AtlanticWind wrote:.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WELL I GUESS I HAVE TO TALK ABOUT IT.
YEAH, THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC. GFS
AND UKMET INSIST ON DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM, NOGAPS DOES`NT KNOW IT
IS THERE AND ECMWF KEEPS FLIPPING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN RUNS. TOO
EARLY TO TELL HOW MUCH EFFECT, IF ANY, THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE ON
THE LOCAL AREA. BUT, AS OF THE LATEST RUN, GFS BUILDS A STRONG
ATLC RIDGE WESTWARD KEEPING THE SYSTEM S. OF THE ISLANDS AND
PASSING SOUTH OF CUBA SUNDAY EVENING. SHOULD THIS VERIFY, WE`LL BE
TOO FAR AWAY TO EXPERIENCE ANY DIRECT INFLUENCE, HOWEVER MODERATE
TO STRONG E/NE WIND FLOW BETWEEN THE SYSTEM AND THE ATLC RIDGE
WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CONVERGENCE AND HENCE PRECIP AND WINDY
CONDITIONS DURING THIS PERIOD. IN ANY CASE...CLOSE ATTENTION
SHOULD BE PAID TO THIS SYSTEM AS IT PROGRESSES WESTWARD THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC AND POSSIBLY CARIBBEAN THIS WEEK
Is this the NWS Miami? He is basing this off one model....others take it farther north towards the peninsula (Euro).