TS Florence,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #4
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- SouthFLTropics
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Normandy wrote: I dont see how im being decieved. The convection has clearly stopped building westward.
You could be right...Possibly it is due to the convection tightening up which most likely would mean intensification. I was just throwing a theory out there regarding the eclipse. I know that for me I have to look twice after the eclipse to get an idea on what is going on. It can be somewhat confusing.
You could be right...Possibly it is due to the convection tightening up which most likely would mean intensification. I was just throwing a theory out there regarding the eclipse. I know that for me I have to look twice after the eclipse to get an idea on what is going on. It can be somewhat confusing.
Last edited by SouthFLTropics on Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
storms in NC wrote:JIMO
Well after looking at the 5 day map I feel better that it is NOT going to hit the any land. So that is good. Go fishing TS Florence
Unfortunately, that 5 day map isn't necessarily indicative of how things are going to play out.. especially considering NHC keeps mentioning it in the discos.. so they are consistent

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- Weatherfreak14
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The center where wxman57 pointed out looks like it's moving just due north of west on visible imagery.
Look here. Don't click on the floater on the left. The other floater over the Carribean, you see the movement much clear from nightime to daytime.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
Look here. Don't click on the floater on the left. The other floater over the Carribean, you see the movement much clear from nightime to daytime.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
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Thunder44 wrote:The center where wxman57 pointed out looks like it's moving just due north of west on visible imagery.
Look here. Don't click on the floater on the left. The other floater over the Carribean, you see the movement much clear from nightime to daytime.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
Yea thats the one I clicked on
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- storms in NC
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By looking at this loop it is still going west to me.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
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Normandy wrote:WXMan57, doesn't the movement of that center you pointed out look a bit suspicious? Not challenging you or anything, but it looks to be moving WSW
That was just one image I saw at home. I'm at work now with a lot more resources. It's possible that we still have a larger circulation with several vortices rotating around. There could be another vortex farther west toward the heavier conveciton.
I don't know, on further review, it may be the only center. It's moving west, but clearly the whole system is moving WNW as forecast. The center just keeps reforming and trying to organize. It does look much better organized than 24 hours ago.
Last edited by wxman57 on Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Its intresting to note that Normandy, the GFDL forecasted it to cross 20N at 48W, which has already been proven to be wrong this morning and judging by the current track that will grow a little as well yet. This probably seems to indicate that the models will continue to shift westwards.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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