AL/GA/SC/NC/TN winter weather discussion & obs thread

[rsdoug1981]

I am thinking we will see more like 2-3 inches of snow followed by the winter mix bag, finishing as rain. Thursday low is at 33, we will see. At least it is a winter event, finally.

You're probably right. I'm in MS and wasn't familiar with the NC weather dynamics. I checked out the NWS forecast after I posted. Like you said, though...it's snow!

[Lowpressure]

NWS Charlotte still going with some sort of accumulations, getting tougher on the ice threat after the initial snowfall.

[Lowpressure]

Winter advisories/warnings will be issued soon for the Carolinas, currently SWS. NWS Charlotte saying we are inside the 48 hour window. See NWS Charlotte forecast discussion. Temps have come in a good bit colder, high on Thursday now at 32 for the metro and 28-30 Thursday night with tricky bulb temps, looks like ice could be a real iisue after the initial snowfall.

[ncupsscweather]

Yeah I know I live just south of I-40 in Hickory,Nc. They are calling for a High Thursday of 31 or 32 here with Snow most of the day then changing to Sleet/Freezing Rain. I haven't found and forecast amounts yet. I do believe they will start talking about them at about 5am Wednesday morning.

[ncupsscweather]

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
400 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-311115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...
SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...
GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
400 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ACROSS THE
DEEP SOUTH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL
STREAM NORTH...AHEAD OF THE LOW...AND OVERRUN A VERY DRY AND COLD
LOW LEVEL AIRMASS OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND SUNRISE ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...THE UPSTATE AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP LATER IN THE MORNING OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND IN THE NORTH
CAROLINA FOOTHILLS BEFORE PRECIPITATION MIXES WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN.

OVER THE UPSTATE AND THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...SNOW WILL
TRANSITION MORE QUICKLY TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF SLEET AND DAMAGING ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN
ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
COLD...AND THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION...IN ADDITION TO STICKING TO
TREES AND POWER LINES...IS ALSO LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL CONDITIONS
TO QUICKLY BECOME TREACHEROUS THURSDAY MORNING.

LATE IN THE DAY...OR DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THE
PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPSTATE
AND NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO COME TO
AN END BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL FOLLOW THE WINTER STORM. IF SIGNIFICANT
POWER DISRUPTIONS OCCUR DUE TO THE FREEZING RAIN...BE PREPARED
FOR SEVERAL NIGHTS WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN LOWER 20S AND TEENS
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BE SURE TO HAVE BLANKETS...FOOD...AND
A SOURCE OF HEAT.

$$
MCAVOY

[breeze]

Latest from Old Hickory in Nashville....


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
324 PM CST TUE JAN 30 2007

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-311100-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
324 PM CST TUE JAN 30 2007

...SNOW AND SLEET EXPECTED IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY...

COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION THIS WEEK.
A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST...CAUSING
MOISTURE TO SPREAD ACROSS TENNESSEE AND SURROUNDING AREAS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT...IN THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW. MANY AREAS COULD RECEIVE UP TO
1 INCH OF ACCUMULATION BY 6 AM THURSDAY.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
SLEET AND RAIN FOR MOST OF THE MID STATE ON THURSDAY...WITH SOME
FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 COULD
SEE ANOTHER INCH OF ACCUMULATION ON THURSDAY BEFORE TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE MID 30S. THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF THE MID STATE WILL
SEE A MORE RAPID CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING...WITH LITTLE
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION.

DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION TYPES COULD CHANGE. IF THE STORM TRACKS FARTHER
SOUTH...THEN THE MID STATE WOULD HAVE MORE COLD AIR AND
PRECIPITATION WOULD BE MAINLY SNOW. IF THE STORMS MOVES FARTHER
NORTH...THEN TEMPERATURES MAY BECOME TOO WARM FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE ALSO UNCERTAIN...BUT
AT THIS TIME...INDICATIONS ARE THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE
COMMON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...SO PEOPLE SHOULD MONITOR UPDATED FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WINTER STORM ACROSS THE REGION.

$$

13

[ga_ben]

Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
438 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007

...ICY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...

