CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10621 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:43 pm

Amazing, after a year of nothing last year, the first hurricane of the year is a Cat 5! Makes you wonder what's ahead...

Cat 5's are rare to begin with, 1999-2002 had NONE. We've had 6 since then, including an all-time record of 4 in 2005.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10622 Postby Cyclone1 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:The Mexicans are not happy at all with this news.


But, they were expecting a category five, now they have it. It was pretty much inevitable.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10623 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:45 pm

Unfortunately, Dean is following the trend of many hurricanes to increase prior to landfall in this area of the Caribbean. I'd imagine Janet was similar.

The eye is slightly sharper and clearer on IR.
Last edited by Sanibel on Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10624 Postby weatherwindow » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:46 pm

last cat 5 into the area around chetumal was janet, sept 1955...rich
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10625 Postby tallywx » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:47 pm

jrod wrote:The NHC has declared it a cat 5. Does anyone know how the preparation for the storm has gone?

I cant imagine how bad this storm is going to be at landfall.


There's a poster from another forum who is in Chetumal right now. He's writing that it's pretty much a ghost town with everything boarded up. He's going to ride it out there tonight.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10626 Postby miamicanes177 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:49 pm

Dean has a high probability of joining the very select group of making landfall at the category 5 threshold. His name will never be used again.
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#10627 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:51 pm

Looks like it is making a beeline for Placencia in Belize, IMO...this is going to sock them and it is going to move in quick.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10628 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:51 pm

Scorpion wrote:Cat 5!!! :woo:


Yeah, awesome... :roll: :(
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10629 Postby ZeeNL » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:51 pm

tallywx wrote:
jrod wrote:The NHC has declared it a cat 5. Does anyone know how the preparation for the storm has gone?

I cant imagine how bad this storm is going to be at landfall.


There's a poster from another forum who is in Chetumal right now. He's writing that it's pretty much a ghost town with everything boarded up. He's going to ride it out there tonight.


Are there structures like hotels that are safe inside during a cat 5? Pretty big gamble to stay there.
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#10630 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:53 pm

Its going to be a very rough ride. God bless all in the path of Dean.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10631 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:53 pm

Since Dean is a Category 5, maybe they will take it even more seriously. It's going to be scary for sure.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10632 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:54 pm

gilbert88 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Cat 5!!! :woo:


Yeah, awesome... :roll: :(


The damage difference is minimal between a high Cat 4 and a low Cat 5. That is just a psychological barrier.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10633 Postby tallywx » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:54 pm

ZeeNL wrote:
tallywx wrote:
jrod wrote:The NHC has declared it a cat 5. Does anyone know how the preparation for the storm has gone?

I cant imagine how bad this storm is going to be at landfall.


There's a poster from another forum who is in Chetumal right now. He's writing that it's pretty much a ghost town with everything boarded up. He's going to ride it out there tonight.


Are there structures like hotels that are safe inside during a cat 5? Pretty big gamble to stay there.


It's probably one of the craziest things I've ever heard one do (flew from LA to Cancun, drove down to Chetumal). He's taken some before pics. Let's hope he's still around to take "after" pics. Anyway, if I am allowed to quote him:

"I was glad to get back to my hotel and find the lobby buzzing with activity-- including what seem to be lots of TV people. I'm not riding this out alone, praise the lord"
Last edited by tallywx on Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10634 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:54 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:Since Dean is a Category 5, maybe they will take it even more seriously. It's going to be scary for sure.


If it stays at Cat 5 until landfall, it will be the first landfalling Cat 5 in the Western Hemisphere since Andrew.
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#10635 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:54 pm

Costa Maya looks like it will take the first hit and a direct hit by Dean in Mexico. I have been there and it is a very small fishing village and will likely be wiped off the map.
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#10636 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:55 pm

fact789 wrote:Costa Maya looks like it will take the first hit and a direct hit by Dean in Mexico. I have been there and it is a very small fishing village and will likely be wiped off the map.


Most likely; it will resemble Hancock County, MS or Plaquemines Parish, LA after Katrina. Hopefully they have all been evacuated!
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10637 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:57 pm

ZeeNL wrote:
tallywx wrote:
jrod wrote:The NHC has declared it a cat 5. Does anyone know how the preparation for the storm has gone?

I cant imagine how bad this storm is going to be at landfall.

There's a poster from another forum who is in Chetumal right now. He's writing that it's pretty much a ghost town with everything boarded up. He's going to ride it out there tonight.


Are there structures like hotels that are safe inside during a cat 5? Pretty big gamble to stay there.


It's probably one of the craziest things I've ever heard one do (flew from LA to Cancun, drove down to Chetumal). He's taken some before pics. Let's hope he's still around to take "after" pics. Anyway, if I am allowed to quote him:

"I was glad to get back to my hotel and find the lobby buzzing with activity-- including what seem to be lots of TV people. I'm not riding this out alone, praise the lord"


Looks like it's on a beeline for Chetumal now... I'm afraid he's underestimated this one. I know he wants to be in the worst part of it, but I'm not sure he wants to be in the worst of THIS one.
Last edited by Brent on Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Forecasts in AF

#10638 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:57 pm

viewtopic.php?f=29&t=97293

not quite enough data to call Dean a cat 5 at 0Z
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10639 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:57 pm

Brent wrote:Amazing, after a year of nothing last year, the first hurricane of the year is a Cat 5! Makes you wonder what's ahead...

Cat 5's are rare to begin with, 1999-2002 had NONE. We've had 6 since then, including an all-time record of 4 in 2005.


And not only have we had a record number of Cat 5s in such a short time, but the Cat 5s keep breaking records....storm surges, pressures, etc. It seems that every time we get an August or September storm now we can expect it to break a record.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10640 Postby thunderchief » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:57 pm

That guy is going to be fine. He is going to have a great time in fact.
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