CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Brent]

Each individual island government is repsonsible for issuing warnings for their respective populations I do believe. So it is up to them to deteremine first if there is a need for a warning and then they decide when then they issue warnings.

yep, every island except Puerto Rico i believe has it's own government issue watches/warnings. Puerto Rico has NHC issue their warnings I believe.

Yeah, same goes for the U.S. Virgin Islands, all are U.S. territories.

[cycloneye]

Each individual island government is repsonsible for issuing warnings for their respective populations I do believe. So it is up to them to deteremine first if there is a need for a warning and then they decide when then they issue warnings.

yep, every island except Puerto Rico i believe has it's own government issue watches/warnings. Puerto Rico has NHC issue their warnings I believe.

Yes,The San Juan NWS coordinates with NHC to issue watches and warnings.

[chaupal]

0z GFS ridge looks very strong.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _042.shtml

[baitism]

Looks like an eyewall is definitely trying to form on the last few IR images.

[ExBailbonds]

42 hour loop 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[Scorpion]

Why is this not a hurricane?

[StormWarning1]

This run has Dean stronger thru the E. Carib. and a little more north thru hour 54.

[PTPatrick]

this upper air pattern just looks soooo complicated to me...i mean where is the high because it is ill defined. At 54 hr it looks like it is centers NE of the Bahamas...but there is seemingly Low pressure digging into Arkansas/LA? FLOW in the Gulf is Counter Clockwise.


then there is the x over miami...what the heck
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_054l.gif

[Sanibel]

Well, since no one wants that one, I'll add that the GFS 00z run degrades it and runs it west as a ULL on its 48 hour run. So whatever it is it shrinks, moves west and moves out of the way for a ridge east of Florida.

[wxfollower]

I have an uncle that lives in Brownsville should I alert him?

[baitism]

I have an uncle that lives in Brownsville should I alert him?

You might let him know. But don't scare him. It is so far off right now. But you are the best judge of how he will react.

[SkeetoBite]

[AtlanticWind]

Maybe just a tad of weakness in the ridge over florida?

[ExBailbonds]

72 hour loop 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[jhamps10]

I have an uncle that lives in Brownsville should I alert him?

i'd call just to let him know bout Dean, but don't scare him.

[StormWarning1]

this upper air pattern just looks soooo complicated to me...i mean where is the high because it is ill defined. At 54 hr it looks like it is centers NE of the Bahamas...but there is seemingly Low pressure digging into Arkansas/LA? FLOW in the Gulf is Counter Clockwise.


then there is the x over miami...what the heck
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_054l.gif

The 'x' is a upper level low. Very low shear inthe NW Carib.

[wxfollower]

Well, he is a doctor with two clinics and a multitude of houses spread around the Brownsville area, so I doubt he will leave. I will let him know to be on guard...

[AtlanticWind]

Deans position same as 18z run so far

[Typhoon_Willie]

The best info that I could tell you on that wx_follwer is just to tell him (your uncle) to keep up to date on Dean. Still several days away from Brownsville and a lot of things can happen to the track.

[x-y-no]

72 hour loop 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

Nice avatar, ExBailbonds!

Weakness over FL is backing west, ridge building in. This run will be much like the others.