Thunder44 wrote:I give this storm a 5% percent chance that the models are incorrect and the ridge builds further west to allow for US landfall.
Except for Eastern New England and Western Nova Scotia I give a 20% chance for landfall there,in that the storm could travel a little further west than models have it before it makes it turns north.
I give a 75%, that simply all the models are correct in the turn and there is landfall over Eastern Nova Scotia, New Foundland or none at all.
I agree with that Thunder, all I'm saying, OVERALL, if you look at where the models start with almost every system, by the time landfall occurs, there is almost always a huge margin of error. And yes, people are controling these computers, so maybe it's time for a new type of computer model? Just my 2 cents.