Area of Weather over Eastern GOM

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Area of Weather over Eastern GOM

#1 Postby Bgator » Sat Sep 02, 2006 4:14 pm

So, is there nay possibility this can form, i dont see any swirls or anything, its just that there is a lot of thunderstorms and it is hurricane season...If someone can please post a pic. I cannot im on a public PC, Any input?
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Sat Sep 02, 2006 4:21 pm

It's nothing ... a trough draped across central Florida and a ULL in the Bahamas moving this way.

A couple of day ago, I speculated the ULL might work its way down, but nothing came of that and it won't at this point.
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Area of weather over S. Fla. and Bahamas...

#3 Postby sunnyday » Sat Sep 02, 2006 6:35 pm

Rain, rain, rain here in S. Fla. since Thursday. It's wonderful! 8-)
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Area over Bahamas, S. Fla....

#4 Postby sunnyday » Sat Sep 02, 2006 6:44 pm

So much rain in S. Fla, and then the sun shines through, and there have been double rainbows the past 2 days. Beautiful! 8-)
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#5 Postby Robjohn53 » Sat Sep 02, 2006 8:41 pm

I live just out side of Tittusville Fl in Mims we got littlery hammered with rain in fact we got way more today and tonight then we got all through Ernesto wow front yard was flooded lol. But the retention pond took it all thank goodness...
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#6 Postby Robjohn53 » Sat Sep 02, 2006 8:45 pm

Wow Florida sure has got it's share of supprizes this year so far. Makes me way to nervous... Though things have been some what kinda slow that scares me that there might be somthing way more critical coming up. Seems like sometimes when things are slow, it makes you wonder whats in store and just around the corner...
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#7 Postby fci » Sat Sep 02, 2006 9:57 pm

Just an ULL but it is pretty amazing how two years can be so different.
Seems like last year we had so many "home grown" systems from the Bahamas.
This year the ULL's seem to prevnt this from happening.
Better for us in Florida!
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#8 Postby Hyperstorm » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:27 pm

I would say one thing:

Watch it.

I've seen many times when the tail end of a transitioning tropical cyclone develops into a low pressure area a couple of days after the cyclone departs. This one has the look of one that will try to bust western Atlantic conditions if allowed.

Gulf Stream boost near Miami today with a new record...
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#9 Postby NFLDART » Sat Sep 02, 2006 11:06 pm

more rain
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Re: Area over Bahamas, S. Fla....

#10 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sun Sep 03, 2006 8:59 am

sunnyday wrote:So much rain in S. Fla, and then the sun shines through, and there have been double rainbows the past 2 days. Beautiful! 8-)
Awesome! Did you get any pictures sunnyday?? 8-)
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#11 Postby hiflyer » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:01 am

Boy...looking at radar is is lining up on us in SoFla for a heck of a storm....arrrrggghhhh

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1011 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006

.UPDATE...THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE THIS
MORNING....WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER NEAR 2 INCHES. IT IS NOT QUITE
AS UNSTABLE AS YESTERDAY...WITH SLIGHT MID LEVEL WARMING (H5 TEMP
AT -6.7C) AND LOW LEVEL COOLING...SO THERE IS LESS CAPE. THERE IS
ALSO MORE DRIER AIR IN PLACE JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...BUT NOT THAT
DRY. HOWEVER...I THINK THERE WILL BE BETTER CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A SCATTEROMTER PASS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED
CONVERGENCE LINE SET UP FROM NEAR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND STRETCHING
SOUTHWEST AND PROBABLY NOW LIES ACROSS SE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY (GIVEN
THAT FOWEY IS REPORTING SE WINDS NOW). GFS IS VERY BULLISH ON
HEAVY RAINFALL TAKING PLACE ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON...DEVELOPING ALONG THIS CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY (STORMS
HAVE ALREADY FORMED ALONG IT OVER THE ATLANTIC)...AND THIS SEEMS
PLAUSIBLE...MORESO THAN THE WRF WHICH SHOWS ALMOST NO ACTIVITY
TODAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH OUT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IN SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. BELIEVE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS...AND SO WILL INCREASE THE QPF FOR
THESE AREAS TOWARDS HPC GUIDANCE - NEAR AN INCH AREA WIDE.
SHOWERS/STORMS HAVE FORMED OVER THE NEAR SHORE GULF WATERS THIS
MORNING...AND A WEST FLOW ACROSS THE GULF/INTERIOR SHOULD ALLOW
THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE/DEVELOP INLAND. SO WILL MAINTAIN VERY HIGH
POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WILL BE MADE
TO THE FCST. /GREGORIA
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#12 Postby tgenius » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:14 am

I saw that on the forecast for today, 90 percent chance of rain, that's almost what we were during Ernesto :D
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#13 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Sep 03, 2006 8:12 pm

System now over the heat laden Gulf of Mexico. Convection re-firing under weakening upper-level northerlies. Has shown diurnal bloom since yesterday.

Keep an eye on it NE Gulf...

EDIT: Thread title needs change.

This one is taking form over 85*+ waters. Reminds me of Gabrielle in 2001.
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#14 Postby Stormavoider » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:55 am

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=26&lon=-81&map=latlon&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=5&palette=ir.pal

Some turning this morning over Okeechobee. It's not upper level. At least I don't think it is. There is no indication of turning there on WV.
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