Gulf Of Mexico Disturbance (RECON SET)

[HURAKAN]

NHC has this as an 'invest', for the last few hours actually. What number would this be?

90L

[Brent]

NHC has this as an 'invest', for the last few hours actually. What number would this be?

90L

[Ivanhater]

Here's the longrange loop of out New Orleans that covers coastal Mississippi. I don't get what all the NWS stations are looking at based on the models I'm looking at, but if they think it's a SE LA deal, they obviously have better tools than I do.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

As for the Bushwhacker Festival, that would bite. That's my favorite frozen beach (chick) drink in the world. It's one of the greatest drinks ever. They make it a couple of different ways depending on where you are on the Panhandle. But I loves me some Bushwackers.

Steve

Lol...best drink ever!...it just all depends where this low decides to spin up..

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

The Bushwacker fest?

TOO FUNNY!!!

[gatorcane]

One word for everybody:

Elena, 1985...??

[Brent]

One word for everybody:

Elena, 1985...??

[Sabanic]

Now Elena was one kooky storm. Up, over, back under, and up again LOL

[Cyclone1]

One word for everybody:

Elena, 1985...??

Uh.... not really.... Elena formed way out by Haiti

[Sabanic]

One word for everybody:

Elena, 1985...??

Uh.... not really.... Elena formed way out by Haiti

I think she was making reference to the fact that you can never really tell what a Tropical system may do.

[Cyclone1]

One word for everybody:

Elena, 1985...??

Uh.... not really.... Elena formed way out by Haiti

I think she was making reference to the fact that you can never really tell what a Tropical system may do.

Yeah I figured that out after posting that. Lol.

[southerngale]

So the models are having a hard time deciding where it's gonna go. Decisions like that can be tough.

[Sabanic]

Now that's a good one.

[gatorcane]

I meant that Elena wondered in the GOM for several days with no direction...

[Brent]

So the models are having a hard time deciding where it's gonna go. Decisions like that can be tough.

That's good.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

East of Texas for sure!

[southerngale]

ABNT20 KNHC 012113
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE AND A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS
AFTERNOON WAS NOT ABLE TO FIND A CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...
CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL
INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON THURSDAY IF NECESSARY. NUMEROUS
SQUALLS...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[RL3AO]

When is recon?

[Brent]

When is recon?

Tomorrow at 2pm EDT.

4. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 02/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 02/1730Z
D. 29.0N 88.0W
E. 02/1745Z TO 02/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[jaxfladude]

Aww, come on. I don't even ask that many questions. lol
Anyone? Anyone?

Bueller?

I've been gone since about 8:30 this morning and got home just a bit ago to this. Recon is going!? Wow.

Well, I've read a little and about to go read some more pages, but I have a question. I think I've seen it either implied or posted that it could move in just about all four directions. lol
If I understand it correctly, it's most likely to move primarily northward and do it fairly quickly, or no? But... if it sits for a while with weak steering currents, that high pressure might build in from the east. Not enough to send it west though, right?

I've read more since I posted that, but I still don't know the answer. Perhaps nobody knows.

does the name Alicia come to mind

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

With a strong ridge expected to build in, anything that forms
would likely move towards the mississippi coastline or
just west of there also possibly panhandle of FL.
So anywhere from louisiana to the fl panhandle
is possible for getting the heavies from this...
including alabama

Now I know that location is still uncertain for this low