Invest 97L North of V.I,Puerto Rico,Models,Sats and Comments

#21 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:27 am

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

Backup site of NRL eliminates 97L and puts back 96L.

Thunder44 · #22 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:31 am

I guess they just decided to stick with "96L" again.

#23 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:36 am

Well,the confusion has been in the roof this morning as 97L appeared at NRL at the same place as 96L was.But as time has gone by it seems like 96L will stay and they will eliminate 97L as the SSD T number and the models are for 96L so I will open again the 96L thread and lock the 97L one.

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:23 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Breaking News=Invest 97L for wave near Leewards.

#25 Postby **HurricaneBelle** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:26 am

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Breaking News=Invest 97L for wave near Leewards.

The sat pic is for the Leewards wave, but the accompanying map is for TD9

#26 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:35 am

caribepr · #27 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:35 am

Funny...I've been looking at that this morning, then came here. I hadn't noticed this topic yesterday so thought that is what it was about...then it took the whole day to BE what it was about!
If it brings a bit of coolness and moisture (a BIT!) as it appears to be what we're looking at, it will be welcome.

#28 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:39 am

Closeup Visible Image

As I said yesterday Caribepr,we dont have to board up,or go to the long lines at the market.But it will bring scattered showers and some gusts to us.

Nimbus · #29 Postby **Nimbus** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:52 am

Pretty good little wave. Seems to be tracking west if the convection is any indicator. Where is the lowest pressure a little south of the convection or under it?

caribepr · #30 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:52 am

That image is pretty impressive looking! No worries, our cisterns and brown spots on the island need the rain!

#31 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:53 am

Nimbus wrote:Pretty good little wave. Seems to be tracking west if the convection is any indicator. Where is the lowest pressure a little south of the convection or under it?

NRL has it at 18.0n-60.6w.

Steve H. · #32 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:54 am

As I suspected this could become our next TD if shear to the NW doesn't become a factor. The track is the old one from Tuesday and is way off. This should pass through the northern Leewards, but has potentail to become a TD/TS in the next 24 hours IMO. Keep an eye on this Luis cause it has built convection up rather quickly. there is even a chance it could affect the eastern US coast later in the 7-day period.

#33 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:58 am

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972006) ON 20060928 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060928 1200 060929 0000 060929 1200 060930 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 60.5W 18.8N 62.3W 19.8N 64.1W 20.7N 65.8W
BAMM 18.0N 60.5W 18.6N 62.4W 19.4N 64.3W 20.3N 66.1W
A98E 18.0N 60.5W 18.6N 62.3W 19.4N 64.0W 20.7N 65.7W
LBAR 18.0N 60.5W 18.7N 62.3W 19.8N 64.1W 20.9N 65.9W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 45KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 45KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060930 1200 061001 1200 061002 1200 061003 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.6N 67.5W 23.2N 70.7W 24.9N 73.0W 26.5N 73.2W
BAMM 21.2N 67.9W 23.3N 71.4W 25.3N 73.8W 25.8N 75.3W
A98E 22.4N 67.5W 26.3N 70.7W 30.7N 69.7W 37.4N 60.7W
LBAR 22.2N 67.4W 25.4N 70.6W 26.9N 71.1W 28.9N 70.1W
SHIP 51KTS 59KTS 60KTS 56KTS
DSHP 51KTS 59KTS 60KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.0N LONCUR = 60.5W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 17.5N LONM12 = 58.8W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 17.2N LONM24 = 56.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 90NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

#34 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:06 am

LOL... looks like there was some confusion as to where this area was. Here is a visible shot of it.

#35 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:10 am

12:00z graphic.

mike815 · #36 Postby **mike815** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:13 am

well this might go the furthest west than all the others this year yea lol If it forms that is. It might actually get past Bermuda.

Weathermaster · #37 Postby **Weathermaster** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:15 am

Cycloneye:

I am confused, Invest 97 is the one near Leeward, but the Graphics are for the area, near 10N 50W, There is a new invest?

mike815 · #38 Postby **mike815** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:17 am

This is a brand new invest as of this morning i think. It is located up at 18.0 N by the northern leeward islands IT has been mentioned in the outlooks but so far no significant developement has been expected.

#39 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:19 am

Weathermaster wrote:Cycloneye:

I am confused, Invest 97 is the one near Leeward, but the Graphics are for the area, near 10N 50W, There is a new invest?

What graphics you are eluding to?

#40 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:20 am

cycloneye wrote:
Weathermaster wrote:Cycloneye:

I am confused, Invest 97 is the one near Leeward, but the Graphics are for the area, near 10N 50W, There is a new invest?

What graphics you are eluding to?

He is talking about the SFWMD graphics. When I saw them earlier, it looked like it was just out side the Caribbean and at a low latitude.

Invest 97L North of V.I,Puerto Rico,Models,Sats and Comments

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