.A COLD AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
TONIGHT AS MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO SPREADS NORTHEAST.
A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SLEET..FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-045-047-311745-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0001.070201T0800Z-070201T2000Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-DEKALB-WALTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...DECATUR
438 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SOME SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME AREAS ACROSS THE
NORTH COULD SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE THE
MIX CHANGES OVER TO ALL RAIN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES INCLUDING TREES AND POWER LINES. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS...MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL AND
CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.

$$



Things should really start to get interesting after midnight here in the suburbs of NW Atlanta. Maybe we can squeeze a few snowflakes out before the IP and ZR take over.

[drezee]

Model guidance for DFW was 33 at 12z, dewpoint of 22 no precip until likely 21z. Precip is already there and the temp is 31 with a depwoint of 12F!

If this is any indication of the models inability to forecast in the situation, then N AL may be in for a surprise tomorrow morning!

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=fws...111&loop=no


Eta MOS (MET)
KDFW ETA MOS GUIDANCE 1/31/2007 0000 UTC
DT /JAN 31 /FEB 1 /FEB 2 /
HR 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 18 00
X/N 45 37 42 33 38
TMP 36 34 33 34 40 44 44 44 42 41 40 39 39 40 39 38 36 36 35 35 34
DPT 22 23 23 24 29 35 38 39 39 39 38 37 38 37 36 34 33 33 33 27 27
CLD BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
WDR 04 07 11 13 16 16 17 16 18 20 25 35 33 33 33 04 11 07 06 01 34
WSP 05 06 07 08 10 12 10 08 08 07 07 09 11 10 06 04 07 06 08 10 19
P06 4 27 38 21 34 45 25 5 16 21 28
P12 38 34 45 25 36
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Q12 0 0 1 0 1
T06 0/ 0 2/ 0 1/ 0 2/ 7 5/ 0 3/ 2 2/ 3 3/ 9 2/ 0999/99
T12 3/ 0 3/ 7 7/ 2 5/ 9 999/99
SNW 0 0
CIG 8 7 8 7 6 5 5 6 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 6 6 5 4 3 4
VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 5 4 5 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 7
OBV N N N N N N N N N BR BR BR BR N N N BR BR BR BR N



Same with Decatur TX!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapClick....57&map.y=66

MOS had freezing rain and 32!

It is snowing and 30 at 14z!


Also Witchia Fall, TX. currently snowing and 29!

Eta MOS (MET)
KSPS ETA MOS GUIDANCE 1/31/2007 0000 UTC
DT /JAN 31 /FEB 1 /FEB 2 /
HR 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 18 00
X/N 39 30 39 28 30
TMP 32 31 31 31 35 37 36 36 35 33 32 32 34 37 36 33 32 31 30 23 21
DPT 20 22 24 24 25 29 30 31 31 30 29 29 30 31 30 30 29 29 29 21 16
CLD OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
WDR 09 10 14 16 15 17 10 06 03 01 01 01 01 24 18 10 09 08 08 03 01
WSP 05 06 08 12 14 12 07 08 10 13 13 10 08 05 05 07 06 07 09 20 15
P06 12 63 12 32 32 28 9 4 12 28 27
P12 63 36 29 12 33
Q06 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1
Q12 1 1 0 0 1
T06 1/ 0 1/ 0 0/ 0 3/ 5 3/ 1 1/ 2 0/ 1 2/ 4 1/ 0999/99
T12 3/ 0 6/ 5 5/ 2 3/ 4 999/99
SNW 0 0
CIG 7 7 7 6 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 6 6 4 4 3 4
VIS 7 7 7 7 4 7 7 7 5 3 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 7
OBV N N N N BR N N N BR BR BR BR N N N N N BR HZ BR N

[ga_ben]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS62 KFFC 312055
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007

.SHORT TERM...
MODELS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT AS FAR AS DEVELOPING WINTER
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS EVENING AS MOISTURE INCREASES
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN BETWEEN
MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST
AREA...STARTING AS SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS THEN CHANGING OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HAVE
UPGRADED THE WATCH TO A WARNING...EXPECTING UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW
IN THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAIN AND MORE THAN A QUARTER INCH OF ICING
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. SOUTH OF THE WARNED AREA HAVE
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AREAS NORTH OF A WEST POINT
TO BARNESVILLE TO MILLEDGEVILLE TO WADLEY LINE...WHERE AREAS ARE
EXPECTED TO RECEIVE UP TO TWO-TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE. MODELS
HAVE BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH EACH OTHER AND RUN TO RUN
BRINGING WARM FRONT AND GOOD WARM ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA
TOMORROW AFTER DAY BREAK AND EXPECT WINTER PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE OVER
TO COLD RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BEGINNING BY 10 TO 11 AM.
NORTHEAST GEORGIA IS THE ONLY EXCEPTION WHERE SNOW AND SLEET COULD
CONTINUE INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

