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WhiteShirt wrote:So.....does this look good for the Houston area to see some winter precip next week?
Kelarie wrote:Portastorm wrote:So were the heck is everybody?!
I'm telling you fellow Texans ... our winter storm is coming next week!!
Hey Porta, I will hold the football for you....I am on board with ya...maybe we both will have egg on our faces, maybe not....
Actually, this airmass will probably not completely brush Texas like the other systems did. Instead, this time I think it will be coming much further south and west (we may not get the direct brunt, but it will likely have more of an impact). Though I do not believe it will be a record-breaker or the "big one" in regards to cold, I do think this will be much colder than last weekends event (especially since the source region is colder).TrekkerCC wrote:WhiteShirt wrote:So.....does this look good for the Houston area to see some winter precip next week?
Right now, it appears to be a possible winter weather event for North Texas (and possibly Central Texas). The cold air appears to only brush Texas (as the arctic highs have been dropping southeast these past few weeks), and so the full force of this arctic outbreak will not be felt in the southern plains region. It is still a big question on how much North Texas will be affected by this winter event. Will this be another February 13-14, 2004 event (where most of North Texas got a few inches of snow), or will precipitation/cold air not work in favor of an event happening.
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Actually, this airmass will probably not completely brush Texas like the other systems did. Instead, this time I think it will be coming much further south and west (we may not get the direct brunt, but it will likely have more of an impact). Though I do not believe it will be a record-breaker or the "big one" in regards to cold, I do think this will be much colder than last weekends event (especially since the source region is colder).TrekkerCC wrote:WhiteShirt wrote:So.....does this look good for the Houston area to see some winter precip next week?
Right now, it appears to be a possible winter weather event for North Texas (and possibly Central Texas). The cold air appears to only brush Texas (as the arctic highs have been dropping southeast these past few weeks), and so the full force of this arctic outbreak will not be felt in the southern plains region. It is still a big question on how much North Texas will be affected by this winter event. Will this be another February 13-14, 2004 event (where most of North Texas got a few inches of snow), or will precipitation/cold air not work in favor of an event happening.
As for winter precip...I think north Texas has the best shot for sure. As for central and SE Texas, it is a little questionable right now, but at the moment it does look like there is at least a slight chance winter precip. could possibly reach Austin, San Antonio and Houston before all is said and done (current NWS forecast for northern Houston suburbs calls for temperatures of 30-34 degrees with precip. on Wednesday night). It is just really too early to tell for sure. Either way though, most of the state should be at least cold and wet next week.
Let's just hope this is our last blast of cold weather this winter...
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Johnny wrote:Looks like we've got a nut case visiting storm2k this morning.
Nevermind, it looks like everything is back to normal?? Did anyone else catch the 'cutecutecute' crap???
It is still in the lower to middle 40s here as well. I doubt we will reach the expected 50-51 degree high unless some sunshine breaks through.Johnny wrote:I'm sitting at 43 degrees and it's going on noon. I really don't see us getting much above 45 degrees today...alot cooler than I thought, that's for sure.
Portastorm...LOL!!! Earliar I logged in and every word on everyone post was 'cute'. Even the threads were named cute. Everything that was a word was 'cute'. I figured the site got hacked but it only last for about 3 minutes? Am I the only one who saw this?
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
232 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2007
Discussion...
although there is some clearing east and west of the County Warning Area...
extensive cloud cover still exists over southeast Texas. Will see
some sun in patchy areas later this after. Deeper moisture
will begin to advect northward...mainly after midnight...so
will see M cloudy skies overnight. Will also see a slight
chance of showers along the coast late tonight.
A wf will begin to return northward on sun....and lead to a
chance of showers across the southern half of the area. Temperatures
will remain steady or rise Sun night. May also briefly see
some sea fog across coastal areas sun evening...before southerly
winds increase into the 15 to 20 knots range overnight. The
atmosphere will destabilize on Monday as a storm system
approaches from the west. A strong subtropical jet maximum will
approach during the afternoon and combine with a moist and unstable
atmosphere to create a good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Still looks like severe thunderstorms will be a possibility due to the lf
quadrant of the upper level jet...a 50 knot low-level jet...and
moderate instability. Thunderstorm activity will shift east of the
area on Monday evening with a cf moving across overnight. Colder air
will continue to filter in Tuesday-Wednesday as a 1040+ surface high
builds south into the central plains.
The latest (12z) GFS is more aggressive with rain chances Wednesday
night and Thursday morning as an upper level disturbance
approaches with the active subtropical jet overhead. Have
raised probability of precipitation into the chance range for this period. Because
there could be a brief period with near freezing temperatures across
the ext northern areas Wednesday night/Thursday morning...did include
the possibility of some freezing rain for this time frame.
A gradual warmup is expected to begin Friday...as the cold surface
high shifts east of the area.
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