Interesting week coming up

[azsnowman]

Starting today a STRONG high pressure ridge establishes itself over N. Az. then Thursday!!


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

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

[azsnowman]

Opps....left out the first part

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 081025 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 300 AM MST MON JAN 08 2007 .SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY HOLDING TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD. EXPECT MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP TO OUR WEST BRINGING COLDER AND WINDY CONDITIONS. BY LATE THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...THE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO BRING INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA...ALONG WITH CONTINUED COLD TEMPERATURES.

[azsnowman]

Sounding MORE and MORE like it's gonna be a BOOGER

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

ON WEDNESDAY...A STRONG MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAKER TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL COMBINE FOR INCREASING CLOUDS AND COOLER DAYTIME CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH SOUTHERLY BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT THE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH WILL ADVECT SOME LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA WHICH WILL INTERACT WITH THE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE FAR EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA ON THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL AND THE AIR MASS DESTABILIZES. THE MAIN QUESTION AT THIS TIME IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE? SOMETHING WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON. THE MOISTURE IMPACTS THE THURSDAY FORECAST IN TERMS OF WIND. EVERY RECENT MODEL RUN HAS SHOWN STRONG LOW-LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENTS ON THURSDAY. IF CONDITIONS ARE MAINLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUST TO OVER 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. IF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY IT WILL BE WINDY BUT WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WOULD BE QUITE A BIT LOWER. FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND THERE ARE A VARIETY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS BUT THE MAIN MESSAGE...EXPECT VERY COLD AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE

[azsnowman]

The wind's already picking up ahead of these systems....sounds like "The Perfect Storm" in the making!

[azsnowman]

Check out the HIGHS on Thurs and Friday Looks like the "Brass Monkey" will be spending the whole WEEK inside by the woodstove

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow in the evening...then chance of snow and rain after midnight. Snow level around 6500 feet. Southwest winds up to 15 mph. Lows 24 to 30 above 7000 feet...around 33 below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Thursday: Chance of snow in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Colder. Highs 34 to 42 above 7000 feet...40 to 46 below 7000 feet. Chance of snow 60 percent.

Thursday night: Snow likely. Lows 21 to 27 above 7000 feet.. Around 29 below 7000 feet. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Colder. Highs 27 to 35 above 7000 feet...33 to 41 below 7000 feet.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Lows 12 to 18 above 7000 feet...around 21 below 7000 feet.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow. Highs 24 to 30 above 7000 feet...30 to 36 below 7000 feet.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a 10 percent chance of snow. Lows around 7 above 7000 feet...around 12 below 7000 feet.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with a 10 percent chance of snow. Highs 27 to 33 above 7000 feet...34 to 40 below 7000 feet.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a 10 percent chance of snow. Lows around 9 above 7000 feet...around 15 below 7000 feet.

Martin luther king jr day: Mostly sunny with a 10 percent chance of snow. Highs 30 to 36 above 7000 feet...36 to 42 below 7000 feet.

[azsnowman]

Could these systems bring a dump like LAST March, remember this one? I spent 2 DAYS diggin' out from THIS one

[HarlequinBoy]

OooOoo. That's very pretty. lol

[LAwxrgal]

Gorgeous pics, azsnowman! Thanks for sharing.

Just for curiosity's sake, is the arctic air mass you're referring to that's going to affect your area this week the same one they're referring to in the Texas thread that's supposed to come down from the Rockies?

[azsnowman]

Gorgeous pics, azsnowman! Thanks for sharing.

Just for curiosity's sake, is the arctic air mass you're referring to that's going to affect your area this week the same one they're referring to in the Texas thread that's supposed to come down from the Rockies?

Yup yup...it's prexactly (a combination of precise and exactly ) the SAME two systems just like in the movie "The Perfect Storm!"

Yeah...these photos are from the March 2006 Blizzard...those snow drifts to the left of the photo? Those are "7 FOOT" pine poles and as you can see, the drifts were UP to the TOP AND from what I'm hearing on the local news, THIS system could be the SAME thing!

