Upper level wind shear is quite low and decreasing in the extreme eastern Bay of Campeche. Very different than point north and west of there as of latest data.
Upper level divergence is positive over the central Gulf of Mexico and is slightly negative over the eastern and southern Bay of Campeche.
I still don't reule out a more northerly movement with this system in reponse to the trough to its north.
BOC/GOM: Upper Level Divergence & Shear
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ColdFront77
BOC/GOM: Upper Level Divergence & Shear
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Thu Jun 19, 2003 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ColdFront77
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GulfBreezer
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ColdFront77
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GulfBreezer
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LOL GBreezer. I guess it really does not matter about raising the deductible for wind and hail. Insurance companies have that 2% clause in there somewhere.
My homeowner's insurance is now at 1500 a year!! If you are right on the beaches, I can just imagine what you are paying. I am two streets over from the Gulf.
My homeowner's insurance is now at 1500 a year!! If you are right on the beaches, I can just imagine what you are paying. I am two streets over from the Gulf.
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Can I make you cry - my homeowner's insurance went from $1600 to $2700 a year. Thanks to all the mold claims here in the Houston area from tropical storm Allision. I dropped my flood insurance - not in a flood plane but then we will probably have the 100 year flood out here and I'll regret it.
Patricia
Patricia
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vbhoutex
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ticka1 wrote:Can I make you cry - my homeowner's insurance went from $1600 to $2700 a year. Thanks to all the mold claims here in the Houston area from tropical storm Allision. I dropped my flood insurance - not in a flood plane but then we will probably have the 100 year flood out here and I'll regret it.
Patricia
Wow Patricia!!! My homeowners went from 1100 to 1800 this year and I was complaining!!! Maybe you need a different carrier!!! BTW, I was one of those mold claims too. What really irks me about the raising of the rates is that I did not say come out and fix my house. I said "I may have a mold problem. Please send someone out to investigate. They did and it was determined we did have a problem and next thing I know we have people in monkey suits all over and 2 rooms unusable with one wrapped in plastic with an "ET" tunnel going into it. Yet they said it was ok for us to be there!!
I will NEVER drop my flood insurance. We already had to use it this past year as you know and we are not in a flood plain either. Plain and simple the Houston area is too flat with too many bayous and creeks to believe you will never get flooded, no matter where you live. You are somewhat in a good situation since your house is not a slab on grade like mine, but raised off the ground(isn't it?)
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ColdFront77
The southern portion of the wind shear in the north Bay of Campeche/southern Gulf of Mexico is "eroding" a bit. With all things considered, it didn't look like that would take place (so soon).
The convection developing over this lower wind shear area and very warm sea surface temperatures are two things going for this low pressure system.
As expected central Florida is having an overcast day with a lot of rain, as well as some thunderstorms.
The convection developing over this lower wind shear area and very warm sea surface temperatures are two things going for this low pressure system.
As expected central Florida is having an overcast day with a lot of rain, as well as some thunderstorms.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Wed Jun 18, 2003 4:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ColdFront77
Upper level wind shear has been decreasing more so in the last several hours over the western
and central Gulf of Mexico.
Upper level divergence is positive over much of the same area.
As we know, these two factors do not inhibit tropical development, they increase the changes of
tropical development.
and central Gulf of Mexico.
Upper level divergence is positive over much of the same area.
As we know, these two factors do not inhibit tropical development, they increase the changes of
tropical development.
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Rainband
Just curious IF this sytem gets it's act together..it would move where??? Don't say towards florida!!!!!ColdFront77 wrote:Upper level wind shear has been decreasing more so in the last several hours over the western
and central Gulf of Mexico.
Upper level divergence is positive over much of the same area.
As we know, these two factors do not inhibit tropical development, they increase the changes of
tropical development.
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Rainband
It is an investigation..don't know about the numbers..Ticka you can have it..a system for us now IMHO would be Catastrophic :oticka1 wrote:TOWARDS FLORIDA. Sorry guys - but looks like BIG HIGH PRESSURE is sitting over Texas and its not going anywhere soon. Unforunately with tropic moisture comes flooding. Stay safe and be prepared for the worst?
Is it an INVEST ? Any Dvorak #'s on it yet?
Patricia
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