to the list of things people exclude Florida from.

LOL, yea I left out a word, sorry I meant to say, not the entire USA, sorry....

[chris_fit]

I have read through several pages of this thread since I was away much of the afternoon and all I can say to some of you is:

TAKE A DEEP BREATH AND CALM DOWN!!!!!

This is an Invest, not even a Tropical Depression and people are talking evacuation, Governors not doing a good job, Cat 3-4., went to work and came home to this!...............

If this system posed ANY imminent danger, the NHC would tell us so.
Don't y'all think that there should be a name first before people start to hyperventilate??

Ok, thanks; I had to get that off my chest.

+1

[MCorder]

my thoughts on this at PNJ

http://www.pnj.com/blogs/weather/index.shtml

I don't post much...but great blog Derek! I've book marked your page and look forward to further updates!

[hurricanedude]

Believe it or not, areas of eastern Va, and eastern NC havent 100% recovered from isabel...so something like a few models suggest would be ugly in those areas

[StormTracker]

Here's the latest QS pass...http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/storm_at_image21/latest_at_1.html

[HURAKAN]

TWD 805:

SPECIAL FEATURES

AN AREA OF LOW PRES...ANALYZED 1009 MB...IS CENTERED NEAR
29N74W. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS STRETCHED. A WELL DEFINED TROUGH
HANGS SW FROM THE LOW TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 25N80W. THIS
OVERALL STRUCTURE APPEARS NON-TROPICAL IN NATURE HOWEVER...THE
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS MOSTLY E OF THE TROUGH AXIS FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN
70W-75W.

[HURAKAN]

Over the past few hours.

[tolakram]

Isn't it interesting, on the last few IR frames, how the image went from looking like a cold front to that of a tropical system? Does that mean anything, or was it just a random occurrence?

[fasterdisaster]

Okay, NOW I'm thinking this should be a TD

[Brent]

This area is looking very interesting, especially that new blowup of convection. D-MAX here we come... I think TD 7 is coming soon also.

[windstorm99]

Now moving NE....

[tolakram]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-avn.html

Here is the AVN loop where you can see it better. First a line of storms, then some very cold tops appear near the center and the line dies out.

[chadtm80]

This kind of spells it out.. No? http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 0_99as.png

[fasterdisaster]

This kind of spells it out.. No? http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 0_99as.png

lol what in the world? I can't remember such erratic steering currents

[cycloneye]

04/2345 UTC 29.4N 73.7W T1.5/1.5 99L -- Atlantic Ocean

[chadtm80]

This kind of spells it out.. No? http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 0_99as.png

lol what in the world? I can't remember such erratic steering currents

Thats the quickscat image