Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

#401 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:00 pm

since it is such a big storm...wouldnt it take time for the windfields to catch up with pressure? plus I believe that the pressure gradient is less intense correct?

Thunder44 · #402 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:02 pm

The pressure is falling, so it is intensifying, but not at very fast rate. The winds seem to be lagging far behind the pressure falls as well.

#403 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:02 pm

511
SXXX50 KNHC 091754
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 20 KNHC
1741 2600N 06249W 01524 5006 124 050 176 168 051 01553 0000000000
1741. 2601N 06248W 01524 5005 124 051 176 168 051 01554 0000000000
1742 2602N 06247W 01524 5003 124 051 174 172 051 01556 0000000000
1742. 2603N 06246W 01523 5002 125 051 170 170 053 01557 0000000000
1743 2604N 06244W 01524 5002 126 051 178 176 053 01557 0000000000
1743. 2605N 06243W 01527 0000 125 051 176 174 051 01562 0000000000
1744 2606N 06242W 01523 0001 124 050 178 170 051 01559 0000000000
1744. 2607N 06241W 01523 0001 124 050 180 170 050 01560 0000000000
1745 2608N 06240W 01523 0002 127 049 184 164 050 01560 0000000000
1745. 2609N 06238W 01525 0003 127 049 180 174 049 01563 0000000000
1746 2611N 06237W 01523 0004 126 051 176 176 052 01562 0000000000
1746. 2612N 06236W 01524 0006 124 053 178 174 053 01565 0000000000
1747 2613N 06235W 01523 0006 124 054 182 174 054 01564 0000000000
1747. 2614N 06233W 01525 0008 125 053 182 174 054 01568 0000000000
1748 2615N 06232W 01525 0009 125 055 182 168 056 01569 0000000000
1748. 2616N 06231W 01524 0010 124 055 186 168 055 01569 0000000000
1749 2617N 06230W 01524 0011 126 054 186 172 054 01570 0000000000
1749. 2618N 06229W 01524 0013 126 053 186 168 054 01572 0000000000
1750 2619N 06227W 01523 0013 128 051 182 168 052 01571 0000000000
1750. 2620N 06226W 01524 0014 125 051 186 156 051 01573 0000000000

Scorpion · #404 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:04 pm

This is ridiculous. Last weekend we were expecting a Cat 3 or 4 and now its still not even a hurricane.

Stormavoider · #405 Postby **Stormavoider** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:08 pm

Scorpion wrote:This is ridiculous. Last weekend we were expecting a Cat 3 or 4 and now its still not even a hurricane.

YA! You should take this all the way up to Zeus.

gotoman38 · #406 Postby **gotoman38** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:08 pm

The slow development contiues to baffle me.

I've heard shear and dry air as reasons for this lack of strengthening, but I'm still unconvinced.

Does anyone have another theory why this isn't intensifying more rapidly?

#407 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:09 pm

997
SXXX50 KNHC 091804
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 21 KNHC
1751 2621N 06225W 01525 0015 127 050 184 166 050 01575 0000000000
1751. 2622N 06224W 01523 0016 126 051 178 172 053 01574 0000000000
1752 2623N 06223W 01525 0017 128 053 182 158 054 01577 0000000000
1752. 2624N 06221W 01526 0018 130 051 186 140 054 01579 0000000000
1753 2625N 06220W 01522 0018 130 052 180 142 052 01574 0000000000
1753. 2626N 06219W 01526 0018 133 053 184 140 054 01580 0000000000
1754 2627N 06218W 01521 0018 135 054 188 138 055 01574 0000000000
1754. 2629N 06216W 01524 0019 128 051 184 148 053 01578 0000000000
1755 2630N 06215W 01526 0021 126 047 182 166 047 01582 0000000000
1755. 2631N 06214W 01523 0022 127 050 178 176 051 01580 0000000000
1756 2632N 06213W 01523 0024 129 048 186 174 050 01582 0000000000
1756. 2633N 06211W 01525 0028 126 041 176 176 043 01587 0000000000
1757 2634N 06210W 01525 0027 129 046 182 168 052 01587 0000000000
1757. 2635N 06209W 01524 0028 134 048 180 176 049 01587 0000000000
1758 2636N 06207W 01526 0029 135 044 172 172 046 01590 0000000000
1758. 2637N 06206W 01524 0030 131 051 162 162 054 01589 0000000000
1759 2638N 06205W 01525 0030 135 048 176 176 051 01590 0000000000
1759. 2639N 06204W 01528 0031 132 048 168 168 051 01594 0000000000
1800 2641N 06202W 01527 0030 125 052 160 160 052 01592 0000000000
1800. 2642N 06201W 01524 0032 127 050 172 172 050 01591 0000000000

