when and where will Chantal form?

Opal storm · #1 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 5:53 pm

Well now that Barry is on his way, where and when will Chantal form?

I'll give my guess after some of you post yours.

#2 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 5:55 pm

Ill guess one of those BOC type storms, quick lived...

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #3 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 5:57 pm

I think the Central Caribbean sometime this month
and go into the Yucatan unless a trough pulls
it into the GOM

And I also think that while it is in the Caribbean
it will peak at hurricane strength.

I'm not forecasting anything super-strong here...just
stating the lower pressures and moist ITCZ as factors

We'll see, but I think Chantal may form from a tropical
low over the Caribbean sometime in the next 2-3 weeks.

#4 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 5:57 pm

Over or just East of the Central Bahamas mid-June

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:04 pm

Opal storm wrote:Well now that Barry is on his way, where and when will Chantal form?

I'll give my guess after some of you post yours.

Hey cheater :lol:

My guess will be by the 29th of June,in the Bay of Campeche.

#6 Postby **windstorm99** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:07 pm

We'll if i had to pick an area it with be in the western caribbean which looks to be about the only favorable area in the basin as far as potential goes.

Things look quite though for atleast the next couple of days.

Opal storm · #7 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:10 pm

lol Luis

I say in the central/western Caribbean on June 26.

#8 Postby **windstorm99** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:16 pm

Things look quite favorable in most of the caribbean threw thursday atleast according to the GFS.

#9 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:16 pm

Western Caribbean between June 21st and the 26th.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #10 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:19 pm

A western Atlatnic low like 91L, but this time it will last longer and also threaten Bermuda. In which forcing the nhc hand. around 8-10 days from now....At least the Gfs shows something.

x-y-no · #11 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 7:00 pm

I'll go for one more early-season West Caribbean system ... say June 24.

#12 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 7:08 pm

Northwest Caribbean/Southern Gulf June 15 - 21 and will track north then north, northeast toward Pensacola/Destin...70mph tropical storm.

#13 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 7:15 pm

skysummit wrote:Northwest Caribbean/Southern Gulf June 15 - 21 and will track north then north, northeast toward Pensacola/Destin...70mph tropical storm.

Well if were gonna get one, Id rather take it now and weak than later...

HurricaneHunter914 · #14 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 7:25 pm

Between June 15-25, Western Carribean.

Extremeweatherguy · #15 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 7:36 pm

mid june in the BOC. It will likely head north and become a Mexico or may be a Texas issue. Nothing too strong though.

#16 Postby **canetracker** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 8:04 pm

Mid June, central/westerm Caribbean and will head north possibly toward Florida peninsula

wzrgirl1 · #17 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 8:18 pm

June 16.............bahamas

#18 Postby **LSU2001** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 8:48 pm

June 29 Strong TS possibly weak Cat 1 Western Gulf
Kinda like Cindy 2005

Jinkers · #19 Postby **Jinkers** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 8:51 pm

I jsut hope it's not around Florida-lol, hope it turns out to be a fish storm, but I think it will form in the Western Gulf too.

100feettstormsurge · #20 Postby **100feettstormsurge** » Sat Jun 02, 2007 9:46 pm

It may be sooner than anyone else has thought so far if the remnants of Barbara sneak into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Shear there isn't quite as high compared to the rest of the gulf.