Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions

[cycloneye]

That is very a original representation of what is going on.Thank you Sandy for bringing something different

[Derek Ortt]

This still ahs yet to clear Tobago and is only slightly north of the South American coastline. I do not see this gaining much latitude in the coming days either based upon the steering flow

[windstorm99]

This still ahs yet to clear Tobago and is only slightly north of the South American coastline. I do not see this gaining much latitude in the coming days either based upon the steering flow

Derek i think we are in the clear on the east coast correct?Looks to me like a track similar to dean is possible.

[Derek Ortt]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

[windstorm99]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

Derek with the trof coming in and steering currents looking like this dont you think we could see a turn towards the NW in the caribbean?

[Brent]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

How BORING!

Is this stupid ridge ever going to break down a little?

[RL3AO]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

How BORING!

Is this stupid ridge ever going to break down a little?

So you want these storms to hit the U.S.?

[fci]

I don't think people really want the storms to develop and hit the US; they just miss the "chase".

Sort of like in High School when we just wanted to enjoy the chase of getting the pretty girl. When we got them, not sure we really liked them but the chase was fun!!!

Hope I make sense here (kind of obscure reference I guess)

[JTD]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

How BORING!

Is this stupid ridge ever going to break down a little?

So you want these storms to hit the U.S.?

So you want these storms to hit areas away from the U.S.?

[CrazyC83]

How BORING!

Is this stupid ridge ever going to break down a little?

So you want these storms to hit the U.S.?

So you want these storms to hit areas away from the U.S.?

Move the ridge south and west so they can all go

[HURAKAN]

[Blown Away]

Doesn't the shape of their cone indicate the general path of the system. The cone goes WNW to NW and the models go W?

[miamicanes177]

Sort of like in High School when we just wanted to enjoy the chase of getting the pretty girl. When we got them, not sure we really liked them but the chase was fun!!!

What do you mean when we got them...I'm still chasing

[Brent]

South of Dean may be the most likely.. this one is barely going to be entering the Caribbean

Any circulation looks to be near about 10.6N and 52.6W. If it moves due west, this one does not even clear Trinidad and Venezuela

I am thinking a Cesar/Joan like track at least through the EC

How BORING!

Is this stupid ridge ever going to break down a little?

So you want these storms to hit the U.S.?

Not necessarily but what I don't want is another Dean-like track. If all the long-trackers go straight west that's BORING. I want something different.

[Derek Ortt]

This is not going to be a Dean track... it is going to initially be well south fo Dean. Maybe Isidore is a better analog for the initial track

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W S OF 18W MOVING W 15 KT WITH A
1010 MB LOW ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N53W. RECENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE OVERALL CLOUD STRUCTURE OF THIS WAVE
HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED WITH MORE REPRESENTATION OF CYCLONIC
TURNING NOTED IN THE LOW CLOUDS SWIRLING INTO THE LOW. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NE OF THE LOW.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM W OF
THE WAVE FROM 11N-14N. THE CIMSS 850 MB WAVETRACKER CONTINUES TO
VERY WELL DISPLAY 850 MB VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW AS
IN PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT NEARS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.


http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=109
8 PM TWD by TPC.

[mnjb28]

This is not going to be a Dean track... it is going to initially be well south fo Dean. Maybe Isidore is a better analog for the initial track

What year Isidore are you speaking of?

[CrazyC83]

As soon as good ol' Sally leaves this alone, it should develop - if it is still alive. The organization order IMO is 97L, 96L, 94L, CV wave, ex-95L, African wave.

[Cyclone1]

This is not going to be a Dean track... it is going to initially be well south fo Dean. Maybe Isidore is a better analog for the initial track

What year Isidore are you speaking of?

2002.

[storms in NC]

URL=http://img529.imageshack.us/my.php?image=690pxisidore2002trackbb7.png][/URL]