Canada's latest 3 month forecast is COLD & Dry

[CaptinCrunch]

Just looking at Weather Canada's newest 3 month forecast (Dec-Feb) issued Dec 1, Canada should see below normal temps and below normal precip for much of Southern and Central Canada. This is totally backwards to their temp forecast back in Sept when they forecasted above normal temps and below normal precip for much of Canada as a whole. The only above normal area was along the eastern seaboard, which don't sound to good for the NE U.S seeing a colder than avg winter.

Temp:
http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/i ... mg=sfe1t_s
Precip:
http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/i ... mg=sfe1p_s

[aggiecutter]

After the cold shot on friday, the pattern looks like it is going to change for a couple weeks. Mid-month looks to be warm and wet in the southern plains with the potential for several outbreaks of severe weather as strong areas of low pressure pass just to our north. My gut tells me that the pattern will turn cold once again as we end the month. After that, who knows, but we are due a cold January as we haven't had one in a long time.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

For you pattern watchers out there. Does this mean we may have a normal to below normal winter period after all? Or is the temps possibly being below normal up there suggests the cold air just may stay up there and really never come down in force? This excludes this current wave that started last week.

[Portastorm]

I have been reading from JB as well as other pro mets who post on various other boards that signs point to the pattern changing to colder than normal for much of the central and eastern US right around Christmas and extending well into January.

Until that time, we're expected to see normal to above normal temps in the northern Plains and eastern US but we in the Southland will see normal to below normal temps, relative to average of course.

The cold air will rebuild in Canada and will let loose at some point later this month or early in 07 ... if these "experts" are accurate.

[aggiecutter]

The thing that makes me think it will be colder than normal for parts of the lower 48 ,at least from looking at that map, is the projection of above normal temps in the Northern Provinces of Canada into the pole. That makes me think there will be blocking over the top, forcing the cold air southward.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

The thing that makes me think it will be colder than normal for parts of the lower 48 ,at least from looking at that map, is the projection of above normal temps in the Northern Provinces of Canada into the pole. That makes me think there will be blocking over the top, forcing the cold air southward.

That's what I thought. Seems to be whenever the temps are above normal in the Yukon/Alaska, we probably get cold, at least normal cold in the lower 48. Having seen that first real cold shot go thru Montana and down the divide has to give us cold weather weenies in Texas some hope for a cooler than normal winter. That is where most of our direct hits come from.