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Wx_Warrior
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Re: E Atlantic: Tropical Depression Four Discussion Thread

#161 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:41 am

It's going to be crazy, as always...These runs have changed dramatically each day!

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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#162 Postby ronjon » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:42 am

Both the Euro and GFS show the Upper Level Ridge rebuilding north of the system after this trough pulls out. I saw this trend in the guidance this morning and even mentioned it in the 500 mb pattern from yesterday with the weakness predicted over the bahamas. If this pans out, FL is in the gunsights. Hats off to this mornings Euro (00Z) for early prediction of this scenario. Of course, tomorrow, we may see that the trough lingers longer or deeper or shallower, and we'll get another shift in the guidance.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#163 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:42 am

pay attention to the NHC. they will let you know.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#164 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:43 am

LOL, Brent, I think we all are. Things should start clearing up over the next couple days....
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#165 Postby storms in NC » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:43 am

Brent wrote:I am officially confused as to where this run is going... :double:


Brent you have been on here a long time. You know how runs change from run to runs. I think that is why they call they runs to keep yo running LOL
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#166 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:45 am

storms in NC wrote:
Brent wrote:I am officially confused as to where this run is going... :double:


Brent you have been on here a long time. You know how runs change from run to runs. I think that is why they call they runs to keep yo running LOL


LOL! It's just the consistency yesterday was so amazing(same thing on every run). But what I mean is, I don't know where this run is going to show it finally going.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#167 Postby Opal storm » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:46 am

Brent wrote:I am officially confused as to where this run is going... :double:
5 more days till it even reaches the islands...its going to be a LONG week.
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#168 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:48 am

Still stuck on 168 HRS.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#169 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:48 am

Opal storm wrote:
Brent wrote:I am officially confused as to where this run is going... :double:
5 more days till it even reaches the islands...its going to be a LONG week.


I think I need a drink. :P

I really hate waiting for the next timeframes to show up... what is the deal?
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#170 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:49 am

Up the east coast... North Carolina
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#171 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:50 am

Ummm... a stall off the SE Coast? :sick:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_216l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif

Doesn't move much here either, stuck off NC.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_252l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_264l.gif
Last edited by Brent on Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:52 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#172 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:50 am

No.. New York wiped out
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#173 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:50 am

204 Surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif
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#174 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:50 am

Image

Image

Convection expanding at the moment.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#175 Postby storms in NC » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:50 am

Brent wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
Brent wrote:I am officially confused as to where this run is going... :double:


Brent you have been on here a long time. You know how runs change from run to runs. I think that is why they call they runs to keep yo running LOL


LOL! It's just the consistency yesterday was so amazing(same thing on every run). But what I mean is, I don't know where this run is going to show it finally going.


I think they didn't have all the Info they need to put in the computers and this is why you are seeing a different run now
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#176 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:51 am

Well thankyou GFS for your BS once again.. :lol:
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#177 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:51 am

276 hours

Landfall in Carolinas.
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Re: Global Models for TD4=12z GFS run rolling in

#178 Postby sevenleft » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:51 am

Texas...Texas....Texas....Texas...NYC!

Friggin GFS....
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#179 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:51 am

NYC hit!! are we going back to doomsday runs?
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Re:

#180 Postby storms in NC » Mon Aug 13, 2007 11:52 am

Scorpion wrote:Up the east coast... North Carolina


Naww it will change you will see. NC will not see this one.
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