Texas winter wx thread#4 - big changes on the way eventually

Johnny · #361 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 2:01 pm

I'm heading to Amarillo here in a little bit. They are already closing roads going out west of Amarillo going into New Mexico and they more than like be closing off 287. We will probably hit accumulating snow a good bit before we even get to Amarillo. I can't wait to get my hands on some of that stuff they call snow! :cheesy:

southerngale · #362 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 2:04 pm

Johnny wrote:I'm heading to Amarillo here in a little bit. They are already closing roads going out west of Amarillo going into New Mexico and they more than like be closing off 287. We will probably hit accumulating snow a good bit before we even get to Amarillo. I can't wait to get my hands on some of that stuff they call snow!

I totally don't know what that is, but I want it.

#363 Postby **Tireman4** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 2:08 pm

Good luck and Godspeed Johnny!!!!!!!!!!!!

Johnny · #364 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 2:12 pm

Thanks Tireman...I'll bring back some pics for all of my sista's and brotha's here in Southeast, Texas on Storm2k.

SG, I really don't know what it is either. I'll probably be like a little kid lost in a candy store. LOL!!

JenBayles · #365 Postby **JenBayles** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 3:51 pm

As I recall, that "stuff" is cold, wet, and the atomic weight gets heavier by the second when on the other end of a shovel. :lol:

double D · #366 Postby **double D** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 6:37 pm

JenBayles wrote:As I recall, that "stuff" is cold, wet, and the atomic weight gets heavier by the second when on the other end of a shovel.

When you say it like that, it makes me glad that we don't get that much snow down here. I'm sure it's not that fun to get up at 5:00am and shovel out snow just so you can go to work. :lol:

TexasStooge · #367 Postby **TexasStooge** » Fri Dec 29, 2006 10:29 pm

A WINTER STORM WARNING is still in effect through Saturday evening for the northwestern areas of the Panhandle region and a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for the rest of the Panhandle cities through Saturday afternoon. BLIZZARD WARNINGS and HEAVY SNOW WARNINGS are also in effect until at least Saturday Evening

So far, the system is bring some showers with a few embedded thunderstorms through the TX and OK panhandle regions, eventually it'll develop into snow by late night/early Saturday morning. Precip. has ended across the southeastern panhandle area, however more development is expected by Midnight CST.

LUBBOCK
Tonight:

30°F
Saturday:

37°F
Saturday Night:

25°F

AMARILLO
Tonight:

24°F
Saturday:

31°F
Saturday Night:

21°F

DALHART
Tonight:

25°F
Saturday:

31°F
Saturday Night:

19°F

aggiecutter · #368 Postby **aggiecutter** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 1:45 am

Looks like the operational run has picked up on the the pattern change.

0Z GFS:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _300.shtml

southerngale · #369 Postby **southerngale** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 3:12 am

double D wrote:
JenBayles wrote:As I recall, that "stuff" is cold, wet, and the atomic weight gets heavier by the second when on the other end of a shovel.

When you say it like that, it makes me glad that we don't get that much snow down here. I'm sure it's not that fun to get up at 5:00am and shovel out snow just so you can go to work.

Don't they shut everything down when it snows?

aggiecutter · #370 Postby **aggiecutter** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 10:15 am

The Ensembles say the pattern change is coming and in a "BIG" way.

Morning Ensembles:
http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... times.html

#371 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 10:58 am

aggiecutter wrote:The Ensembles say the pattern change is coming and in a "BIG" way.

Morning Ensembles:
http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... times.html

Yup ... I saw the same:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... 60_us.html

Pattern change appears more and more likely by mid month. Now if we can keep this southern jet active, things could get REAL interesting for us in Texas by later in January.

wxman22 · #372 Postby **wxman22** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 10:59 am

Even though this is the GFS 300+ hours away it may be hinting at an atrusion of cold air from the artic...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_324m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_336m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_348m.gif

The more intresting part is it dives most of the cold air straight south instead of south and east, that would transalate that the Great plains and southern plains would get most of the cold air... somethimg to watch as we go through the next 2 weeks...[/img]

cctxhurricanewatcher · #373 Postby **cctxhurricanewatcher** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 11:58 am

Lucy teeing up the old football for Portastorm and EWG!

#374 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 11:58 am

i saw this on the end of the GFS model yesturday but ruled it out .

TexasStooge · #375 Postby **TexasStooge** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 12:27 pm

The Winter Storm Watch for the southern Panhandle has been cancelled.

aggiecutter · #376 Postby **aggiecutter** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 12:55 pm

I think it's an understatement to say there is a pattern change on the way. The Ensembles have a 1052mb high entering the northern plains in 2 weeks with another 1040mb high on its heals. Also notice the mbs as the flow is straight down into Texas.

Ensemble MSLP:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/t ... 23000.html

WhiteShirt · #377 Postby **WhiteShirt** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 1:09 pm

What does this mean for SE Texas? Thanks.

TexasStooge · #378 Postby **TexasStooge** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 10:04 pm

WhiteShirt wrote:What does this mean for SE Texas? Thanks.

It means more rain for SE Texas, same goes for the N. TX Region.

As for the Texas Panhandle, the winter weather is gonna taper off by New Year's Eve, but it won't be long before they see another round of wintry mix precip the day after New Year's Day. Now if the system would shove some more of that snow to the North Texas region, all the better. The following forecasts for Tuesday thru Thursday provided by the NWS isn't promising much, but by Tuesday, chances of winter weather will be even greater.

LUBBOCK
Tuesday:

Hi: 41°F | Lo: 17°F
Wednesday:

Hi: 28°F | Lo: 19°F
Thursday:

Hi: 51°F | Lo: 28°F
_____________________________________________________________

AMARILLO
Tuesday:

Hi: 39°F | Lo: 22°F
Wednesday:

Hi: 44°F | Lo: 23°F
Thursday:

Hi: 51°F | Lo: 29°F
_____________________________________________________________

DALHART
Tuesday:

Hi: 36°F | Lo: 16°F
Wednesday:

Hi: 41°F | Lo: 17°F
Thursday:

Hi: 48°F | Lo: 22°F

double D · #379 Postby **double D** » Sat Dec 30, 2006 10:19 pm

Why is the high in Lubbock so much colder than Amarillo on Wednesday? Is that a mistake or are they expecting the airmass to be colder? Just curious. :wink:

Never mind, I just checked and I think that high of 28 should be 45 on Wednesday with a chance of snow. Texas stooge, I agreee with you, I wish that the panhandle would share some of that snow with the rest of Texas.

Extremeweatherguy · #380 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jan 01, 2007 3:53 pm

JB is saying that some of our coldest air of the winter could be on the way for the day 8-18 period across many areas of the country. He also said that the arctic air + active southern jet could lead to possible southern snow/ice threats down the road.

Could get interesting by mid month.

Texas winter wx thread#4 - big changes on the way eventually

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