ConvergenceZone wrote:kenl01 wrote:Y A W N ..................This thing isn't doing anything yet. Even if this thing becomes Florence, it's going to be one of the most boring storms ever, probably staying a fish anyhow.
Sept 4th and not a single hurricane in the Atlantic ? Wake me up when a hurricane is withing 12 hours of US landfall...........
Time for me to hybernate..............

I have to agree with you there. For a tropical weather hobbyist, this is probably the most boring season I've had in the last several years, and no, this has nothing to do with the fact that they haven't affected land. The FEW storms that have formed have been the most pathetic systems I"ve seen and that's only if they develop...I'm still not sold on the idea of this depresson developing into a cane. It looks worse than it did yesterday, and the wave behind it looks worse as well. Will it ever end??? Or is this it???
First: Have you been watching any of the Pacific storms as all, such John or Ioke? Ioke has been VERY impressive over the last couple weeks, and despite weakening, is still going strong.
Second: I think 2000, 2001, and 2002 were more boring than this season so far up to this point. Sure, there was Debby in 2000 before this time, but she fizzled. Everything else was either weak or out to sea (or both). There had been NO hurricanes for ANY amount of time by this time in either 2001 and 2002; of course, 2001 also had already had Allison. Granted, Barry and Chantal were not exactly wimps either, but still, the season was struggling to get going. And 2002 was even less spectacular, which is understandable as that year was an El Nino. At least in 2001, the storms lasted roughly a week (even Allison if you count her remnants). Storms in 2002 were lasting 2-3 days on average by this time, except for Dolly which wasn't strong herself. The storms of 2002 up to this point were MUCH less impressive, in my opinion, than the storms of 2006 so far, save maybe Debby. At least Ernesto, albeit VERY BRIEFLY, became a hurricane at one time.
Third: I think we could use a "boring" Atlantic hurricane season this year, don't you? Florida and the Gulf Coast have had ENOUGH over the last couple years. The last thing we need is another catastrophic hurricane causing massive amounts of devastation. I'm frankly not minding the "boredom" at all.
That said, I would be watching TD #6 very closely. It is too early to say if it'll hit the U.S., but I think it will become a tropical storm soon, possibly tonight. I won't say for sure at this time if it will become a hurricane either. Just watch it, be patient, and think about what has happened over the last couple years before getting excited about a major hurricane affecting land.
-Andrew92