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philnyc
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#281 Postby philnyc » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm
jabber wrote:Me thinks its done.....
Have you forgotten Andrew? It was written off by just about everybody for a time due to monster shear that virtually ripped it apart. Now of course I'm NOT comparing this to Andrew, so please don't go down that road. All I'm saying is that the number of storms that have looked like this and then redeveloped is so large that none of us could name them all. You have to look at the current and forecast atmospheric conditions and base your predictions on that. That's what the NHC does. They have an incredible reputation for forecasting these impossibly complex cyclones. So when they write it off, I'll write it off.
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Lowpressure
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#282 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm
As I posted previously, I think this will be a bigger issue when it approaches the Yucatan channel. It looked good this morning, but had no structure.
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jasons2k
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#283 Postby jasons2k » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm
I'm singing the same tune going on 3 days now...nada 'till W Carib...and even that is questionable.
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Ivanhater
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#284 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:55 pm
HURAKAN wrote:Ivanhater wrote:ol' wait and see in the morning
getting old!
It has work in the past mornings and it should work tomorrow!!!
Even if it does...this has already ticked me off!
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alan1961
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#285 Postby alan1961 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:55 pm
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CajunMama
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#286 Postby CajunMama » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:56 pm
Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.
and I am sick of these sorry invests.
I want one that can actually DEVELOP.
oh hush up bwent! you're mind is shriveling up just like the drought has done to your yard. You just want rain!
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Aric Dunn
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#287 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:56 pm
This explains it all with 99L
until more convection fires and it slows down... no closing off a low ..... so maybe western carrib
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Thunder44
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#288 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:58 pm
Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.
and I am sick of these sorry invests.
I want one that can actually DEVELOP.
I'm sorry but you'll have to wait for your Cat 3 hurricane a little longer.
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RL3AO
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#290 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:59 pm
Thunder44 wrote:Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.
and I am sick of these sorry invests.
I want one that can actually DEVELOP.
I'm sorry but you'll have to wait for your Cat 3 hurricane a little longer.
You should be able to see a Cat 3 soon in the EPa...er, WPac.
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Ivanhater
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#291 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:00 pm
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:System is moving to fast to develop right now.
Well duh
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philnyc
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#292 Postby philnyc » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:01 pm
CajunMama wrote:Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.
and I am sick of these sorry invests.
I want one that can actually DEVELOP.
oh hush up bwent! you're mind is shriveling up just like the drought has done to your yard. You just want rain!
LOLOLOLOL
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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#294 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:02 pm
So it seems in a couple days when it reaches the western caribbean
the chance for development may increase.
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JonathanBelles
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#295 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:05 pm
Every one help me blow south and east to generate a parashute to slow it down!
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AnnularCane
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#297 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:11 pm
He's got to get through some shear first, I think, so he's probably going to struggle for a while. We'll see if he makes it. I don't know...maybe a day or two?
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Opal storm
#298 Postby Opal storm » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:13 pm
astrosbaseball22 wrote:wait untill tomorrow
Been hearing that for the past 3 days.
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HURAKAN
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#299 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:14 pm
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. THE
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BRINGING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL
AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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astrosbaseball22
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#300 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:15 pm
HURAKAN wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. THE
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BRINGING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL
AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NHC gave up
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