CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Coredesat]

903.7 hPa XTRAP

[Sanibel]

Majahual right in the lowest southern part of the clear eye at landfall. Chetumal next.

[Stratosphere747]

[Normandy]

Dean wobbling WSW.....VERY BAD NEWS for Chetumal....

And guess what....Dean STILL looks to be deepening on sat....deep convection continuing to wrap around the eye.

Folks, whoever is up watcing this, remember this moment. Hurricanes like this are RARE.

[typhoon_tim]

000
URNT12 KNHC 210833
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 21/08:14:00Z
B. 18 deg 41 min N
087 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2286 m
D. 114 kt
E. 140 deg 9 nm
F. 239 deg 116 kt
G. 139 deg 008 nm
H. 906 mb
I. 11 C/ 3053 m
J. 23 C/ 3044 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 1504A DEAN OB 25
MAX FL WIND 164 KT N QUAD 08:18:40Z
CONTINUOUS LIGHTING AND SEVERE TURBULENCE SOUTH EYEWALL

[miamicanes177]

VDM:
CONTINUOUS LIGHTING AND SEVERE TURBULENCE SOUTH EYEWALL

[typhoon_tim]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210835
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 33 20070821
082500 1912N 08727W 6960 02930 9731 +139 +123 106090 091 082 006 00
082530 1912N 08727W 6960 02930 9750 +129 +127 106093 099 081 004 00
082600 1916N 08727W 6957 02949 9803 +096 +096 104104 105 075 010 03
082630 1917N 08726W 6960 02957 9821 +092 +092 104110 113 087 008 03
082700 1917N 08726W 6960 02957 9818 +097 +097 105111 115 108 020 03
082730 1921N 08726W 6962 02976 9829 +100 +100 105110 113 101 002 00
082800 1922N 08726W 6962 02992 9840 +103 +103 105111 112 099 009 03
082830 1924N 08725W 6959 03010 9852 +109 +102 103111 112 072 000 00
082900 1925N 08725W 6960 03014 9858 +112 +086 104106 111 065 002 00
082930 1927N 08725W 6956 03020 9862 +113 +091 104095 099 064 002 00
083000 1929N 08725W 6969 03011 9852 +127 +085 107097 101 071 001 00
083030 1930N 08724W 6946 03043 9874 +111 +094 110095 098 082 000 00
083100 1932N 08724W 6969 03020 9884 +108 +092 110092 094 077 000 00
083130 1934N 08724W 6956 03040 9880 +117 +070 113095 095 084 000 00
083200 1936N 08723W 6960 03042 9899 +106 +068 112094 094 092 000 00
083230 1937N 08723W 6961 03050 9914 +104 +062 110094 095 076 000 00
083300 1939N 08723W 6957 03060 9923 +101 +064 106091 091 058 003 00
083330 1941N 08722W 6958 03061 9924 +105 +056 106091 091 057 003 00
083400 1942N 08722W 6960 03068 9931 +103 +057 106092 093 057 003 00
083430 1944N 08722W 6960 03071 9936 +104 +059 106091 092 056 003 00
$$

[Normandy]

WOW.
Per recon the southern eyewall is EXPLOSIVE....very very frightening for Chetumal.
Jesus Christ WHAT a friggin storm. This is surreal!

[Stratosphere747]

Just have to get kind of speechless watching something like this...

[Coredesat]

[Normandy]

Folks I hope whoever is watching this now understand what it is like to have a truly powerful hurricane hit.

I mean, with all due respect to Rita, Katrina, Wilma, all US landfalling hurricane since 1992....they are children compared to Dean. Again, remember this, hurricanes like this are RARE.

[wxmann_91]

You guys should look at the CIMSS analysis maps.

Explains why this has rapidly intensified.

A guy who knows even a bit of met... will be shocked. An IDEAL pattern with 3 well-defined, intense outflow channels, incredible upper diffluence, an UL anticyclone in an ideal position, and very strong low-level convergence.

[Sanibel]

I hope someone is video-ing that light show!

[gotoman38]

Recon turned around to get a fix with the eye 1/2 ashore in that - un-freaking-believable

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 21/08:14:00Z
B. 18 deg 41 min N
087 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2286 m
D. 114 kt
E. 140 deg 9 nm
F. 239 deg 116 kt
G. 139 deg 008 nm
H. 906 mb
I. 11 C/ 3053 m
J. 23 C/ 3044 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 1504A DEAN OB 25
MAX FL WIND 164 KT N QUAD 08:18:40Z
CONTINUOUS LIGHTING AND SEVERE TURBULENCE SOUTH EYEWALL

[Normandy]

You guys should look at the CIMSS analysis maps.

Explains why this has rapidly intensified.

A guy who knows even a bit of met... will be shocked. An IDEAL pattern with 3 well-defined, intense outflow channels, incredible upper diffluence, an UL anticyclone in an ideal position, and very strong low-level convergence.

Im not surprised.
Dean bombed as if he was over water and is still doing so. Unreal stuff here folks.

[Coredesat]

URNT12 KNHC 210833
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 21/08:14:00Z
B. 18 deg 41 min N
087 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2286 m
D. 114 kt
E. 140 deg 9 nm
F. 239 deg 116 kt
G. 139 deg 008 nm
H. 906 mb
I. 11 C/ 3053 m
J. 23 C/ 3044 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 1504A DEAN OB 25
MAX FL WIND 164 KT N QUAD 08:18:40Z
CONTINUOUS LIGHTING AND SEVERE TURBULENCE SOUTH EYEWALL

[Sanibel]

906

170mph

[Texashawk]

This may be a stupid question, but...

I know that cyclones HAVE to have warm water to survive. However, could the 'inertia' of Dean's incredible strengthening keep him stronger than normal even over the Yucatan? Or, in other words, would he spin down slower?

[Stratosphere747]

Dean is taking another t-bump to the WSW again. Going to be close. Chetmual wise..

[Normandy]

Dean's eye is well inland and his sat appearance continues to be UNREAL. Im just stunned.