CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[gotoman38]

000
URNT15 KNHC 191538
AF304 0904A DEAN HDOB 36 20070819
152800 1645N 07502W 6975 02789 9608 +136 +103 214098 099 100 006 00
152830 1644N 07501W 6967 02823 9652 +117 +117 211093 098 103 008 00
152900 1643N 07500W 6980 02827 9696 +101 +101 217089 091 106 021 00
152930 1642N 07459W 6939 02911 9990 +073 +999 227102 109 105 027 05
153000 1641N 07457W 7003 02864 9990 +061 +999 214106 110 095 038 01
153030 1640N 07456W 6945 02956 9844 +062 +062 215102 103 088 030 05
153100 1639N 07455W 6972 02947 9844 +081 +081 214105 106 084 010 00
153130 1638N 07454W 6971 02969 9861 +082 +082 214099 101 080 007 00
153200 1637N 07453W 6967 02991 9882 +080 +080 213093 096 073 009 00
153230 1636N 07452W 6967 03002 9897 +079 +079 213087 089 069 029 03
153300 1635N 07451W 6968 03016 9925 +069 +069 212084 085 068 016 00
153330 1633N 07450W 6978 03015 9990 +064 +999 216080 082 066 023 01
153400 1632N 07449W 6972 03027 9990 +065 +999 214078 079 065 023 01
153430 1631N 07448W 6978 03030 9967 +065 +065 215077 079 070 047 05
153500 1630N 07447W 6969 03050 9952 +080 +080 221070 072 068 009 00
153530 1630N 07447W 6969 03050 9966 +074 +074 222071 074 067 018 03
153600 1628N 07444W 6970 03065 9987 +067 +067 221068 072 999 999 05
153630 1627N 07443W 6972 03069 9990 +064 +999 213064 066 062 010 05
153700 1625N 07442W 6972 03075 9996 +071 +071 215063 065 061 010 00
153730 1624N 07441W 6969 03085 9995 +078 +078 216058 060 058 009 03
$$

[NCSUwpack]

Alright just got off the phone with my sister. She said that the weather is starting to get worse. She can see darker clouds come in from the Sea and has already gotten a quick down pouring that didn't last long at all. The clouds right now are low and going by really fast when she looks up. She also told me she wasn't really feeling too scared this morning until she got the news paper and the headline was DEAN'S COMING! I also spoke with my father for a short second and he told me that the sea was really nasty with large swells coming in. He said the highest wind gust was recorded at 29 mph so far on his computer weather thingy. umm what else... oh yeah my mother is cooking a huge pot of soup so later if need be can be warmed back up on a gas camping stove. That's about it for now. My sister will be calling me back in another hour or so. Hopefully they will all be okay. I'm worried to death but it seems they are ready and prepared.

[canetracker]

6 HRSURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_006l.gif
500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_006l.gif
18 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_018l.gif
500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_018l.gif

[Cape Verde]

What the hell is the Canadian model showing for Florida!!!


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2007081900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

[canetracker]

36 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_036l.gif

36 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_036l.gif

[canetracker]

48 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_048l.gif

48 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_048l.gif

[HURAKAN]

[theworld]

Dean is about exit cooler SST into warmer...

[Pebbles]

What the hell is the Canadian model showing for Florida!!!


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2007081900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

they are discussing this here viewtopic.php?f=31&t=97241

[gotoman38]

