CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Normandy]

Dean's eye is going to pass about ten or fifteen miles north of them.

I'm thinking more like 40 miles. Still the bay behind them is positioned perfectly for the strong winds closer to the eye to drive surge from the bay over the Key. I'm sure we are going to hear tales tomorrow. My total guess is around 100mph sustained there. Maybe less with a tightening storm. I'm not sure.

There is no way Dean passes 40 miles N of them.

He'd esentially have to book it WNW.

[sponger]

As for the live cam, it was on the reporter 150 miles north. After a live shot some lights fell over and you could tell it was blowing 50-60 mph. Only after the weather shut dowen the feed did it go to that second cutie with 1-3 foot surf.

[RDTF]

Category 5 hurricane expected to spare Mexico direct hit
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/storm/cont ... _0821.html

LOL, who writes these things?

Classic!!

[Vortex]

the guy something perez was reporting from cancun until they lost the signal then switched over to cc for now...

[RDTF]

The live cam was from Corpus Christi.

So the first guy was in CC too? It looked like a completely different feed.

yes they were in Cancun

[Scorpion]

Why are they filming in Corpus Christi? What's there to see?

[CrazyC83]

973
URNT15 KNHC 210514
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 13 20070821
050500 2100N 08645W 5705 04814 0046 +013 -020 097060 060 040 000 00
050530 2058N 08645W 5761 04735 0045 +019 -017 099061 061 048 000 00
050600 2057N 08645W 5814 04660 0047 +017 -009 099062 062 036 000 00
050630 2055N 08644W 5870 04568 0044 +018 -001 096061 062 046 000 00
050700 2053N 08644W 5926 04490 0032 +029 -003 094061 062 034 002 00
050730 2052N 08644W 5982 04409 0039 +032 -004 094061 062 043 000 00
050800 2050N 08644W 6043 04356 0073 +031 +005 097063 064 032 002 00
050830 2048N 08643W 6098 04277 0072 +036 +010 097066 068 043 000 00
050900 2046N 08643W 6155 04204 0073 +039 +012 097066 067 033 003 00
050930 2045N 08643W 6212 04126 0080 +037 +019 093064 065 040 000 00
051000 2043N 08643W 6305 04000 0073 +048 +022 094064 065 028 003 00
051030 2041N 08642W 6429 03840 0062 +064 +029 094066 067 037 000 00
051100 2040N 08642W 6554 03687 0060 +074 +040 095066 067 027 003 03
051130 2038N 08642W 6676 03527 0057 +083 +051 096063 064 034 001 00
051200 2037N 08641W 6802 03370 0056 +093 +051 099063 064 033 003 00
051230 2036N 08640W 6924 03218 0051 +103 +060 100063 063 037 002 00
051300 2034N 08640W 6957 03178 0052 +101 +064 098063 063 036 004 00
051330 2033N 08639W 6969 03164 0053 +101 +074 099060 061 036 003 03
051400 2031N 08639W 6963 03161 9990 +095 +999 098060 060 036 004 01
051430 2030N 08639W 6969 03159 9990 +094 +999 100061 062 039 001 01
$$

Now at operational altitude.

[kurtpage]

The live cam was from Corpus Christi.

So the first guy was in CC too? It looked like a completely different feed.

yes they were in Cancun

wrong...first guy was in cancun...the lady was in CC....different feeds...

[marcane_1973]

The live cam was from Corpus Christi.

So the first guy was in CC too? It looked like a completely different feed.

One guy was out of Cancun at a hotel or resort and he was getting pounded with at least I would say 50mph gusts probably more. Something went flying by them and crashed near the pool area. That was awhile ago though. The other feed with the lady is at CC where it is alot calmer. I think Dean hitting at night is another bad thing. Will cause more deaths.

[Sanibel]

How soon until recon of central pressure?

[Coredesat]

Let's see how long I can do this.

[kurtpage]

How soon until recon of central pressure?

40 - 45 minutes...

[typhoon_tim]

How soon until recon of central pressure?

Recon is getting closer to the eye as we speak.. should have a fix for the 2AM intermediate

[Vortex]

the guy charles perez that was reporting from cancun resort happens to be one of our local anchors for chanel 10 miami/ft lauderdale

[mtm4319]

How soon until recon of central pressure?

