Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

[skysummit]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

80 knots at 850 millibars=75 mph at the surface.

[Thunder44]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

80% reduction from flight level winds to the surface.

[skysummit]

Cool. Thanks Matt...just wanted to make sure

[SouthFloridawx]

[cycloneye]

305
URNT11 KNHC 090338
97779 03324 70237 63418 15200 02038 17169 /2469
RMK AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 03

[Thunder44]

650
SXXX50 KNHC 090353
AF308 0206A FLORENCE HDOB 12 KNHC
0339. 2356N 06306W 01523 0010 030 039 174 156 040 01574 0000000000
0340 2357N 06305W 01526 0010 026 043 170 170 047 01577 0000000000
0340. 2357N 06303W 01521 0009 026 040 172 166 041 01570 0000000000
0341 2357N 06302W 01526 0009 028 040 172 160 041 01575 0000000000
0341. 2358N 06300W 01524 0008 030 045 168 164 047 01572 0000000000
0342 2358N 06259W 01525 0008 028 043 168 162 044 01573 0000000000
0342. 2358N 06257W 01523 0007 025 040 178 154 040 01571 0000000000
0343 2358N 06256W 01524 0006 024 039 180 152 039 01570 0000000000
0343. 2358N 06254W 01523 0005 027 041 178 156 041 01568 0000000000
0344 2358N 06252W 01525 0003 032 039 176 162 040 01569 0000000000
0344. 2359N 06251W 01524 0003 036 040 174 164 040 01567 0000000000
0345 2359N 06249W 01523 0002 037 040 176 160 040 01565 0000000000
0345. 2359N 06248W 01526 0001 036 039 182 158 040 01567 0000000000
0346 2359N 06246W 01521 0001 033 038 182 148 039 01562 0000000000
0346. 2359N 06245W 01529 0000 033 034 186 146 035 01569 0000000000
0347 2359N 06243W 01522 5001 033 032 188 150 033 01561 0000000000
0347. 2359N 06241W 01523 5002 032 030 186 154 030 01561 0000000000
0348 2359N 06240W 01525 5002 034 030 184 158 030 01563 0000000000
0348. 2359N 06238W 01523 5002 038 031 180 160 033 01561 0000000000
0349 2358N 06236W 01527 5002 039 034 178 160 035 01564 0000000000

[Thunder44]

875
SXXX50 KNHC 090403
AF308 0206A FLORENCE HDOB 13 KNHC
0349. 2358N 06235W 01523 5004 038 037 180 158 038 01559 0000000000
0350 2358N 06233W 01523 5006 037 037 180 160 038 01557 0000000000
0350. 2358N 06232W 01525 5008 036 036 182 162 037 01557 0000000000
0351 2358N 06230W 01524 5010 040 034 184 154 035 01554 0000000000
0351. 2358N 06228W 01523 5011 043 032 184 146 032 01552 0000000000
0352 2358N 06227W 01525 5012 045 033 184 152 034 01553 0000000000
0352. 2358N 06225W 01525 5013 052 033 176 160 035 01553 0000000000
0353 2357N 06224W 01557 5011 048 034 170 168 035 01586 0000000000
0353. 2357N 06222W 01557 5013 040 035 166 166 037 01585 0000000000
0354 2356N 06221W 01571 5014 046 037 170 170 039 01597 0000000000
0354. 2355N 06219W 01518 5019 044 036 176 168 037 01539 0000000000
0355 2354N 06218W 01493 5024 043 039 178 160 040 01510 0000000000
0355. 2354N 06216W 01503 5026 038 041 180 154 042 01517 0000000000
0356 2353N 06215W 01529 5024 034 037 178 158 038 01545 0000000000
0356. 2352N 06214W 01523 5026 034 038 178 148 039 01537 0000000000
0357 2351N 06212W 01528 5028 031 036 178 160 036 01540 0000000000
0357. 2350N 06211W 01523 5029 030 037 176 172 037 01533 0000000000
0358 2349N 06209W 01526 5032 026 035 170 170 037 01534 0000000000
0358. 2348N 06208W 01523 5035 022 035 166 166 036 01528 0000000000
0359 2347N 06206W 01531 5038 027 034 156 156 037 01533 0000000000

[SouthFloridawx]

[SouthFloridawx]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

I think the magic number is anything over 47kt flight level winds.

[CrazyC83]

I think if they find around 77, they will bump it up on the looks of the system.

[Stormavoider]

Which column is wind direction?

[Thunder44]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

I think the magic number is anything over 47kt flight level winds.

I think he wants to know, what number we are looking for hurricane status. They would need to find at least 80kt winds at flight level for that.

[skysummit]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

I think the magic number is anything over 47kt flight level winds.

I was talking about for a cane. I could remember what percentage to take off for that level.

[Thunder44]

711
SXXX50 KNHC 090413
AF308 0206A FLORENCE HDOB 14 KNHC
0359. 2346N 06205W 01526 5041 020 034 152 152 036 01525 0000000000
0400 2345N 06203W 01519 5041 036 027 148 148 029 01518 0000000000
0400. 2344N 06202W 01530 5043 046 023 150 150 026 01527 0000000000
0401 2343N 06200W 01522 5045 043 017 160 160 019 01518 0000000000
0401. 2342N 06159W 01524 5046 043 011 168 168 012 01519 0000000000
0402 2341N 06157W 01528 5045 041 010 172 172 011 01523 0000000000
0402. 2340N 06156W 01523 5045 042 007 178 166 008 01519 0000000000
0403 2339N 06155W 01526 5045 049 006 178 174 006 01522 0000000000
0403. 2338N 06153W 01525 5045 074 006 174 174 006 01520 0000000000
0404 2337N 06152W 01527 5045 106 008 160 160 013 01521 0000000000
0404. 2336N 06150W 01525 5047 108 013 166 166 014 01518 0000000000
0405 2335N 06149W 01523 5046 116 012 168 168 013 01517 0000000000
0405. 2336N 06148W 01527 5049 133 019 180 180 021 01518 0000000000
0406 2337N 06146W 01524 5048 136 025 174 174 026 01517 0000000000
0406. 2339N 06145W 01527 5047 140 029 172 172 031 01521 0000000000
0407 2340N 06144W 01525 5046 147 032 172 172 033 01519 0000000000
0407. 2341N 06143W 01526 5047 150 035 172 172 035 01519 0000000000
0408 2343N 06142W 01523 5047 148 038 176 176 039 01516 0000000000
0408. 2344N 06140W 01524 5047 149 041 170 170 042 01517 0000000000
0409 2345N 06139W 01526 5047 147 043 168 168 043 01520 0000000000

[SouthFloridawx]

[cycloneye]

VDM comming shortly.

[SouthFloridawx]

So what's the magic number we're looking?

I think the magic number is anything over 47kt flight level winds.

I was talking about for a cane. I could remember what percentage to take off for that level.

I was kidding as I have not seen anything over 47kts.

[Thunder44]

Funny they seem to have found the center well SW of NHC's position at 11pm.

[cycloneye]

Funny they seem to have found the center well SW of NHC's position at 11pm.

Yeah,below 24n and 62w.24.5N 61.4W was the 11 PM position.