SURFACE WAVE AND UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES MOVE TO THE EAST BY TOMORROW
EVENING WITH RAIN CHANCES LINGERING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...SO EXPECT MINIMAL REFREEZING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS FRIDAY
MORNING. BROAD TROUGH SETS UP OVER MID SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRY
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE SURFACE
BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
BROAD SURFACE HIGH AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES WILL DOMINATE
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GFS
HINTING THAT A WEAK FRONT MAY APPROACH NORTH GEORGIA EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE DRY FORECAST WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 30 36 33 51 30 / 80 100 80 10 10
ATLANTA 33 40 36 50 29 / 90 90 80 10 10
BLAIRSVILLE 27 39 29 46 26 / 90 90 80 10 10
CARTERSVILLE 29 38 32 45 27 / 100 90 80 10 10
COLUMBUS 38 54 43 60 36 / 80 90 80 10 10
GAINESVILLE 30 35 34 45 29 / 90 90 80 10 10
MACON 33 48 41 62 36 / 70 100 90 10 10
ROME 26 42 33 48 30 / 100 90 90 10 10
PEACHTREE CITY 30 43 35 54 30 / 90 90 80 10 10
VIDALIA 38 54 47 62 43 / 50 90 90 10 10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NORTH
GEORGIA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CATOOSA...CHATTOOGA...
CHEROKEE...CLARKE...COBB...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...FANNIN...
FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...JACKSON...
LUMPKIN...MADISON...MURRAY...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...PAULDING...
PICKENS...POLK...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WALTON...WHITE...
WHITFIELD.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BALDWIN...BUTTS...CARROLL...CLAYTON...COWETA...
DOUGLAS...FAYETTE...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK...HARALSON...
HEARD...HENRY...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JONES...LAMAR...
MERIWETHER...MONROE...MORGAN...NEWTON...OGLETHORPE...PIKE...
PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...TALIAFERRO...
TROUP...WARREN...WASHINGTON...WILKES.

&&

$$

01/12


Game on! Currently 40.1 with high cirrus clouds. Good luck to all in the path of our winter storm. I'll keep posting my obs here every couple of hours.

[jimvb]

Here's a strange forecast. It's for Redan, Georgia. The area is under both a Red Flag Warning and a Winter Storm Warning. I suppose this means that the snow that Redan is going to get could catch fire. The URL is http://www.srh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapCli ... &map.y=109 . Here is the forecast:

Hazardous weather condition(s):


Hazardous Weather Outlook
Red Flag Warning
Winter Storm Warning


Tonight: Occasional rain, freezing rain and sleet after 1am. Low around 31. South wind around 5 mph becoming east. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible.

Thursday: Occasional rain, freezing rain and sleet, becoming all rain after 1pm. High near 38. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.2 of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Occasional rain, mainly before 1am. Low around 35. North wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 49. Calm wind becoming west between 5 and 10 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

[Brent]

From BMX(Birmingham):

PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN ARRIVING IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA
(MARION, WINSTON, LAMAR, FAYETTE AND WALKER) AROUND MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY
BEFORE. INITIALLY THIS WILL EVAPORATE AND LEAD TO MORE COOLING
AND THEN FALL AS MAINLY SLEET AND/OR SNOW IN THE ADVISORY AREA...RAIN
SOUTH OF THERE WITH A FEW SLEET PELLETS MIXED IN. SOME ACCUMULATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

AS THE PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...TOWARDS
BHM...AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL SEE A MIXTURE OF
PRECIPITATION TYPES...PREDOMINATELY SNOW OR SLEET AT THE ONSET AND
THEN TURNING TO RAIN LATER IN THE MORNING AS WARM ADVECTION TAKES
OVER. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING AND SOME
ACCUMULATIONS OR TRAVEL PROBLEMS MAY BRIEFLY DEVELOP BEFORE
MELTING CAN OCCUR AS WARM ADVECTION AND RAINFALL OVERTAKE THE AREA.