[azsnowman]

*music fades in.......Ironman*

Here's why I'm DA AZSNOWMAN

[Stephanie]

I do remember that storm from last year Dennis! Enjoy your snow!

[azsnowman]

Sounding a bit more confident this morning on this (these) systems....


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

A VERY INTERESTING SITUATION IS DEVELOPING FOR LATE WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO SHOW SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE AND CIRCULATION THAT IS SEEN ON WATER VAPOR AT ABOUT 25N/125W. A MAJOR TROUGH DEVELOPING OFF THE WEST COAST WILL DRAW THIS MOISTURE OVER THE STATE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WATCH TIMING CLOSELY TO SEE IF THE MOISTURE IS DRAWN OVER OUR AREA OR PUSHED TO THE EAST. NOT ONLY WILL THIS MAKE A DIFFERENCE IN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...BUT ALSO THE WIND SPEEDS. 700MB WINDS RANGE FROM 40 TO 60 KNOTS OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MORE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WOULD LIMIT THE SURFACE WINDS. WE MAY BE LOOKING AT EITHER A SNOW ADVISORY OR A WIND ADVISORY FOR THURSDAY. WILL UPDATE THE CURRENT HWO TO REFLECT THIS. STAY TUNED ON THIS SYSTEM...IT WILL LIKELY CONTAIN THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER SO FAR THIS WINTER

[azsnowman]

Y'alls guess is as GOOD as MINE on this one and the NWS TOO Getting VERY complicated, VERY disturbing.....could I see 5 FEET of snow with blizzard conditions OR could it be a bust o rama with just wind? Toss a coin and let me know

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov.fgz

A VERY COMPLICATED FORECAST IS ON TAP FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THERE ARE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT ARE SETTING UP TO GIVE US A ONE-TWO PUNCH. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST TOMORROW...ALLOWING FOR THE FIRST TROUGH...NOW LOCATED WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WITH IT SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER..BREEZY CONDITIONS...AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. THE PRECIPITATION LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BEGIN SOMETIME WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH THE FOCUS BEING THE MOGOLLON RIM...NORTHERN GILA COUNTY...AND THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO DROP FROM A HIGH OF 5500 TO 6000 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO AROUND 4500 FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT.


THE ISSUE THAT MAY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION WE GET WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE STABILITY AS THE LAPSE RATES REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 6C/KM. EVEN SO...EXPECT TO SEE ABOUT 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN RIM AND WHITES...WITH ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN RIM. SYSTEM NUMBER TWO WILL DIVE DOWN FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WILL INFLUENCE THE NORTHLAND`S WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM IS DEEPER AND MUCH COLDER THAN SYSTEM NUMBER ONE.


LOOK FOR STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS LOOK TO BE IN THE ORDER OF 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH IS JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL HELP TO STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND WITH H7 TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO -15 TO -17 DEGREES C FRIDAY NIGHT EVEN THE LOWEST ELEVATION SITES ACROSS THE NORTHLAND COULD SEE SOME SNOWFALL. WITH THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WE WILL SEE EXCELLENT MICROPHYSICS FOR SNOW. DEPENDING ON WHERE THE BEST SYNOPTIC AND MESOSCALE AREAS FOR LIFT LINE UP...SOME AREAS MAY WELL RECEIVE DECENT SNOWFALL. THE DIFFICULTY IN ALL THIS IS THE LOCATION AT WHICH IT WILL OCCUR.

