The wave following Helene

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AnnularCane
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#21 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:22 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I agree, everything coming off Africa(especially this time of year) will be a fish. If you want to look for landfalling storms, don't look at the caost of Africa(although I'm happy they will be fish, the economy can't afford another landfalling hurricane)...

I think we will be very very fortunate this year. I see no evidence whatsoever that a hurricane will effect the USA this year. As I said before, too much shear close to the USA.....
This really does feel like a blessed year as far as storms are concerned. We are sooooooooooo EXTREMELY LUCKY!
but we better not get use to it, this kind of GREAT LUCK will NOT happen 2 years in a row... So we should enjoy it while we can! 8-)



I hope you didn't just jinx the USA big time. :lol:
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Zardoz
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#22 Postby Zardoz » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:51 pm

Looks pretty power-packed as it gets its feet wet:

Eumetsat

This will be fun to watch as it chases Helene.

(Is it exiting the coast at a higher lat than Helene did?)
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#23 Postby Robjohn53 » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:59 pm

Well i hope it keeps going in our favor like everyone else said we don't need these storms knocking on our doors at all. I still see blue tarped roofs from 2004 still to this day. And 2005 don't even wana talk about that one for sure.. But i am not taking my eyes off anything this year just yet. It's always when you think your clear somthing gose wrong...
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#24 Postby Zardoz » Thu Sep 14, 2006 2:37 am

It's a really good thing that these two are going to end up in the North Atlantic instead of downtown Miami:

Image

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/loop-rb.html

That's a truly scary-looking pair.
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Cookiely
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#25 Postby Cookiely » Thu Sep 14, 2006 2:58 am

Zardoz wrote:It's a really good thing that these two are going to end up in the North Atlantic instead of downtown Miami:

Image

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/loop-rb.html

That's a truly scary-looking pair.

Sort of like a heavy weight fight with a one two punch.
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#26 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:25 am

The Cape Verde Train is underway folks and its speeding right into the north Atlantic - at least for now.....
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#27 Postby LaBreeze » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:26 am

Fish City's population is increasing each time Africa spits one out.
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#28 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:30 am

Seems to have a similar relationship as 93L did to Florence.
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#29 Postby Zardoz » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:08 pm

Contact!

Image

Will it disrupt Helene, or feed her?


.
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fci
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#30 Postby fci » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:24 pm

I think it will fold into Helene.
She is a carnivore of systems like her older sister Flo.
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#31 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:25 pm

fci wrote:I think it will fold into Helene.
She is a carnivore of systems like her older sister Flo.


But Flo popped out a baby boy called Gordon despite her immense size so anything could happen. lol.
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#32 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:50 pm

I thought Gordon would be absorbed by Florence but it wasn't.
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#33 Postby jpigott » Thu Sep 14, 2006 2:31 pm

i wonder if these two systems are close enough so that if they do organize sufficiently we could see some fujiwara.

How would that work for the tracks of these storms given the big trough forecasted to lift both of these systems into the north atlantic
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#34 Postby caribepr » Thu Sep 14, 2006 2:45 pm

jpigott wrote:i wonder if these two systems are close enough so that if they do organize sufficiently we could see some fujiwara.

How would that work for the tracks of these storms given the big trough forecasted to lift both of these systems into the north atlantic


Good questions (since I know what a fujiwara is - and I learned it here - I'm so proud!). I look forward to the fact based guesstimates/answers, due to the hope I hold that the track at present holds true.
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fci
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#35 Postby fci » Thu Sep 14, 2006 3:27 pm

gatorcane wrote:
fci wrote:I think it will fold into Helene.
She is a carnivore of systems like her older sister Flo.


But Flo popped out a baby boy called Gordon despite her immense size so anything could happen. lol.


Perhaps she was pregnant the whole time??
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#36 Postby Zardoz » Thu Sep 14, 2006 7:12 pm

Helene has blown up into an enormous storm:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/loop-rb.html

Thing is, our follower looks like it could have the potential to be just as big!

This is fascinating...
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#37 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 10:18 pm

The wave has been beaten by girl power.
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#38 Postby Zardoz » Fri Sep 15, 2006 8:30 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:The wave has been beaten by girl power.

It's staggering a bit, but it's still on its feet:

Image
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#39 Postby Zardoz » Fri Sep 15, 2006 4:44 pm

The plot thickens:


A TROPICAL WAVE HAS EMERGED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA ALONG
19W/20W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. THIS WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED
BY A 1013MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 14N. BROAD CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS
CLEARLY NOTED IN THE LOW TO MID CLOUD FIELD...AND IN THE
AVAILABLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CLOUD TOPS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE HAVE WARMED A FEW DEGREES OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS...THOUGH
SCATTERED MODERATE STILL EXISTS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 18W-23W.

Image
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#40 Postby Praxus » Fri Sep 15, 2006 4:52 pm

Yawn probably another recurve. Lets get a nice major that approaches the CONUS but then veers off into fishland just before they start evacs :)
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