CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[baitism]

Have their been wind reports out of the NE quad. The eyewall on that side looks devastating...

[Duddy]

I can't wait to hear reports from Chetumal.

I'll go ahead and report for you. No more Chetumal.

May God be with them

[JtSmarts]

Its actually 165 kt FL winds per the latest VDM

165 kt FL winds....using the .92 reduction would suggest near 175 mph surface winds....using .9 reduction indicates 172 mph surface winds.

Evidence suggests Dean is at least a solid 170.

OMG! And THIS is the 1ST Hurricane of the Season?!?!?!

Remember in 05 when every Cat 5 beat the one before hand, hopefully that does NOT occur this year.

[miamicanes177]

And I'll take this guaranteed accurate data over Camille's sketchy data anytime. We have verifiable winds with Dean. Perhaps the strongest Atlantic landfalling hurricane of all time? Top 3 no doubt.

[Coredesat]

Plane is turning.

[Scorpion]

Even if Chetumal "only" gets Cat 3 winds the results will be devastating. Cat 3 winds are absolutely nothing to sneeze at, the majority of major landfalls do not bring Cat 3 conditions past a mile or two inland

[Normandy]

With the forward speed about the same as Andrew's, this could deepen through landfall and bring very strong winds well inland, perhaps strong Cat 4 winds to Chetumal

Chetumal wont recieve Category 4 conditions in the southern eyewall unless Dean's southern eyewall has strengthened since last recon obs...Recon obs suggested that Dean carried solid 125 mph winds in his southern eyewall. Land friction should reduce these winds to at least 110 mph or so. This is, of course, going on data an hour ago. It is quite possible Dean's southern eyewall has intensified much like its northern eyewall.

Forward speed relationships now suggest that Dean's southern eyewall contains 130 mph winds (20 mph forward speed, 170 N Quad 130 S Quad).

[100feettstormsurge]

Of course, Dean will give a big boost to this year's ACE index.

[Texashawk]

It must be quite an experience to have the equivilent of an F3 tornado 20 miles wide carrying 20 feet of water inside of it in your neck of the woods...

[Starburst]

This is a very good picture of him after the eclipse
http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/satanim.cgi?banner=uhmet&chnl=uw4&domain=gmx&size=large&period=720&incr=30&rr=900&satplat=goes12&overlay=off

[NCSUwpack]

It must be quite an experience to have the equivilent of an F3 tornado 20 miles wide carrying 20 feet of water inside of it in your neck of the woods...

It just doesn't seem right. Something this evil and unforgiven to be a male name...

[Normandy]

Even if Chetumal "only" gets Cat 3 winds the results will be devastating. Cat 3 winds are absolutely nothing to sneeze at, the majority of major landfalls do not bring Cat 3 conditions past a mile or two inland

Im more worried about the intense gusts this might produce. Chetumal could endure 170 mph gusts which are the highest gusts measured in hurricane charley.

[Coredesat]

Never mind

[Sanibel]

Land friction is minimal because the area between landfall and Chetumal is warm wetlands type mangroves etc.

[Normandy]

Land friction is minimal because the area between landfall and Chetumal is warm swamp.

I disagree.
If this storm werent bombing, then it would be in weakening mode right now. The only reason it isn't collapsing is because it is bombing.

[typhoon_tim]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210725
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 26 20070821
071500 1930N 08708W 6963 03037 9897 +103 +103 099103 105 062 007 00
071530 1928N 08708W 6967 03025 9887 +107 +092 098104 105 061 007 00
071600 1927N 08708W 6963 03023 9876 +113 +085 098101 103 063 004 00
071630 1925N 08709W 6968 03007 9859 +119 +092 099102 102 067 003 00
071700 1924N 08709W 6963 03014 9855 +115 +105 095100 101 064 005 00
071730 1922N 08709W 6964 03000 9850 +113 +104 094103 105 067 006 00
071800 1920N 08709W 6965 02991 9845 +108 +108 092106 107 071 032 03
071830 1919N 08710W 6967 02981 9867 +084 +084 091106 108 075 054 03
071900 1917N 08710W 6964 02977 9849 +086 +086 099111 113 075 052 03
071930 1916N 08710W 6966 02957 9837 +086 +086 101108 110 077 018 05
072000 1914N 08710W 6961 02950 9802 +099 +099 100095 104 082 006 00
072030 1913N 08710W 6967 02935 9758 +130 +130 097085 086 086 001 00
072100 1911N 08711W 6966 02927 9750 +131 +118 099092 093 086 000 00
072130 1909N 08711W 6965 02919 9736 +139 +089 098095 096 086 000 00
072200 1908N 08711W 6960 02914 9731 +132 +088 101098 100 081 000 00
072230 1906N 08711W 6963 02906 9720 +128 +093 102102 102 072 000 00
072300 1905N 08711W 6965 02886 9708 +128 +091 101104 105 069 000 00
072330 1903N 08712W 6964 02869 9690 +132 +085 101107 108 068 000 00
072400 1902N 08712W 6965 02856 9678 +128 +087 103111 112 072 000 00
072430 1900N 08712W 6964 02840 9664 +123 +093 102113 114 075 000 00
$$

[Valkhorn]

What doesn't seem right to me is that the only news station right now that is covering this is the Weather Channel.

This is history. This is bad. This is a very big story. Yet FoxNews, MSNBC, et. al. think it's not even worth a mention.

I guarantee if it was just a category one hitting the gulf coast we'd hear about it non stop on all the news channels. Yet, it seems like when it wasn't going to hit America most people stopped caring.

[Coredesat]

[miamicanes177]

That vortex is stamped 21/06:05:10Z

The vortex with the 165kts is stamped 21/06:48:30Z and is the most recent

[marcane_1973]

How would you like this monster knocking on your door??? NO THANKS!!! http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/9011 ... deayj7.jpg