CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Wx_Warrior]

To the untrained eye, I dont...

[KFDM Meteorologist]

84 HR. 500 MB (18,000 FT)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084l.gif

[Bgator]

We may be seeing history on our hands, because it seems like no storms that are near dean in the past, have ever gone as far west as predicted.

[Stratosphere747]

We may be seeing history on our hands, because it seems like no storms that are near dean in the past, have ever gone as far west as predicted.

That Allen storm was awful paltry...

[storms in NC]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

How can you narrow it down to 500 miles of coastline when it's over a week away? This thing could still miss the GOM and hit Florida/East Coast.

East coast is out. Not on list.

[Brent]

Allen and Gilbert are good analogs... during both we in the deep south were sizzling in extreme heat(just like now), both went to Mexico or extreme South TX. Florida is looking highly unlikely in this pattern.

[Wthrman13]

84 HR. 500 MB (18,000 FT)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084l.gif

I don't mean to be rude, but do we really have to post the link to every single frame as it comes out? I mean, if it supports a point you are trying to make, then sure, but otherwise it's just filler. Just my opinion.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

96 HR Surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_096l.gif

[Opal storm]

84 HR. 500 MB (18,000 FT)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084l.gif

I don't mean to be rude, but do we really have to post the link to every single frame as it comes out? I mean, if it supports a point you are trying to make, then sure, but otherwise it's just filler. Just my opinion.

I don't mind him posting them, I don't know where to get them and it's easier just to get them right here in the forum.IMO

[Brent]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_500_096l.gif

What is that in the Gulf and look at that ridge!!!! I'm sick of this heat.

[hazmat]

I appreciate the seperate frames...lets us see the different synoptics. Would still like an answer to my previous question..if there is one...to what appears in the GUlf in the 30 hr frame. It isn't Erin. Is it the "blob" to the E of Erin now? What effects if any will this have on any ridging/furture steering of Dean?

[Wx_Warrior]

I have no clue where to find the 500 surface so I am glad they are posted. I dont have time to look around.

[PTrackerLA]

I like the individual frames as well, is that an ULL in the gulf?

[Derek Ortt]

It is best to frequently check into http://www.nwhhc.com or the PNJ link. There is where the actual forecasts are posted and any necessary information is provided (and where the alarm will be sounded tomorrow morning at probably 11 a.m.)

there is where you will see the areas where I believe should be under watches and warnings (which si best I post there and not here... I don't want to give everyone the idea to post their warning recommendations).

Probably islands residents should use nwhhc.com while mainland residents should use PNJ

as for now, cane by 5 a.m. is likely and the increase in forward speed has cost people 12 hours of preparation time

[HURAKAN]

Latest!!

[Wx_Warrior]

More NW that frame than 12z

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Someone else can finish, busy at work. One thing i will point out that is going to be very important. The GFS has the High moving away from TX next week and the EURO has it building in. This will make the whole difference in the world on the future path.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_096l.gif

[Wthrman13]

Very well. But if you want to know where to look in the future, just go here:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml

Then choose the latest run (in this case 18Z). It opens up a new page where you can choose any of the individual levels/fields at the time you want, and it's updated as they come out.