000
URNT15 KNHC 191548
AF304 0904A DEAN HDOB 37 20070819
153800 1623N 07440W 6970 03088 0008 +073 +073 217057 057 059 049 03
153830 1622N 07438W 6967 03094 0037 +053 +053 218056 062 065 030 01
153900 1621N 07437W 6972 03095 9990 +057 +999 210062 065 063 036 01
153930 1620N 07436W 6971 03103 9990 +050 +999 210063 064 056 028 01
154000 1619N 07435W 6959 03119 9990 +051 +999 203062 063 053 019 01
154030 1619N 07435W 6959 03119 0037 +064 +064 201062 063 052 041 03
154100 1616N 07433W 6966 03121 0042 +069 +069 202062 063 047 007 00
154130 1615N 07432W 6969 03114 0043 +070 +070 202062 062 044 008 00
154200 1615N 07432W 6969 03114 0053 +064 +064 200061 061 044 047 03
154230 1613N 07429W 6967 03127 0047 +071 +071 199061 061 045 010 00
154300 1612N 07428W 6968 03130 0051 +071 +071 200060 060 045 011 00
154330 1611N 07427W 6969 03132 0058 +069 +069 201059 059 999 999 03
154400 1610N 07426W 6970 03130 0069 +062 +062 203058 058 044 054 03
154430 1609N 07425W 6971 03131 0082 +055 +055 203056 057 044 054 03
154500 1608N 07424W 6966 03141 0085 +055 +055 204056 058 044 030 03
154530 1607N 07423W 6969 03139 0070 +069 +069 207057 058 042 024 00
154600 1605N 07422W 6972 03136 0060 +077 +077 206055 056 040 007 00
154630 1604N 07421W 6972 03141 0054 +084 +064 205053 055 038 006 00
154700 1603N 07419W 6973 03141 0054 +085 +072 204051 051 037 006 03
154730 1602N 07419W 6967 03147 0053 +086 +071 206051 051 036 005 03
$$

[canetracker]

54 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_054l.gif

54 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_054l.gif

60 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_060l.gif

60 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_060l.gif

66 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_066l.gif

66 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_066l.gif

[Portastorm]

Wow, 12z GFS run at 66h looking a lot like the Euro.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_066l.gif

South, south, south ...

[theworld]

Does anybody have any good webcam links out of Jamaica besides what crownweather has? Seems most of those cams might be showing yesterdays image or the same image of this morning.

http://www.webcamplaza.net/master_frame ... cane1.html


FOX Live
http://www.foxnews.com/video2/player06. ... &180&&&new

[Cape Verde]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2007081900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

I was running this model to see what happens to Dean, but look at Florida! That could change the topic of discussion in a hurry.

[dixiebreeze]

Double eye?! Latest IR wv

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv-l.jpg

[NCSUwpack]

Just got off the phone again real quick.. Sister said it's just picking up now. Lots of heavy rain and gusty winds.

[Cape Verde]

they are discussing this here viewtopic.php?f=31&t=97241

Thanks! I had trouble believing I was the first one to notice!

[canetracker]

72 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_072l.gif

72 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_072l.gif

78 HR SURFACE
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_078.gif

78 HR 500 MB
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_078l.gif

[HURAKAN]

[gotoman38]

000
URNT15 KNHC 191558
AF304 0904A DEAN HDOB 38 20070819
154800 1601N 07418W 6969 03148 0055 +085 +072 207050 050 035 005 00
154830 1600N 07417W 6968 03149 0057 +086 +069 207049 050 034 005 00
154900 1558N 07417W 6969 03150 0058 +087 +070 209048 048 034 005 00
154930 1557N 07416W 6970 03148 0058 +085 +079 207046 047 033 004 00
155000 1556N 07416W 6967 03154 0064 +083 +080 209045 046 033 005 03
155030 1554N 07415W 6971 03152 0062 +086 +073 208045 046 028 005 00
155100 1553N 07414W 6966 03158 0062 +085 +067 207045 046 030 005 00
155130 1552N 07413W 6968 03157 0064 +086 +067 206044 045 031 004 00
155200 1551N 07412W 6969 03157 0061 +090 +063 205045 046 029 005 00
155230 1550N 07411W 6969 03156 0062 +090 +072 206044 044 030 004 00
155300 1549N 07410W 6967 03158 0062 +089 +075 205043 044 029 005 00
155330 1547N 07409W 6969 03156 0069 +084 +073 203042 042 029 004 00
155400 1546N 07408W 6967 03162 0072 +083 +066 200041 042 029 005 00
155430 1545N 07407W 6968 03162 0075 +081 +055 202043 043 030 005 00
155500 1544N 07407W 6969 03158 0077 +080 +057 202041 041 034 005 03
155530 1542N 07407W 6967 03161 0080 +080 +053 201041 041 033 004 00
155600 1541N 07407W 6969 03157 0078 +077 +061 203039 040 034 004 00
155630 1540N 07407W 6969 03159 0079 +079 +059 204039 039 032 005 00
155700 1538N 07407W 6971 03158 0079 +081 +055 202040 041 033 005 00
155730 1537N 07407W 6967 03163 0080 +077 +055 203041 041 032 005 00
$$