Thunder44 · #408 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:13 pm

#409 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:15 pm

649
SXXX50 KNHC 091814
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 22 KNHC
1801 2643N 06200W 01527 0035 130 048 176 176 049 01596 0000000000
1801. 2644N 06159W 01524 0036 130 047 176 176 047 01595 0000000000
1802 2645N 06157W 01522 0037 133 048 180 168 048 01594 0000000000
1802. 2646N 06156W 01524 0037 131 047 180 164 047 01596 0000000000
1803 2647N 06155W 01524 0038 130 047 178 166 047 01597 0000000000
1803. 2648N 06154W 01522 0041 132 046 178 166 047 01597 0000000000
1804 2647N 06153W 01525 0041 130 044 176 162 045 01601 0000000000
1804. 2646N 06154W 01524 0039 126 047 180 158 047 01598 0000000000
1805 2646N 06156W 01525 0038 126 049 180 160 050 01598 0000000000
1805. 2647N 06157W 01528 0038 126 048 180 164 048 01601 0000000000
1806 2647N 06159W 01520 0036 125 046 180 166 046 01591 0000000000
1806. 2647N 06202W 01526 0036 120 045 176 168 046 01597 0000000000
1807 2647N 06204W 01523 0034 117 046 174 170 047 01592 0000000000
1807. 2647N 06206W 01524 0033 115 047 176 166 047 01591 0000000000
1808 2647N 06208W 01523 0031 113 047 164 164 048 01589 0000000000
1808. 2646N 06210W 01525 0031 111 046 168 168 048 01591 0000000000
1809 2646N 06213W 01524 0030 112 048 170 170 049 01589 0000000000
1809. 2646N 06215W 01524 0030 117 047 168 168 048 01590 0000000000
1810 2646N 06217W 01521 0029 109 043 158 158 044 01585 0000000000
1810. 2646N 06219W 01522 0028 102 043 142 142 044 01585 0000000000

Scott_inVA · #410 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:19 pm

gotoman38 wrote:The slow development contiues to baffle me.

I've heard shear and dry air as reasons for this lack of strengthening, but I'm still unconvinced.

Does anyone have another theory why this isn't intensifying more rapidly?

VERY large fetch frequently takes time to mix in and down to LLC.
Shear has been a mitigating factor until now.

Also, don't have Windrunner's maps but am uploading Recon obs here:
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/cyclone/recon.htm
(second map)

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA

Thunder44 · #411 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:22 pm

I'm going to be headed out. See you guys later.

#412 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:24 pm

The plane now is turning west after flying NE for a while.

dwsqos2 · #413 Postby **dwsqos2** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:24 pm

375
SXXX50 KNHC 091824
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 23 KNHC
1811 2646N 06222W 01527 0028 114 046 152 152 047 01590 0000000000
1811. 2646N 06224W 01520 0022 117 044 140 140 046 01576 0000000000
1812 2646N 06226W 01530 0022 115 044 160 160 047 01587 0000000000
1812. 2646N 06228W 01522 0022 116 048 184 154 049 01579 0000000000
1813 2645N 06230W 01527 0021 123 052 182 144 054 01583 0000000000
1813. 2645N 06233W 01524 0020 118 057 174 154 058 01579 0000000000
1814 2645N 06235W 01521 0018 117 052 176 146 055 01574 0000000000
1814. 2645N 06237W 01526 0017 108 053 174 144 055 01577 0000000000
1815 2645N 06239W 01525 0017 106 056 176 146 056 01577 0000000000
1815. 2645N 06242W 01523 0016 108 057 178 148 059 01574 0000000000
1816 2645N 06244W 01527 0015 105 053 182 160 054 01577 0000000000
1816. 2645N 06246W 01529 0016 101 055 180 168 056 01580 0000000000
1817 2645N 06249W 01523 0016 101 055 176 168 056 01574 0000000000
1817. 2644N 06251W 01524 0016 101 054 164 164 054 01575 0000000000
1818 2644N 06254W 01523 0015 100 052 158 158 054 01574 0000000000
1818. 2644N 06256W 01525 0015 101 051 172 162 053 01575 0000000000
1819 2644N 06259W 01523 0013 100 053 168 164 053 01571 0000000000
1819. 2644N 06301W 01525 0013 099 054 166 166 055 01572 0000000000
1820 2644N 06304W 01523 0013 097 055 166 166 056 01571 0000000000
1820. 2644N 06306W 01524 0013 095 055 158 158 055 01572 0000000000

59 knots

gotoman38 · #414 Postby **gotoman38** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:28 pm

VERY large fetch frequently takes time to mix in and down to LLC.
Shear has been a mitigating factor until now.

