Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models

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GeneratorPower
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#381 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:49 pm

The trend is your friend. A fickle, hard to deal with, friend that is really just more of a drag on your life. 8-)
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#382 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:53 pm

72 hours

No landfall yet anywhere in 72.
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#383 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:53 pm

Just a shade more to the N. If it shows any weakness, we should see something more into the BOC.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#384 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:54 pm

Luis the next several frames are critical as to if the GFS has shifted north at all or maintains a W to WNW course like Dean.
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#385 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:55 pm

Felix is in the IDENTICAL position from the 18z run @ 72hrs, according to a side by side comparison at the same verification time. The low off the Carolinas is farther south in the 00z run, though.
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#386 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:56 pm

Check out that wave off Cape Verde deepening rapidly.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#387 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:57 pm

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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#388 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 10:58 pm

84 hours

Same old song.!!Belize/Mexico (Yucatan) Border landfall.
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Re:

#389 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:00 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:Check out that wave off Cape Verde deepening rapidly.


Wow I see that. The GFS is really bullish on it....something to watch for this week.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#390 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:00 pm

Now lets see what happens when it emerges in BOC.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#391 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:00 pm

Hmm...

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#392 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:00 pm

How's THAT for run-to-run consistency?
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#393 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:01 pm

747, you see that ridge edge moving east, eh?
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#394 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:02 pm

I bet it builds right back in..
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#395 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:02 pm

96 hours

Inside Yucatan.
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Re:

#396 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:03 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:I bet it builds right back in..


You better hope so...it is moving east on that last run....

suspense...
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#397 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:04 pm

It is deepening the Carolina low faster than on the 18z run.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#398 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:05 pm

Heh...There is a reason I usually wait for the G4 missions..

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Re:

#399 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:05 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:It is deepening the Carolina low faster than on the 18z run.


That may have an effect on 98L.opps off topic. :)
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Re: Hurricane FELIX: Global & BAM Models=00z GFS rolling in

#400 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 01, 2007 11:08 pm

108 hours

Splashes its feet in southern BOC :)
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