Upcoming Weekend Storm

[wx247]

Folks across the Plains may be ringing out the old year and coming into the new one with snow on the ground. Discussion can begin in this thread. Right now, I feel someone could get dumped on in a major way.

[NEWeatherguy]

I feel this storm may be a multi-faceted one. A blizzard north and west of it, severe thunderstorms south and east of it and a mix of rain, sleet and snow in between.

My NWS office is getting a bit more confident with moderate to high POPS late this week into the weekend.

[conestogo_flood]

How could the Great Lakes possibly fair in scenarios with this storm?

[PTPatrick]

Looking at this and Denver's forecast...looks like this could be another big upsslope storm for Denver and the front range citys. At the very least this will be another 4-6 inches for the metro area on top of the 24 inches that isnt melting quickly. If the storm tracks closer to the KA/CO/NM corners then upsloap will be strong. NAM looks like close to another foot in that time frame.

[dean]

the GFS today is showing a more powerful storm than it did 12 hours ago, now if this run holds up (which i doubt it will) and temps stay below freezing, people here in central Minnesota could see up to 15-20 inches of snow.

[Janie2006]

Watching the model runs carefully here, but not sure as of yet about the strength or severity of the system. There is the potential for heavy rain and/or severe wx.

[dean]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

just finished my forecast for the upper midwest on my site, here it is:

Strong area of low pressure will slowly move across the midwest from Thursday-Monday. This system looks as though it will produce a lot of precipitation. Right now it is still to early to say whether the precip. for the Twin Cities area will be rain, ice, or snow. All three are very possible, as temps will be hovering right around the 32 degree mark through the duration of the storm. Southern Minnesota and places further south look like they will receive mostly rain, but if the temp does stay below freezing for the entire storm, we may pick up over a foot of snow according to the latest model runs from the College of DuPage.

[wx247]

Watching the model runs carefully here, but not sure as of yet about the strength or severity of the system. There is the potential for heavy rain and/or severe wx.

That is another major part of this storm. Things look to be coming together for a major outbreak across the South.

[simplykristi]

Looks like a rain event here in the KC area. We might have a lttle snow mix in as the precip ends Sat. night/Sun AM.

Kristi

[wx247]

Looks like a rain event here in the KC area. We might have a lttle snow mix in as the precip ends Sat. night/Sun AM.

Kristi

Watch for a mix turning to snow on Saturday Kristi!

[breeze]

Potential line of severe storms forecasted for here, for now, via GFS.
We'll have to see as time draws closer.

~Annette~

[wx247]

Yep Annette. The Mid-South may be in the thick of things depending on the track of the low. Either way, lots of rain for the end of 2006.

[wx247]

Winter Storm Watches which were posted for much of Colorado, Western Kansas, and portions of Nebraska as far east as Kearney remain in effect this morning. This system is now coming onshore and should be sampled more effectively in the next few model runs. There isn't much change on thoughts on my part right now. Just keep an eye on how fast this thing starts to move over the next few runs. It may get hung up in the Great Lakes.

[dean]

that 35 degree line moved north on me up to the Twin Cities area, so if that holds up, we might not see ANY snow, all rain.

[Janie2006]

GFS has slowed the progression of the system considerably from a couple of days ago. Its now more in line with the other models.

This could be bad news for severe wx potential, as it could allow more time for deep moisture to be drawn in ahead of the storm. It could also allow for maximum daytime heating to contribute to a quite possibly volatile situation. I think there are a few questions about the amount of moisture that will be available, though indications are that the PWs will be greatly above the norm (nearly 1.75 in). GFS continues to indicate a squall line setting up over this part of the South (MS/AL).

[simplykristi]

It looks like all rain for us here in KC.

Kristi

[wx247]

It looks like all rain for us here in KC.

Kristi

System has slowed some but I still think you will see some flakes on Sunday now as opposed to Saturday. Accumulation...doubtful... a few flakes... likely.

[simplykristi]

Hi Garrett,
I seriously doubt that we will see any snowflakes from this storm.

Kristi

[wx247]

Good morning!!!

The Denver metro is now under a Winter Storm Warning... expect some areas of the Front Rage to receive around 2 feet of snow! In addition, Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for portions of NW Kansas and the NW Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. The warned areas in Kansas will likely see blizzard conditions. It wouldn't surprise me to see I-70 shut again in this area. In the TX/OK panhandle, they will likely see 4-9" of snow before it is all said and done.

I would like to point out that there are some dynamics with this system that we aren't fully able to grasp at this point (at least I am not). Watch the trends to see if this system continues to slow and dig a little further south. Places like Amarillo, Dodge City, and Kearney, NE need to keep a close watch on this storm!


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Aquawind]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

just finished my forecast for the upper midwest on my site, here it is:

Strong area of low pressure will slowly move across the midwest from Thursday-Monday. This system looks as though it will produce a lot of precipitation. Right now it is still to early to say whether the precip. for the Twin Cities area will be rain, ice, or snow. All three are very possible, as temps will be hovering right around the 32 degree mark through the duration of the storm. Southern Minnesota and places further south look like they will receive mostly rain, but if the temp does stay below freezing for the entire storm, we may pick up over a foot of snow according to the latest model runs from the College of DuPage.

Check your PM dean.