I'll swallow that pill.

It seems to be the best explanation I've had so far for this setup.

dwsqos2 · #415 Postby **dwsqos2** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:28 pm

113
URNT11 KNHC 091805
97779 18024 70268 61900 15200 13047 18169 /2491
41030
RMK AF301 0106A FLORENCE OB 09

#416 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:32 pm

375
SXXX50 KNHC 091834
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 24 KNHC
1821 2644N 06309W 01523 0013 094 054 162 162 054 01571 0000000000
1821. 2643N 06311W 01525 0013 092 055 168 162 055 01574 0000000000
1822 2643N 06314W 01523 0013 092 054 170 158 055 01570 0000000000
1822. 2643N 06316W 01525 0011 091 056 170 162 057 01571 0000000000
1823 2643N 06319W 01525 0010 087 054 160 160 055 01570 0000000000
1823. 2643N 06321W 01522 0009 088 053 174 166 054 01566 0000000000
1824 2643N 06324W 01517 0006 087 054 168 168 055 01558 0000000000
1824. 2643N 06326W 01526 0003 082 055 154 154 057 01564 0000000000
1825 2643N 06328W 01526 0002 078 059 146 146 061 01563 0000000000
1825. 2642N 06331W 01521 0003 081 051 138 138 052 01559 0000000000
1826 2642N 06333W 01526 0005 082 053 148 148 053 01566 0000000000
1826. 2642N 06335W 01522 0007 079 052 164 164 054 01564 0000000000
1827 2642N 06338W 01525 0007 078 052 148 148 053 01567 0000000000
1827. 2642N 06340W 01526 0007 079 050 162 162 051 01568 0000000000
1828 2642N 06342W 01529 0008 079 051 176 158 052 01571 0000000000
1828. 2642N 06345W 01525 0010 078 052 176 158 053 01570 0000000000
1829 2642N 06347W 01524 0010 075 052 178 156 053 01568 0000000000
1829. 2641N 06350W 01526 0010 072 052 176 160 052 01571 0000000000
1830 2641N 06352W 01522 0010 072 051 172 166 051 01567 0000000000
1830. 2641N 06355W 01526 0011 073 051 172 170 051 01571 0000000000

61kts

Trugunzn · #417 Postby **Trugunzn** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:33 pm

61kts

#418 Postby **bjackrian** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:40 pm

Trugunzn wrote:61kts

If I remember right, that 61kts is the peak gust recorded, right?

#419 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:41 pm

bjackrian wrote:
Trugunzn wrote:61kts

If I remember right, that 61kts is the peak gust recorded, right?

Yes,the highest so far.

#420 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:42 pm

496
SXXX50 KNHC 091844
AF301 0106A FLORENCE HDOB 25 KNHC
1831 2641N 06357W 01523 0011 073 050 178 168 051 01569 0000000000
1831. 2641N 06400W 01524 0011 071 050 172 172 051 01569 0000000000
1832 2641N 06402W 01525 0012 069 051 170 170 051 01572 0000000000
1832. 2641N 06404W 01523 0013 070 050 168 168 051 01571 0000000000
1833 2640N 06407W 01526 0015 068 047 170 170 048 01576 0000000000
1833. 2640N 06409W 01522 0015 070 046 168 168 046 01572 0000000000
1834 2640N 06412W 01526 0016 071 046 166 166 046 01576 0000000000
1834. 2640N 06414W 01523 0016 070 045 166 166 045 01574 0000000000
1835 2640N 06416W 01525 0017 068 044 166 166 045 01576 0000000000
1835. 2640N 06419W 01524 0017 068 044 166 166 044 01577 0000000000
1836 2640N 06421W 01525 0018 067 045 166 166 045 01578 0000000000
1836. 2639N 06424W 01522 0018 069 045 166 166 045 01575 0000000000
1837 2639N 06426W 01523 0019 066 045 168 168 045 01577 0000000000
1837. 2639N 06428W 01526 0020 064 046 166 166 046 01581 0000000000
1838 2639N 06431W 01523 0019 064 046 166 164 046 01578 0000000000
1838. 2639N 06433W 01524 0020 063 046 166 162 046 01579 0000000000
1839 2639N 06435W 01523 0020 063 044 166 164 045 01579 0000000000
1839. 2639N 06438W 01525 0021 064 044 166 166 044 01581 0000000000
1840 2638N 06440W 01523 0022 064 044 166 166 044 01579 0000000000
1840. 2638N 06443W 01523 0024 062 043 166 166 044 01581 0000000000

Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

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