CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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sevenleft
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9741 Postby sevenleft » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:14 pm

Pearl River wrote:Latest METAR Observation(s) for: MKJP
MKJP
The most recent METAR observation from MKJP in our system was generated at the source at:

2007/08/19 23:00 UTC

The observation is:

MKJP 192300Z E11099OO180KT 0KM BKN008 BKN010CB OVC080 24/24 Q0998
Sounds like the wind sensor is whacked.
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Scorpion

#9742 Postby Scorpion » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:14 pm

The station must be malfunctioning now as it apparently measured a 180 KT gust
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9743 Postby tallywx » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:15 pm

Pearl River wrote:Latest METAR Observation(s) for: MKJP
MKJP
The most recent METAR observation from MKJP in our system was generated at the source at:

2007/08/19 23:00 UTC

The observation is:

MKJP 192300Z E11099OO180KT 0KM BKN008 BKN010CB OVC080 24/24 Q0998


oh c'mon! they must have one of those faulty hot-wire anemometers like you see at military bases here in the U.S. (e.g. the 200+ wind gust in Biloxi from 1998 Hurricane Georges)
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#9744 Postby Aquawind » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:15 pm

Don't forget the Mountain interaction enhancing some winds and all of the water flowing down to the coastline...not good.
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Re:

#9745 Postby Tom8 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:16 pm

KBBOCA wrote:Looking at the vis loop, it seems that Dean's windfield might be expanding again? The outflow seems much larger in the last few frames. Is that a correct assumption from what we're seeing?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-vis.html


Is growing , yes it is correct obserwation .
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Re:

#9746 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:17 pm

Scorpion wrote:The station must be malfunctioning now as it apparently measured a 180 KT gust


Surely that's just about possible?
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9747 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:17 pm

Wow, i would hate to be in Kingston right now, but the worst will pass to the south. Thank god for that, but still bad enough.
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9748 Postby aguaviva » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:18 pm

Derek there is a report from Kingston of a 180K gust. Is that possible in your view?
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Derek Ortt

#9749 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:18 pm

the cat 3 was believable.. the 180KT almost certainly is not (especially since the sustained winds were 99KT
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Re:

#9750 Postby Bane » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:18 pm

Scorpion wrote:The station must be malfunctioning now as it apparently measured a 180 KT gust



well, 180 kts would be 207 mph. you never know.
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#9751 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:18 pm

Sorry guys but I will not be able to do the graphics for this mission. Today we're celebrating my mom's birthday and the whole family is here.

Later!
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9752 Postby sau27 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:19 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
sau27 wrote:again if this massive high is buildng in why are the temps here in houston at least supposed to be in the low 90s which is normal and not in the 100's as they were when the high was over us

Higher dewpoints keeping temperatures down? I have no idea, not that it's really relevant to Dean.



well if High pressure = above avg temps and those arnt there that doesnt add up to me
if the high isnt as strong there that does affect dean

im no pro and i may be missing something but that doesnt add up all they way to me
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LeeJet

#9753 Postby LeeJet » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:20 pm

The 180 kt gust may have been a tornado.
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Re:

#9754 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:21 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:TWC just said Kingston was seeing winds sustained at 114mph with gusts to 138mph! :eek:


WOW, and they are not even in the worst part of the storm. That SW tip is getting absolutely nailed.
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Derek Ortt

#9755 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:22 pm

the 180KT is a pile of elephant dung if you ask me... but the sustained cat 3 is likely real UNLESS Kingston took a tornado
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#9756 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:22 pm

Don't know if it will every make "official" landfall, but its very very close. Side note... the ULL looks to have slowed a bit as well!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9757 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:22 pm

Remember this has a outter eye wall that go's out like 20 miles from the center point(eye pressure min) making it 40 miles wide on last recon. So it is not out of the possible this sucker is going right over them or very close. A 145-150 mph hurricane can have gust to 170-180 mph.
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9758 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:22 pm

Power 106 is saying they are watching the zinc roofing of one building by them tearing away and tiles flying off another roof
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9759 Postby Starburst » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:23 pm

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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9760 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:23 pm

Probably the last visible of the night.

Image
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