[azsnowman]

Starting to come up with some numbers as system 2 approaches

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...A DEEP LOW WILL TAKE RESIDENCE IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE OUR MAIN WEATHER MAKER. MASSIVE HGHT FALLS AND IMPRESSIVE DIV-Q WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION ALONG WITH A DEEPENING SATURATION LAYER AS THE SYSTEM TAKES ADVANTAGE OF A PRE-MOISTENED BOUNDARY...COURTESY OF THE FIRST LOW. WE EXPECT THAT THE MOST ACTIVE PERIOD HERE WILL BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. SOME AREAS COULD SEE A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW BY THE END OF SATURDAY...AND WE WILL WATCH THIS POTENTIAL CLOSELY. THE WINDS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE 700 MB WINDS ARE ABOVE 50 KTS IN MANY AREAS.

[Aquawind]

I am pulling for a thick n chewy 5+ feet for ya Dennis! Just take your time shoveling.. You need a good snowpack for a change. My toes are crossed as well for ya.. ouch!

[azsnowman]

I am pulling for a thick n chewy 5+ feet for ya Dennis! Just take your time shoveling.. You need a good snowpack for a change. My toes are crossed as well for ya.. ouch!

WHAT??? ME....SHOVEL? That's why I'm MARRIED *runs for cover*

Seriously, I have a 12 HP snow blower that does all the shovelin' for me! You can uncross your toes now...it's sounding betterer and betterer as time goes by...AND, I've got the window open for NOAA/NWS Flag as I post this AND they've just started issueing SNOW advisories/winter storm warnings and the big system is still 2 days out


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

A MUCH STRONGER...DEEPER...AND COLDER SYSTEM WILL DIG SEWD FROM THE PACNW ARRIVING DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUING TO IMPACT THE WEATHER OVER NRN AZ THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OROGRAPHIC AND DEEP-LAYER SYNOPTIC-SCALE FORCING WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SIGNIFICANT AND LONG-DURATION LARGE-SCALE VERTICAL MOTIONS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST INITIAL MOISTURE AND SATURATION WILL BE SHALLOW LIMITING ICE CRYSTAL PRODUCTION IN THE -10 TO -20C LAYER AND LIMITING PCPN AMOUNTS. IN THE LATTER PHASES OF THE STORM...SATURATION DEEPENS AND LAPSE RATES IN THE SATURATED LAYER WILL BE QUITE STEEP ALLOWING EFFICIENT SNOWFALL PRODUCTION TO OCCUR. SOME OF THE MODEL SNOW FCST AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE OVERLY EXCESSIVE AND BELIEVE THESE ARE SIGNIFICANTLY OVERDONE. NONETHELESS...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY WARRANT A SNOW ADVISORY OR WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SOME LOCATIONS FOR THE FRIDAY-SATURDAY PERIOD. STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY AND A BIT TOO SOON TO ISSUE ANY WINTER HEADLINE PRODUCTS.

[azsnowman]

Winds already picking up in earnest with very little moisture, actually...ZERO but that was expected with this first little system, the BIG one is still on track!


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

WIND ADVISORY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
414 AM MST THU JAN 11 2007

...STRONG WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY..

.AN APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS TO AREAS ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS...AND
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

AZZ012>017-038-111915-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WI.Y.0001.070111T1800Z-070112T0300Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WUPATKI N.M...TUBA CITY...WINSLOW..
HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF..
WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES..
SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...SEDONA
414 AM MST THU JAN 11 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING.

EXPECT GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING. PLACES TO THE EAST
THE SAN FRANCISCO PEAKS AND MOGOLLON RIM ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 50 MPH THIS MORNING...EXPECT THE STRONG
GUSTY WINDS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL HAMPER TRAVEL ON
ROADWAYS ACROSS THE AREA.

[azsnowman]

And now.........


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov.fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 330 AM MST THU JAN 11 2007 .SYNOPSIS...A WEAK SUB TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS ARIZONA THIS MORNING WITH CLEARING FROM THE WEST. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DECREASE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WHITE MOUNTAINS WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE. BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND...A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST. VERY COLD AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH RAIN AND SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM. &&



.DISCUSSION...AT 3 AM...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WERE CLEARING NORTHWEST ARIZONA. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WERE MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS MORNING. ONLY A FEW WEAK ECHOS HAVE BEEN SEEN OVER OUR WHITE MOUNTAINS. MODEL MOISTURE SOUNDING CONTINUE TO SHOW LIMITED MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH THE MAIN FORCING MECHANISM WILL BE OROGRAPHIC UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE AN INCH OF SNOW IN THE WHITE MTNS AND FAR EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (ABOVE 7000 FEET) TODAY. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING TO 30 TO 40 MPH.