Recon is getting closer to the eye as we speak.. should have a fix for the 2AM intermediate

I don't think they're going straight for the eye. Probably won't have anything concrete in time for the 2AM.

[digitaldahling]

Anyone know where there is a failure chart for CAT5 winds? As in what happens with 155 mph winds?

CATASTROPHIC Shrubs and trees blown down; considerable damage to roofs of buildings; all signs down. Very severe and extensive damage to windows and doors. Complete failure of roofs on many residences and industrial buildings. Extensive shattering of glass in windows and doors. Some complete building failures. Small buildings overturned or blown away. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Major damage to lower floors of all structures less than 15 feet above sea level within 500 yards of shore. Low-lying escape routes inland cut by rising water 3 to 5 hours before hurricane center arrives. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5 to 10 miles of shore possibly required. Hurricane Camille (1969)

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D1.html

Category Five Hurricane** -- Devastating
Greater than
155 mph (135kt) Greater than
F3.0 Catastrophic Damage: Shrubs and trees are blown down; all signs are down. Considerable damage to roofs of buildings. Very severe and extensive window and door damage occurs. Complete failure of roof structures occurs on many residences and industrial buildings, and extensive shattering of glass in windows and doors occurs. Some complete buildings fail. Small buildings are overturned or blown away. Complete destruction of mobile homes occurs.
Greater than
18 ft (5.5m) Less than 920mb<27.17IN) Major damage occurs to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft (4.6 m) above sea level and within 500 yards (457 m) of the shoreline. Low-lying escape routes inland are cut by rising water 3-5 hours BEFORE the hurricane center arrives. Major erosion of beaches occurs. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5 to 10 MILES (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required!
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/satellite/satelliteseye/educational/saffir.html

http://news.mongabay.com/2005/0921-category_5_hurricane.html

[Normandy]

Radar images suggest the storm has gained little lattitude since the eclipse began....

Looking almost certain that Chetumal gets the southern eyewall at the LEAST.

[Vortex]

anyone have a link to a live radar feed from cancun?

[Normandy]

http://img456.imageshack.us/img456/5586/radcancnb4.jpg

No loop, but you can clearly see it hasn't moved north at all.
Take a straightedge and you can still se the center is actually SOUTH of Chetumals lattitude.

[CrazyC83]

961
URNT15 KNHC 210525
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 14 20070821
051500 2028N 08640W 6964 03162 9990 +090 +999 096059 060 033 004 01
051530 2026N 08640W 6971 03151 0052 +095 +078 099061 062 032 004 00
051600 2025N 08640W 6961 03162 0055 +088 +073 098061 062 032 004 00
051630 2023N 08640W 6968 03149 0047 +097 +067 099064 064 033 003 00
051700 2021N 08640W 6967 03145 0041 +099 +071 100067 067 033 004 00
051730 2020N 08640W 6967 03146 0040 +099 +067 097067 067 036 003 00
051800 2018N 08640W 6968 03145 0041 +095 +070 096066 067 036 004 00
051830 2016N 08640W 6967 03145 0037 +098 +071 096065 066 038 002 00
051900 2015N 08640W 6966 03142 0034 +100 +069 096065 066 038 003 00
051930 2013N 08640W 6967 03144 0029 +101 +070 098067 068 041 002 00
052000 2011N 08640W 6964 03139 0030 +097 +073 101066 067 039 004 00
052030 2010N 08640W 6967 03137 0022 +103 +072 099067 067 041 003 00
052100 2008N 08640W 6963 03144 0019 +102 +076 099068 069 040 003 00
052130 2007N 08640W 6969 03131 0025 +093 +090 097068 069 042 003 00
052200 2005N 08640W 6970 03125 0026 +089 +089 097068 069 042 004 00
052230 2003N 08640W 6969 03127 0020 +091 +091 098068 070 041 002 00
052300 2002N 08640W 6968 03127 0016 +095 +082 101075 076 041 004 00
052330 2000N 08640W 6970 03120 0012 +096 +092 102074 075 044 007 00
052400 1959N 08640W 6963 03129 0034 +075 +075 097071 073 048 041 03
052430 1957N 08640W 6977 03102 0036 +063 +063 101079 080 054 040 05
$$