Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions

[dtrain44]

Well - I can say this: following 94L is a heck of a lot more interesting than doing work. What would I do with an internet-free workplace?

I don't see the NHC being that bullish without a tighter circulation and/or a lot more model support for initiation. I think they'll retain their 1130 AM phrasing that conditions are favorable for some development.

[cycloneye]

A reminder that this thread will continue open after it reaches 25 pages as in this forum we do it that way.We will update the title of thread when there is important information that the members can look for directly like the page it is posted.

[HURAKAN]

Something that I have to say in favor of 94L is that it's looking particularly well during the diurnal minimum. The maximum tomorrow should be interesting. September is around the corner and anything can happen.

[Zardoz]

Windstorm, I'm not seeing banding. What are you seeing that indicates that? I just see persistent convection and a loose circulation between this and other sat images.....

Nothing to significant as you have noted but i said HINTS of some banding with 94L.Upper level winds as noted by the NHC are favorable for slow intensification.

Hey, I'm with you. It does look like banding in the SW quadrant.

Sure, maybe it's just the way the convection is forming, but it looks like banding!

[skysummit]

Another pretty good look at the SW side:

[wxman57]

I also want to see Felix out of this but so far Felix is not around the corner. 94L may become Felix but it's still far from it.

I'm quite happy to have Labor Day weekend off. Go away 94L!

[RL3AO]

This is not in the location you want a storm to form.

Go away.

[Derek Ortt]

no TCPOD from CARCAH today, not sure what is up with that

[cycloneye]

no TCPOD from CARCAH today, not sure what is up with that

Yeah,I was refreshing the page and still has the monday TCPOD.

[RL3AO]

Derek, when will this near 55W?

[Derek Ortt]

it should be near 55W in about 42-48 hours

[Windsurfer_NYC]

no TCPOD from CARCAH today, not sure what is up with that

Yeah,I was refreshing the page and still has the monday TCPOD.

Hmm, strange. How far East would NHC would send a recon (presumably out of St. Croix)? 50W?

[wxman57]

it should be near 55W in about 42-48 hours

It has 700 nm to go to reach 55W. If it moves at 17.5 kts, that's closer to 40hrs. A little slower (15.5-16.5kts) puts it in your range, though.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I just noticed that neither the Ohio State weather site or NHC's own site has tomorrow's aircraft tasking.

Just curious, because sometimes they'll throw in a heads-up that a possible mission may be a day or two down the road.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I just noticed that neither the Ohio State weather site or NHC's own site has tomorrow's aircraft tasking.

Just curious, because sometimes they'll throw in a heads-up that a possible mission may be a day or two down the road.

Redundant Post, Ooops.

[jhamps10]

no TCPOD from CARCAH today, not sure what is up with that

Yeah,I was refreshing the page and still has the monday TCPOD.

Hmm, strange. How far East would NHC would send a recon (presumably out of St. Croix)? 50W?

I think the 55-60W area is the farthest east NHC would send in recon out of St Croix,

[Zardoz]

To my untrained eye, 94L appears to be pretty much erupting to life:

Floater One Rainbow

Am I seeing things, or is it really starting to pop?

[pojo]

no TCPOD from CARCAH today, not sure what is up with that

Yeah,I was refreshing the page and still has the monday TCPOD.

Hmm, strange. How far East would NHC would send a recon (presumably out of St. Croix)? 50W?

we would fly out of Croix... as of right now, nothing in the works... we will see about tomorrow.

[Portastorm]

I also want to see Felix out of this but so far Felix is not around the corner. 94L may become Felix but it's still far from it.

I'm quite happy to have Labor Day weekend off. Go away 94L!

You had last weekend off, for Pete's sake! Now you want two in a row?!?!

[pojo]

I also want to see Felix out of this but so far Felix is not around the corner. 94L may become Felix but it's still far from it.

I'm quite happy to have Labor Day weekend off. Go away 94L!

You had last weekend off, for Pete's sake! Now you want two in a row?!?!

Weather doesn't take a weekend off.