THE HIGHEST AREA OF CONCERN IS STILL ACROSS THE NORTHEAST/EAST
CENTRAL COUNTIES (ETOWAH, CHEROKEE, CALHOUN, CLEBURNE AND
RANDOLPH). THESE AREAS WILL BE THE SLOWEST TO MODIFY AND COULD SEE
SOME LINGERING FROZEN PRECIPITATION THROUGH 900 AM. SLEET OR SNOW
COULD BE WIDESPREAD BY 3 OR 400 AM BEFORE PREDOMINATELY MIXING
WITH RAIN LATER IN THE MORNING.

BY 900 AM...ALL AREAS SHOULD BE UNDER A COLD RAIN THAT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.

That includes me and I have an 8am class tomorrow and it's my Friday... so...

[ncupsscweather]

[qoute]URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007

WINTER STORM WARNING/FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...

.COLD HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
CENTRAL SAVANNAH AREA OF GEORGIA. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT AND PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN TOWARD SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. WINTER TYPE PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST BECAUSE OF
THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. WARMING WILL OCCUR AS THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE AREA, THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO
ALL RAIN FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST LATER THURSDAY MORNING AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE LATER CHANGEOVER TIME WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS
IN THE AREA NORTH AND WEST OF COLUMBIA...AND A WINTER STORM WARNING
HAS BEEN POSTED. THIS IS GENERALLY THE AREA THAT EXTENDS FROM
LINCOLNTON TO NEWBERRY TO WINNSBORO TO CHESTERFIELD.

ALONG WITH VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY POWER LINES.

SOUTH OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA...LESS ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
THIS IS GENERALLY THE COLUMBIA AREA...AND AREAS EAST AND SOUTH OF
COLUMBIA...AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.
HOWEVER...IT TAKES LITTLE ICE TO MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.

BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FREEZING RAIN.

GAZ063>065-SCZ027>031-036>038-010415-
/O.NEW.KCAE.ZR.Y.0001.070201T0900Z-070201T1700Z/
MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-LEXINGTON-RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-
ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THOMSON...MARTINEZ...EVANS...AUGUSTA...
HEPHZIBAH...WEST COLUMBIA...CAYCE...LEXINGTON...RED BANK...
COLUMBIA...BISHOPVILLE...AIKEN...NORTH AUGUSTA...SUMTER...
ORANGEBURG...ST. MATTHEWS...MANNING...SUMMERTON
313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 12 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON THURSDAY.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE THURSDAY.
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED IN
COLUMBIA...WITH LESS ACCUMULATION IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF COLUMBIA.

IT TAKES LITTLE ICE TO MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES
ARE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FREEZING RAIN.

LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECAST UPDATES FROM YOUR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
[/quote]

[ncupsscweather]

Another round of Wintry Weather possible for the Carolina's again this upcoming weekend. As of right now the NAM and GFS can not come to agreement with it yet.

[Weatherfreak14]

Another round of Wintry Weather possible for the Carolina's again this upcoming weekend. As of right now the NAM and GFS can not come to agreement with it yet.

Yea ive been following it, i just crossing my fingers cause it looks the wintry precip my go as far south as the coast.

[ncupsscweather]

Looking at the latest GFS run, it has backed of on the chance of seeing wintry weather again over the weekend.

[Weatherfreak14]

Umm i got a big queston. By right now it looks that the warm front is going back southward and the temps are falling on my porch themometer and i looked at the radar and it looks that the low pressure is going more south than forcasted, looks it will exit off the ga and fl Coast. Could that send some cold air back down into the carolinias and ga for tonite since my it started out at 48 today and my themometer is dropping to a 39 to 38 at this point.

[ncupsscweather]

The temps are suppose to fall back down to below freezen here where i live in north carolina. The National Weather Service in Greenville/Spartanburg has issued a " Freezing Rain Advisory " here from 10pm tonight until 6am Friday Morning were we could see another 0.10" to 0.20" of Freezing Rain. Now were your at im not sure what the forecast is for there. But from what i have been hearing and see the temps will fall back off again later tonight.

[Weatherfreak14]

The temps are suppose to fall back down to below freezen here where i live in north carolina. The National Weather Service in Greenville/Spartanburg has issued a " Freezing Rain Advisory " here from 10pm tonight until 6am Friday Morning were we could see another 0.10" to 0.20" of Freezing Rain. Now were your at im not sure what the forecast is for there. But from what i have been hearing and see the temps will fall back off again later tonight.

Oh im from Beaufort south of charleston sc near the tip close to savannah.