A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN OVER NW AZ BY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH 700MB WINDS INCREASING TO 50-60KT. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH VERY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE LEE OF HIGHER TERRAIN FEATURES. AREAS WHERE STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INCLUDE THE HIGHWAY 89 CORRIDOR FROM DONEY PARK TO GRAY MOUNTAIN. WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOGOLLON RIM...LCR AND WHITE MOUNTAINS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. ANOTHER ADVISORY MAY LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR LATER TONIGHT FOR ZONES 4 AND 5.



A MUCH STRONGER...DEEPER...AND COLDER SYSTEM WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ARRIVING DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUING TO IMPACT THE WEATHER OVER NRN AZ THROUGH SATURDAY. OROGRAPHIC AND DEEP-LAYER SYNOPTIC-SCALE FORCING WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SIGNIFICANT AND LONG-DURATION LARGE-SCALE VERTICAL MOTIONS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST INITIAL MOISTURE AND SATURATION WILL BE SHALLOW LIMITING ICE CRYSTAL PRODUCTION IN THE -10 TO -20C LAYER AND LIMITING PCPN AMOUNTS. IN THE LATTER PHASES OF THE STORM... SATURATION DEEPENS AND LAPSE RATES IN THE SATURATED LAYER WILL BE STEEP ALLOWING EFFICIENT SNOWFALL PRODUCTION TO OCCUR. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY WARRANT A SNOW ADVISORY FOR SOME LOCATIONS FOR THE FRIDAY-SATURDAY PERIOD.

[Aquawind]

12 HP Snowblower! That's a biggie.. Heck you could pull your truck out of the ditch with that thing.. Helps with those 5 foot flurries I reckon. Hope you have the bib on as I imagine your probably drooling over the keyboard as you read that.

[azsnowman]

12 HP Snowblower! That's a biggie.. Heck you could pull your truck out of the ditch with that thing.. Helps with those 5 foot flurries I reckon. Hope you have the bib on as I imagine your probably drooling over the keyboard as you read that.

I do wear bibs when I blow.....my Carhart bibs

Now to the matter at hand...it's starting to get pretty GNARLY out there, winds been kickin' up to 48 mph, temp has plummeted some 23° in the past 2.25 hours and check THIS OUT They're calling for only 4-8"...this is EXACTLY the INDENTICAL forecast as we had back on 11 March 2006 when I wound up with 42" on the level with 78" drifts

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
416 PM MST THU JAN 11 2007

...STRONG WINTER STORM TO BRING WIND AND SNOW TO NORTHERN ARIZONA
ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY..

.A STRONG AND COLD STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO
ARIZONA ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. ACCOMPANYING THE
SNOW WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS WILL RESULT IN BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THEN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING
THE DAY FRIDAY. SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...GRAND CANYON COUNTRY...COCONINO PLATEAU...MOGOLLON
RIM...WHITE MTNS...BLACK MESA...AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU FROM NOON
FRIDAY UNTIL NOON SATURDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW DURING THE DAY.


AZZ004-006>008-011-015>017-039-120730-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SB.Y.0001.070112T1900Z-070113T1900Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-COCONINO PLATEAU-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA..
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NORTH RIM...VALLE...PRESCOTT..
SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...FLAGSTAFF..
WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES..
SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...NAVAJO N.M.
416 PM MST THU JAN 11 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO
12 PM MST SATURDAY..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO
12 PM MST SATURDAY.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS
GUSTING TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE STORM RESULTING
IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.